The LNB showdown on 1 November 2026 pits U. De Concepcion against Valdivia, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as the margins are razor-thin. U. De Concepcion, the league leaders, have a 35-8 record, averaging 93.2 points while conceding 78.2, and have won three of their last five home games, highlighted by a 98-78 win over Puente Alto, a 95-78 victory over Ancud and a 89-64 triumph over Leones Quilpue. Valdivia, sitting third, boasts a 34-9 record, 87.0 points per game and 75.0 allowed, and is on a perfect five-game away streak, including a 95-92 win over Ancud and a 96-83 win over CD Puerto Varas. Their last encounter on 9 October saw Valdivia edge U. De Concepcion 101-85. Pythia assigns a 55% chance to the home side and 45% to the visitors, projecting a close 85-84 finish for a total of 169.1 points. The home team faces a -3.5 line with a 44% probability of covering, while the over line of 165.5 carries a 58% chance, and there is a 5% likelihood of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (43) | 93.2 | 78.2 | 171.4 | +15.0 | 81% |
| Season at home (22) | 99.0 | 75.8 | 174.8 | +23.2 | 91% |
| Season away (21) | 87.1 | 80.7 | 167.8 | +6.5 | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.6 | 80.6 | 167.2 | +6.0 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 80.0 | 166.0 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 85.0 | 101.0 | 186.0 | -16.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (29) | 91.3 | 79.3 | 170.7 | +12.0 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (43) | 87.0 | 75.0 | 162.1 | +12.0 | 79% |
| Season at home (22) | 89.6 | 73.5 | 163.1 | +16.2 | 82% |
| Season away (21) | 84.3 | 76.7 | 161.0 | +7.6 | 76% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.6 | 73.8 | 162.4 | +14.8 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.6 | 75.6 | 168.2 | +17.0 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 101.0 | 85.0 | 186.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker (29) | 87.8 | 73.4 | 161.1 | +14.4 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 44.4 | 42.1 | 86.5 | +2.3 | 52% | 69% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 47.9 | 39.4 | 87.3 | +8.5 | 73% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.6 | 45.0 | 85.6 | -4.4 | 29% | 79% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.5 | 41.9 | 81.4 | -2.4 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.6 | 41.4 | 83.0 | +0.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 35.0 | 54.0 | 89.0 | -19.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (28) | 44.8 | 41.7 | 86.4 | +3.1 | 54% | 68% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.7 | 36.8 | 83.4 | +9.9 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 49.0 | 36.6 | 85.6 | +12.4 | 87% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 44.3 | 36.9 | 81.3 | +7.4 | 73% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.8 | 36.5 | 84.3 | +11.3 | 90% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 36.2 | 82.6 | +10.2 | 100% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 54.0 | 35.0 | 89.0 | +19.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (29) | 46.4 | 36.8 | 83.2 | +9.6 | 79% | 59% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 159.5 | 71.2% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Won |
| Valdivia over 76.5 | 75.8% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Lost |
| Valdivia over 75.5 | 78.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +15.9pp | Won |
| U. De Concepcion over 79.5 | 70.9% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +11.5pp | Won |
| U. De Concepcion over 78.5 | 74.2% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| Valdivia over 77.5 | 72.7% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion +5.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.4 | 18.8 | 52.2% | 37.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.2 | 9.7 | 31.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.3 | 16.4 | 71.0% | 16.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.6 | 26.9 | 52.2% | 53.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 19.2 | 5.7 | 31.9% | 17.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.5 | 16.6 | 71.0% | 16.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/10/26 | Valdivia v U. De Concepcion | 101-85 |
| 12/10/25 | U. De Concepcion v Valdivia | 94-89 |
| 25/09/25 | Valdivia v U. De Concepcion | 85-70 |
| 21/03/25 | Valdivia v U. De Concepcion | 88-79 |
| 06/02/25 | U. De Concepcion v Valdivia | 99-78 |
| 24/01/25 | Valdivia v U. De Concepcion | 72-84 |
| 09/01/25 | U. De Concepcion v Valdivia | 103-77 |
| 10/11/24 | Valdivia v U. De Concepcion | 78-81 |
| 18/10/24 | U. De Concepcion v Valdivia | 97-87 |
| 03/06/24 | Valdivia v U. De Concepcion | 83-93 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 98-78 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 89-64 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ancud | 95-78 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Ancud | 73-91 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 75-89 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Valdivia | 85-101 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 74-68 |
| 03/10/26 | A | CD Puerto Varas | 98-91 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 92-87 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Puerto Montt | 87-59 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/26 | A | Ancud | 95-92 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Puerto Montt | 88-72 |
| 24/10/26 | H | CD Puerto Varas | 96-83 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 81-70 |
| 18/10/26 | A | CD Puerto Varas | 103-61 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 86-58 |
| 09/10/26 | H | U. De Concepcion | 101-85 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Puente Alto | 85-77 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 65-78 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Puente Alto | 86-62 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 81% |
| Home | WWWWW | 91% |
| Away | WWLLL | 71% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 43 | 22 | 21 |
| Win % | 81% | 91% | 71% |
| Points / game | 93.2 | 99.0 | 87.1 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 75.8 | 80.7 |
| Point differential | +15.0 | +23.2 | +6.5 |
| Avg total | 171.4 | 174.8 | 167.8 |
| Over 165.5 | 60% | 77% | 43% |
| Win by 10+ | 58% | 77% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (6) | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 0% | 5% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 79% |
| Home | WWWWW | 82% |
| Away | LWWWW | 76% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 43 | 22 | 21 |
| Win % | 79% | 82% | 76% |
| Points / game | 87.0 | 89.6 | 84.3 |
| Allowed / game | 75.0 | 73.5 | 76.7 |
| Point differential | +12.0 | +16.2 | +7.6 |
| Avg total | 162.1 | 163.1 | 161.0 |
| Over 165.5 | 40% | 45% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 73% | 48% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 0% (2) | 100% (3) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 5% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 81% | 93.2 | 78.2 | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 79% | 87.0 | 75.0 | +12.0 | |
| 3 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 78% | 82.6 | 75.9 | +6.7 | |
| 4 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 56% | 82.0 | 80.5 | +1.6 | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 53% | 84.2 | 80.6 | +3.6 | |
| 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52% | 78.8 | 78.0 | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 46% | 78.4 | 81.7 | -3.3 | |
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 44% | 82.3 | 93.7 | -11.4 | |
| 9 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 40% | 78.3 | 81.9 | -3.5 | |
| 10 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 37% | 80.6 | 83.4 | -2.8 | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 32% | 76.4 | 82.7 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29% | 78.1 | 88.1 | -10.0 | |
| 13 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 29% | 78.6 | 81.6 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 16% | 76.1 | 89.6 | -13.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 91 | |
| 15 | 24 | 16 | 21 | 76 |
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