PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Udine vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-82 (OT)
12-17 19-20 16-23 25-12 8-10
Position#13
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.0
Udine
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game88.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· PalaCarnera
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Udine v Virtus Bologna
14 Mar 2027
UDI v VIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
UDI80
VIR82
07 Feb 2009
UDI86
VIR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 76
H02/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 76
A09/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
77avg 76
A23/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
75avg 76
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 76
A02/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
60avg 76
A06/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
87avg 76
H13/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
A19/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
100avg 76
H27/04
Serie A2
Reggiana
#7
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 76
A05/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
17-21
24-30
21-18
19-25
13-22
18-17
29-19
26-19
25-15
16-18
12-16
19-24
22-20
28-11
12-17
25-23
27-18
27-11
10-20
13-20
23-11
16-17
20-21
23-22
20-22
28-22
24-20
16-25
22-23
27-17
19-17
25-24
20-26
24-27
22-14
13-26
19-16
21-21
18-13
164.1Avg total
84.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)84.779.4164.1+5.380%
Last 5 (5)86.082.8168.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
vs Similar (2)86.079.5165.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker (27)84.577.3161.8+7.278%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 78
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 78
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 78
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 78
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 78
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
74avg 78
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 78
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
86avg 78
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 78
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
77avg 78
A09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
15-20
14-19
24-14
19-29
23-15
23-15
19-19
20-23
21-22
22-22
27-20
22-21
17-11
19-19
17-14
28-15
22-13
26-23
20-23
22-20
23-22
19-17
19-24
14-19
24-16
17-15
19-18
23-26
23-23
25-26
23-28
25-19
26-13
21-24
33-32
24-24
16-25
20-23
19-18
167.5Avg total
86.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)105.088.0193.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)105.088.0193.0+17.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.181.4167.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)87.688.4176.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.887.5164.2-10.825%
vs Similar (12)82.178.0160.1+4.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.276.1164.3+12.277%
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
UdineVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H02/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A09/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A23/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A02/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A06/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H27/04
Serie A2
Reggiana
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A05/10
Lega A
83.2Avg total
41.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.579.6+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.080.5+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.838.978.7+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.081.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.042.074.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (2)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)41.338.679.9+2.756%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/10
Euroleague
82.3Avg total
43.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.878.1+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.182.4+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.182.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.485.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.245.082.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (12)40.539.279.8+1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.235.479.5+8.885%-
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.314.4
52.7%
54.1%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.8
35.5%
34.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws18.413.5
73.4%
76.1%13.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 59% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.0
57.1%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.016.3
81.5%
76.1%16.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
LWWWWWWWLW
Virtus Bologna
LWLWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+6.9
114.5
Offensive rating
119.6
107.8
Defensive rating
112.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
36.3%
59.2%
Assist %
66.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 119.6Defence107.8 · 112.7Shooting53.0% · 56.0%3-point %35.5% · 36.3%Ball care14.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.2% · 33.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Udine   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Udine wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
07/02/09Udine v Virtus Bologna86-93
26/10/08Virtus Bologna v Udine91-74
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25AReggiana71-76
27/04/25HBasket Torino108-101 OT
19/04/25APesaro84-82
13/04/25HRimini95-86
06/04/25ACento72-69
02/04/25AUrania Milano89-72
30/03/25HFortitudo Bologna81-72
23/03/25AJuVi Cremona79-68
09/03/25AOrzinuovi79-83
02/03/25HCantu89-85
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25AParis79-90
06/10/25HBasket Napoli105-88
03/10/25AValencia94-103
30/09/25HReal Madrid74-68
27/09/25HOlimpia Milano86-93 OT
17/06/25ABrescia96-74
14/06/25HBrescia75-65
12/06/25HBrescia90-87
07/06/25AOlimpia Milano84-78
05/06/25AOlimpia Milano78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.0105.0-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total193.0193.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%109.069.0+40.0
2 Virtus Bologna110100%105.088.0+17.0
3 Venezia110100%82.075.0+7.0
4 Reggiana110100%76.071.0+5.0
5 Trapani110100%91.087.0+4.0
6 Tortona110100%74.071.0+3.0
7 Brescia110100%102.0100.0+2.0
8 Olimpia Milano21150%82.567.5+15.0
9 Varese21150%83.098.0-15.0
10 Treviso1010%100.0102.0-2.0
11 Sassari1010%102.0105.0-3.0
12 Trieste1010%87.091.0-4.0
13 Udine1010%71.076.0-5.0
14 Cremona1010%75.082.0-7.0
15 Basket Napoli1010%88.0105.0-17.0
16 Cantu1010%69.0109.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Udine12191625880
Virtus Bologna172023121082
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.