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TX A&M Commerce vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 68-75
31-31 37-44
Position#363
Record4-25
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#190
Record15-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Incarnate Word
01 Mar 2025
TX A68
INCA75
31 Jan 2024
TX A71
INCA66
31 Dec 2022
TX A82
INCA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
58-61 OT
58
61
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H18/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A22/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-23
25-29
34-44
38-35
27-23
45-27
27-41
39-37
37-33
28-48
27-22
24-45
26-35
29-30
36-39
38-37
32-43
33-40
34-38
39-33
136.2Avg total
65.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)64.377.1141.4-12.814%
Season at home (12)66.077.2143.2-11.225%
Season away (17)63.177.0140.1-13.96%
Last 10 (10)65.171.1136.2-6.020%
Last 5 (5)63.672.4136.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)63.675.3139.0-11.711%
vs Similar (3)65.791.3157.0-25.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
31-43
38-20
36-38
34-36
40-28
33-30
32-37
26-28
40-43
39-36
36-29
19-33
36-36
31-36
35-24
34-32
29-29
41-23
32-38
133.6Avg total
67.4Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.668.7142.3+4.952%
Season at home (16)79.766.3146.0+13.469%
Season away (13)66.171.6137.7-5.531%
Last 10 (10)67.466.2133.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)66.463.2129.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.372.0129.3-14.70%
vs Similar (10)70.875.3146.1-4.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.863.5143.2+16.392%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +0.2+0.2
TX A&M CommerceIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A08/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A25/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
30.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.936.265.2-7.327%-
Last 30 at home (12)28.934.963.8-6.025%-
Last 30 away (18)28.937.166.1-8.228%-
Last 10 (10)30.734.164.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.466.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)28.936.465.3-7.530%-
vs Similar (3)29.335.064.3-5.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H25/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
32.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.567.3+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.631.770.2+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)30.533.463.9-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)32.731.764.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.064.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.032.557.5-7.517%-
vs Similar (10)33.136.069.1-2.930%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.829.869.5+10.085%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
TX A&M Commerce wins
2
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/25ANew Orleans73-71
22/02/25ASE Louisiana65-83
18/02/25HStephen F. Austin74-76
15/02/25HLamar55-65
11/02/25AMcNeese State51-67
08/02/25ANicholls State65-81
04/02/25HTexas A&M-CC66-78
01/02/25HNorthwestern St.72-50
28/01/25AStephen F. Austin72-79
26/01/25ALamar58-61 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/25HLamar73-61
22/02/25HStephen F. Austin63-61
18/02/25AUTRGV66-60
15/02/25ATexas A&M-CC55-69
11/02/25HNew Orleans75-65
08/02/25HSE Louisiana66-71
04/02/25AMcNeese State65-67
01/02/25HHouston Christian74-64
28/01/25ANew Orleans74-58
25/01/25ASE Louisiana63-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLW6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %14%25%6%
Points / game64.366.063.1
Allowed / game77.177.277.0
Point differential-12.8-11.2-13.9
Avg total141.4143.2140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLWLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%69%31%
Points / game73.679.766.1
Allowed / game68.766.371.6
Point differential+4.9+13.4-5.5
Avg total142.3146.0137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2923679%77.264.3+12.9
2 Nicholls State29181162%74.770.1+4.6
3 Lamar29181162%71.166.6+4.6
4 SE Louisiana29181162%73.369.5+3.8
5 Texas A&M-CC30171357%76.368.7+7.6
6 Incarnate Word29151452%73.668.7+4.9
7 UTRGV29141548%76.373.8+2.5
8 Northwestern St.29141548%69.168.8+0.3
9 Stephen F. Austin29141548%66.666.5+0.1
10 Houston Christian29121741%67.270.1-3.0
11 New Orleans2942514%69.481.8-12.4
12 TX A&M Commerce2942514%64.377.1-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce313768
Incarnate Word314475
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