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UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#44
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game61.7
vs
Position#239
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly
05 Dec 2026
UC S v CAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
UC S107
CAL 67
27 Feb 2025
UC S96
CAL 77
29 Feb 2024
UC S83
CAL 75
09 Mar 2023
UC S64
CAL 54
02 Feb 2023
UC S68
CAL 62
06 Mar 2021
UC S70
CAL 54
05 Mar 2021
UC S71
CAL 57
07 Mar 2020
UC S69
CAL 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Santa Barbara win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A15/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
A22/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H27/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A01/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H08/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A12/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#418
W
85-55
85
55
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-37
33-52
27-32
49-44
32-30
36-38
39-27
31-32
23-32
37-32
29-31
34-33
31-34
42-45
41-26
44-29
38-27
52-40
40-24
36-39
145.7Avg total
75.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.761.7145.3+22.0100%
Season at home (3)83.761.7145.3+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.470.3145.7+5.140%
Last 5 (5)77.465.6143.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.870.2140.0-0.440%
vs Similar (10)74.876.3151.1-1.530%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.468.6150.0+12.786%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
42-40
48-40
54-52
24-42
40-38
42-52
43-55
62-41
46-35
35-26
34-46
35-24
43-38
41-59
43-45
29-37
42-62
38-32
45-42
167.1Avg total
83.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.084.8163.8-5.850%
Season at home (1)78.062.0140.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)79.392.3171.7-13.033%
Last 10 (10)83.084.1167.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.486.4164.8-8.032%
vs Similar (4)86.585.2171.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.5183.5+28.5100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
UC Santa BarbaraCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A22/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H27/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A01/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H08/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#418
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H12/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
34.6Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.567.5+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.128.968.0+10.181%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.566.9-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.064.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.464.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.829.658.4-0.860%-
vs Similar (10)33.734.768.4-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.730.470.1+9.479%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
39.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.1-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.577.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.040.876.8-4.936%-
vs Similar (4)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)59.038.097.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
UC Santa Barbara wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HNevada76-63
07/11/26HOakland90-67
03/11/26HSan Francisco State85-55
12/03/26AUC Davis73-79
08/03/26HUC San Diego63-64
01/03/26AUC Irvine60-64
27/02/26HUC Riverside70-59
22/02/26AHawaii75-78 OT
20/02/26HCS Northridge83-85 OT
15/02/26ACal Poly79-89
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIdaho83-74
12/11/26AGrand Canyon71-99
06/11/26AArizona84-104
03/11/26HCal St. San Marcos78-62
12/03/26AUC San Diego69-72
08/03/26HCSU Bakersfield108-76
06/03/26AUC Irvine85-107
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.783.7-
Allowed / game61.761.7-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total145.3145.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Cal Poly
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.078.079.3
Allowed / game84.862.092.3
Point differential-5.8+16.0-13.0
Avg total163.8140.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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