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Udine vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game86.0
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaCarnera
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Udine v Virtus Bologna
14 Mar 2027
UDI v VIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
UDI80
VIR82
07 Feb 2009
UDI86
VIR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
94avg 72
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 72
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 72
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 72
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
78avg 72
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 72
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
86-102
86
102
-16
77avg 72
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 72
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 72
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
25-21
27-24
24-21
15-27
29-16
15-22
10-11
21-16
15-26
22-29
13-27
19-11
28-17
23-14
17-21
18-20
18-16
22-20
19-21
21-23
12-15
17-16
16-20
27-24
20-24
18-26
21-28
19-22
21-13
18-24
17-22
19-14
21-19
17-20
29-24
14-26
26-23
27-14
17-18
162.3Avg total
80.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.380.3161.6+1.057%
Season at home (3)79.771.3151.0+8.367%
Season away (4)82.587.0169.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.481.9162.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.483.0162.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.688.1173.8-2.525%
vs Similar (18)79.483.1162.5-3.644%
vs Weaker (4)81.074.5155.5+6.575%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 84
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 84
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 84
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 84
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
181.8Avg total
90.2Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.486.0182.4+10.486%
Season at home (4)98.588.2186.8+10.275%
Season away (3)93.783.0176.7+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.291.6181.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)91.096.0187.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.584.7177.3+7.868%
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
UdineVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A08/11
Lega A
79.7Avg total
40.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.180.4+2.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.041.282.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.079.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.943.285.1-1.450%-
vs Similar (18)41.340.381.6+1.050%-
vs Weaker (4)39.033.872.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A13/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
44.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.843.088.8+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.490.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.943.786.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.287.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.241.788.9+5.474%-
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.4
27.3%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
74.6%13.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.6%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
WWLLLWWLLW
Virtus Bologna
LWLLLLWLWW
#8
League position
#1
-3.4
Net rating
+3.7
91.7
Offensive rating
102.2
95.2
Defensive rating
98.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
27.3%
3-point %
36.3%
59.2%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 102.2Defence95.2 · 98.4Shooting48.3% · 54.8%3-point %27.3% · 36.3%Ball care13.3% · 14.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Udine   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Udine wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Virtus Bologna v Udine90-86
11/10/25Udine v Virtus Bologna80-82 OT
07/02/09Udine v Virtus Bologna86-93
26/10/08Virtus Bologna v Udine91-74
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AVarese84-81
01/11/26HTortona86-77
25/10/26AMaxima Roma75-81
18/10/26ATreviso86-102
10/10/26HTrento66-74
05/10/26ACantu85-84 OT
27/09/26HScafati87-63
10/05/26ABasket Napoli71-98
03/05/26HTrento69-76
25/04/26HCantu95-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAnadolu Efes91-103
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game81.379.782.5
Allowed / game80.371.387.0
Point differential+1.0+8.3-4.5
Avg total161.6151.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game96.498.593.7
Allowed / game86.088.283.0
Point differential+10.4+10.2+10.7
Avg total182.4186.8176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
4 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
5 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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