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Udine vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.4
ItalyLega ARound 10· PalaCarnera
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Udine v Trieste
06 Dec 2026
UDI v TRI
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
UDI70
TRI89
12 Jan 2024
UDI87
TRI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
94avg 74
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 74
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 74
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 74
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
78avg 74
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 74
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
86-102
86
102
-16
77avg 74
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 74
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 74
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
25-21
27-24
24-21
15-27
29-16
15-22
10-11
21-16
15-26
22-29
13-27
19-11
28-17
23-14
17-21
18-20
18-16
22-20
19-21
21-23
12-15
17-16
16-20
27-24
20-24
18-26
21-28
19-22
21-13
18-24
17-22
19-14
21-19
17-20
29-24
14-26
26-23
27-14
17-18
162.3Avg total
80.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.380.3161.6+1.057%
Season at home (3)79.771.3151.0+8.367%
Season away (4)82.587.0169.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.481.9162.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.483.0162.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.688.1173.8-2.525%
vs Similar (18)79.483.1162.5-3.644%
vs Weaker (4)81.074.5155.5+6.575%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 75
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 75
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 75
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 75
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 75
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 75
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 75
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
116-100
116
100
+16
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
25-24
21-31
31-17
23-21
28-32
30-24
34-26
24-18
176.9Avg total
89.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.488.4182.9+6.057%
Season at home (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
Season away (3)87.787.0174.7+0.733%
Last 10 (10)89.987.0176.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.089.8189.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.788.7170.3-7.027%
vs Similar (11)86.084.5170.5+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
UdineTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A08/11
Lega A
79.7Avg total
40.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.180.4+2.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.041.282.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.079.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.943.285.1-1.450%-
vs Similar (18)41.340.381.6+1.050%-
vs Weaker (4)39.033.872.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/11
Lega A
88.1Avg total
43.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.389.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.689.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.888.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.945.987.8-4.127%-
vs Similar (11)45.343.989.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.846.595.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.4
27.3%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
74.6%13.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
WWLLLWWLLW
Trieste
WWWWLLLLWL
#8
League position
#7
-3.4
Net rating
+0.2
91.7
Offensive rating
100.8
95.2
Defensive rating
100.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.3%
3-point %
34.9%
59.2%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 100.8Defence95.2 · 100.6Shooting48.3% · 53.6%3-point %27.3% · 34.9%Ball care13.3% · 12.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Udine   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Udine wins
3
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Udine v Trieste70-89
26/10/25Trieste v Udine92-85
12/01/24Udine v Trieste87-83
05/11/23Trieste v Udine57-54
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AVarese84-81
01/11/26HTortona86-77
25/10/26AMaxima Roma75-81
18/10/26ATreviso86-102
10/10/26HTrento66-74
05/10/26ACantu85-84 OT
27/09/26HScafati87-63
10/05/26ABasket Napoli71-98
03/05/26HTrento69-76
25/04/26HCantu95-83
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBC Roma116-100
02/11/26AVirtus Bologna100-93
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game81.379.782.5
Allowed / game80.371.387.0
Point differential+1.0+8.3-4.5
Avg total161.6151.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.499.587.7
Allowed / game88.489.587.0
Point differential+6.0+10.0+0.7
Avg total182.9189.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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