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Udine vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.2
ItalyLega ARound 10· PalaCarnera
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Udine v Trieste
06 Dec 2026
UDI v TRI
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
UDI70
TRI89
12 Jan 2024
UDI87
TRI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H12/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#8
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
14-25
15-20
14-25
19-24
24-21
24-21
15-26
19-17
25-21
27-24
24-21
15-27
29-16
15-22
10-11
21-16
15-26
22-29
13-27
19-11
28-17
23-14
17-21
18-20
18-16
22-20
19-21
21-23
12-15
17-16
16-20
27-24
20-24
18-26
21-28
19-22
21-13
18-24
17-22
162.8Avg total
78.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.880.8160.6-1.040%
Season at home (2)76.568.5145.0+8.050%
Season away (3)82.089.0171.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)78.684.2162.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)79.880.8160.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.888.8174.6-3.022%
vs Similar (19)78.982.0160.9-3.142%
vs Weaker (2)86.073.5159.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#7
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
171.4Avg total
85.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Season at home (3)94.086.0180.0+8.067%
Season away (2)81.584.0165.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)85.785.7171.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.186.9167.0-6.925%
vs Similar (12)87.484.8172.2+2.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)88.078.5166.5+9.550%
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
UdineTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
Lega A
80.8Avg total
41.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.981.1+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.380.6+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.581.6+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.780.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.077.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.742.484.1-0.856%-
vs Similar (19)40.939.680.5+1.353%-
vs Weaker (2)41.532.073.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#7
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.886.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.643.385.9-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.487.3-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.786.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.344.485.8-3.131%-
vs Similar (12)44.843.888.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.039.080.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.9
52.9%
54.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.88.2
25.8%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
74.4%12.9
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.4%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
LLLWWLLWLL
Trieste
WWLLLLWLLW
#12
League position
#10
-7.2
Net rating
+0.2
88.2
Offensive rating
100.8
95.4
Defensive rating
100.6
46.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.8%
3-point %
34.9%
60.9%
Assist %
56.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 100.8Defence95.4 · 100.6Shooting46.4% · 53.6%3-point %25.8% · 34.9%Ball care13.5% · 12.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Udine   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Udine wins
3
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Udine v Trieste70-89
26/10/25Trieste v Udine92-85
12/01/24Udine v Trieste87-83
05/11/23Trieste v Udine57-54
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AMaxima Roma75-81
18/10/26ATreviso86-102
10/10/26HTrento66-74
05/10/26ACantu85-84 OT
27/09/26HScafati87-63
10/05/26ABasket Napoli71-98
03/05/26HTrento69-76
25/04/26HCantu95-83
18/04/26ATreviso82-92
12/04/26HTrieste70-89
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game79.876.582.0
Allowed / game80.868.589.0
Point differential-1.0+8.0-7.0
Avg total160.6145.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game89.094.081.5
Allowed / game85.286.084.0
Point differential+3.8+8.0-2.5
Avg total174.2180.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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