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U. De Concepcion vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 94-89
26-21 16-16 28-28 24-24
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.2
U. De Concepcion 🏆
Chile
vs
Valdivia
Chile
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game76.6
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2025-26
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Valdivia
01 Nov 2026
U. D91
VALD76
12 Oct 2025
U. D94
VALD89
06 Feb 2025
U. D99
VALD78
09 Jan 2025
U. D103
VALD77
18 Oct 2024
U. D97
VALD87
26 May 2024
U. D101
VALD90
24 May 2024
U. D85
VALD70
03 Mar 2024
U. D99
VALD89
31 Mar 2023
U. D91
VALD72
19 Mar 2022
U. D88
VALD82
06 Sep 2021
U. D58
VALD56
04 Sep 2021
U. D67
VALD57
09 Feb 2020
U. D84
VALD70
18 Nov 2018
U. D90
VALD88
21 Oct 2017
U. D82
VALD61
19 Nov 2016
U. D79
VALD72
21 Feb 2016
U. D76
VALD78
07 Feb 2016
U. D82
VALD57
06 Feb 2016
U. D89
VALD82
11 Oct 2015
U. D90
VALD76
25 Oct 2014
U. D95
VALD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
59avg 81
A13/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 81
A15/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 81
A16/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
79-68
79
68
+11
69avg 81
H13/09
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 81
A14/09
Supercopa
Valdivia
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
61avg 81
A25/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
77avg 81
H27/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
84-75
84
75
+9
80avg 81
A03/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
78avg 81
A04/10
LNB
Las Animas
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
78avg 81
H10/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
16-12
12-20
28-23
22-19
18-20
19-21
29-25
20-27
25-14
20-24
21-15
19-23
11-16
20-21
29-8
27-14
20-25
21-20
14-14
19-30
12-17
21-22
18-16
24-20
22-12
17-18
22-17
16-24
24-13
17-15
27-23
19-16
23-21
20-19
26-27
22-13
16-19
27-17
19-27
158.4Avg total
81.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.277.2159.4+5.080%
Season at home (2)84.571.5156.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)80.781.0161.7-0.367%
Last 10 (10)81.676.8158.4+4.880%
Last 5 (5)82.277.2159.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.775.5154.2+3.373%
vs Weaker (19)87.474.6162.0+12.884%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#7
L
42-85
42
85
-43
27avg 64
A05/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
68avg 64
A07/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
82-66
82
66
+16
88avg 64
H11/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
49avg 64
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 64
H13/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 64
H25/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 64
H26/09
LNB
Las Animas
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 64
A04/10
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
90avg 64
A05/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#3
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
70avg 64
H10/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
13-16
3-17
12-20
20-30
17-30
17-19
21-22
20-12
26-25
16-15
20-14
24-13
10-18
17-19
12-16
21-21
17-24
17-11
16-20
30-19
17-12
22-21
16-18
24-15
19-25
22-11
22-29
24-18
21-9
20-27
11-25
30-13
16-17
26-20
14-19
18-21
19-21
14-15
26-20
152.5Avg total
74.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.076.6159.6+6.460%
Season at home (3)84.378.3162.7+6.067%
Season away (2)81.074.0155.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)74.877.7152.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)83.076.6159.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.283.3153.5-13.211%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.673.1145.8-0.525%
vs Weaker (4)84.877.5162.2+7.275%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
U. De ConcepcionValdivia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A13/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A15/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H13/09
Supercopa
Ancud
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/09
Supercopa
Valdivia
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A25/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H27/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A03/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/10
LNB
Las Animas
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/10
LNB
76.5Avg total
38.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.382.4+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.838.183.9+7.771%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.381.1+0.469%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.676.5+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.138.577.6+0.564%-
vs Weaker (19)45.439.785.1+5.774%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#7
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A05/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A07/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H11/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H13/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H25/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H26/09
LNB
Las Animas
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A04/10
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A05/10
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H10/10
LNB
79.1Avg total
40.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.478.7-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.575.9+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.043.481.4-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.179.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.077.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.342.779.1-6.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.935.674.5+3.262%-
vs Weaker (4)45.539.885.2+5.875%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.619.2
46.2%
47.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
68.4%15.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.6
47.7%
47.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.713.4
68.0%
68.4%13.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WWWWLWWWWL
Valdivia
LWLWWLLWLL
#2
League position
#4
+5.5
Net rating
-3.4
104.4
Offensive rating
94.4
99.0
Defensive rating
97.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
48.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
22.2%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
32.9%
59.8%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 94.4Defence99.0 · 97.8Shooting48.9% · 48.3%3-point %35.7% · 32.9%Ball care18.0% · 22.2%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Valdivia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
U. De Concepcion wins
2
Valdivia wins
DateGameScore
25/09/25Valdivia v U. De Concepcion85-70
21/03/25Valdivia v U. De Concepcion88-79
06/02/25U. De Concepcion v Valdivia99-78
24/01/25Valdivia v U. De Concepcion72-84
09/01/25U. De Concepcion v Valdivia103-77
10/11/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion78-81
18/10/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia97-87
03/06/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion83-93
27/05/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia101-90
25/05/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia85-70
U. De Concepcionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HLas Animas84-76
04/10/25AEspanol Osorno88-83
03/10/25AAncud84-75
27/09/25HCD Puerto Varas85-67
25/09/25AValdivia70-85
14/09/25AAncud82-73
13/09/25HLeones Quilpue79-68
16/06/25ALeones Quilpue86-80
15/06/25ALeones Quilpue88-85
13/06/25ALeones Quilpue70-76
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HEspanol Osorno81-85 OT
05/10/25ACD Puerto Varas86-69
04/10/25ALas Animas76-79
26/09/25HAncud87-80
25/09/25HU. De Concepcion85-70
13/04/25HPuente Alto71-76
13/04/25HColo Colo63-66
11/04/25HEspanol de Talca82-66
07/04/25APuente Alto75-101
05/04/25AColo Colo42-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game82.284.580.7
Allowed / game77.271.581.0
Point differential+5.0+13.0-0.3
Avg total159.4156.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valdivia
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.084.381.0
Allowed / game76.678.374.0
Point differential+6.4+6.0+7.0
Avg total159.6162.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue550100%82.258.4+23.8
2 U. De Concepcion54180%82.277.2+5.0
3 Colo Colo54180%65.264.6+0.6
4 Catolica64267%78.875.3+3.5
5 Valdivia53260%83.076.6+6.4
6 Las Animas53260%85.283.4+1.8
7 Espanol Osorno63350%82.078.7+3.3
8 CD Puerto Varas52340%71.079.6-8.6
9 Puente Alto62433%70.270.7-0.5
10 Espanol de Talca62433%63.370.5-7.2
11 Ancud61517%75.382.5-7.2
12 Boston C. C.6060%61.077.2-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion2616282494
Valdivia2116282489
← all games of the day
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