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TX A&M Commerce vs Houston Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 63-59
34-18 29-41
Position#363
Record4-26
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#304
Record12-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Houston Christian
03 Mar 2025
TX A63
HOUS59
13 Jan 2024
TX A65
HOUS69
28 Jan 2023
TX A77
HOUS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H18/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A22/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-44
38-35
27-23
45-27
27-41
39-37
37-33
28-48
27-22
24-45
26-35
29-30
36-39
38-37
32-43
33-40
34-38
39-33
31-31
37-44
138.6Avg total
66.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)64.477.0141.4-12.613%
Season at home (13)66.277.1143.2-10.923%
Season away (17)63.177.0140.1-13.96%
Last 10 (10)66.172.5138.6-6.420%
Last 5 (5)67.074.0141.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)63.875.3139.1-11.511%
vs Similar (2)73.0101.0174.0-28.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A28/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A04/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H08/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H11/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
41-36
36-34
28-40
38-27
29-48
42-31
39-37
29-27
31-42
27-34
25-42
33-31
29-37
26-27
32-39
28-25
44-31
30-23
26-38
131.7Avg total
64.2Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)66.869.8136.6-3.040%
Season at home (15)71.067.6138.6+3.453%
Season away (15)62.672.1134.7-9.527%
Last 10 (10)64.267.5131.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)60.065.4125.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)61.271.4132.6-10.224%
vs Similar (8)68.066.9134.9+1.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.070.5154.5+13.5100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -6.6-6.6
TX A&M CommerceHouston Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A08/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H01/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
31.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.336.165.4-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.134.663.7-5.523%-
Last 30 away (17)29.437.366.7-7.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.134.966.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.269.0-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)29.036.265.1-7.229%-
vs Similar (2)33.535.569.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H08/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H11/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A01/03
NCAA
60.3Avg total
31.8Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.263.5+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.030.264.2+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)30.732.262.9-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)31.828.560.3+3.380%-
Last 5 (5)28.828.056.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.631.562.1-0.959%-
vs Similar (8)30.630.661.2+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.230.070.2+10.275%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
3
Houston Christian wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HIncarnate Word68-75
25/02/25ANew Orleans73-71
22/02/25ASE Louisiana65-83
18/02/25HStephen F. Austin74-76
15/02/25HLamar55-65
11/02/25AMcNeese State51-67
08/02/25ANicholls State65-81
04/02/25HTexas A&M-CC66-78
01/02/25HNorthwestern St.72-50
28/01/25AStephen F. Austin72-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ANorthwestern St.56-61
25/02/25HStephen F. Austin72-56
22/02/25HLamar58-66
18/02/25ATexas A&M-CC62-68
15/02/25AUTRGV52-76
11/02/25HSE Louisiana60-69
08/02/25HNew Orleans81-68
04/02/25ANicholls State67-75
01/02/25AIncarnate Word64-74
28/01/25ASE Louisiana70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL13%
HomeWLLLL23%
AwayLLLLW6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %13%23%6%
Points / game64.466.263.1
Allowed / game77.077.177.0
Point differential-12.6-10.9-13.9
Avg total141.4143.2140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Houston Christian
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLLW53%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %40%53%27%
Points / game66.871.062.6
Allowed / game69.867.672.1
Point differential-3.0+3.4-9.5
Avg total136.6138.6134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State3125681%77.564.4+13.2
2 Nicholls State30191163%75.470.1+5.3
3 Lamar30181260%71.066.6+4.3
4 SE Louisiana30181260%72.769.5+3.2
5 Texas A&M-CC31181358%76.068.2+7.8
6 Incarnate Word30161453%73.668.7+5.0
7 UTRGV30151550%76.773.9+2.8
8 Northwestern St.30151550%68.868.3+0.5
9 Stephen F. Austin31141745%66.668.3-1.7
10 Houston Christian30121840%66.869.8-3.0
11 New Orleans3042613%69.782.0-12.3
12 TX A&M Commerce3042613%64.477.0-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce342963
Houston Christian184159
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