PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Udine Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 86-81
Projected total 167.0
Final 81-84
26-14 23-26 14-27 18-17
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game88.2
Vs
66%
34%
■ VAR 66%■ UDI 34%
Pythia win probability
Udine 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.2
ItalyLega ARound 7· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Varese v Udine
08 Nov 2026
VAR81
UDI84
23 Nov 2025
VAR59
UDI66
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Lega Basket Serie A clash on 8 November 2026 pits Varese, the 6th-place favourite, against Udine, who sit eighth, with the model favouring Varese at 66% to 34%. Varese has gone 4-2 in all six games this season, averaging 88.8 points and allowing 88.2, while Udine is 3-3, scoring 80.8 and conceding 80.2. At home Varese is 2-1, scoring 88.0 and giving up 92.3, whereas Udine is 1-2 on the road, 82.0 for and 89.0 against. Varese's last five games include a 99-88 win over Verona, a 95-61 victory over Bamberg, and a 110-103 home win over BC Roma, while Udine's recent slate features a 86-77 home win over Tortona, a 75-81 loss to Maxima Roma, and a 86-102 defeat by Treviso. Their head-to-head record is even, 1-1, with Varese's most recent win coming 92-81 on 8 March 2026. Pythia projects an 86-81 scoreline, a total of 167.3 points, and a 72% chance that Varese will cover the 2.5-point spread, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on Varese's defensive consistency against Udine's balanced attack.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
65.8%fair 1.52
Best odds1.61
Implied61.4%
Edge+4.3pp
Udine winWon
34.2%fair 2.92
Best odds2.50
Implied38.6%
Edge-4.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 77
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 77
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 77
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 77
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 77
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 77
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 77
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 77
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 77
A31/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
171.7Avg total
85.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.888.2177.0+0.767%
Season at home (3)88.092.3180.3-4.367%
Season away (3)89.784.0173.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)85.386.4171.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)94.284.8179.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.490.3173.6-6.936%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.985.1171.0+0.760%
vs Weaker (4)91.078.2169.2+12.875%
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 73
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
94avg 73
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 73
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 73
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 73
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
78avg 73
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 73
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
86-102
86
102
-16
77avg 73
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 73
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 73
H01/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
24-21
24-21
15-26
19-17
25-21
27-24
24-21
15-27
29-16
15-22
10-11
21-16
15-26
22-29
13-27
19-11
28-17
23-14
17-21
18-20
18-16
22-20
19-21
21-23
12-15
17-16
16-20
27-24
20-24
18-26
21-28
19-22
21-13
18-24
17-22
19-14
21-19
17-20
29-24
163.2Avg total
80.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.880.2161.0+0.750%
Season at home (3)79.771.3151.0+8.367%
Season away (3)82.089.0171.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)80.283.0163.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)79.683.6163.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.888.8174.6-3.022%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.283.2162.4-4.041%
vs Weaker (4)81.074.5155.5+6.575%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1354%1406%1458%15010%15511%16012%16511%17010%1758%1806%1854%1902%1951%2001%2051%210
1%1252%1356%14510%15512%16510%1756%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 167 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 170.5.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
52.9%
@ 1.52-8.7pp
Under 165.5
47.1%
@ 2.50+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
WilliamHill
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Marathon Be
1.45
Under
WilliamHill
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Marathon Be
2.10
Over/Under 170.5 · main lineActual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
41.1%
@ 1.91-9.5pp
Under 170.5
58.9%
@ 1.94+9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88
Over/Under 175.5Actual: Under 175.5
Over 175.5
30.1%
@ 2.40-9.6pp
Under 175.5
69.9%
@ 1.57+9.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.35
WilliamHill
2.30
Marathon Be
2.25
Under
Marathon Be
1.57
WilliamHill
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Varese total 83Actual: Varese under 83
Over 83
61.0%
Under 83
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varese total 87 · main lineActual: Varese under 87
Over 87
45.5%
@ 1.84-4.9pp
Under 87
54.5%
@ 1.90+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.72
Under
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.72
Varese total 91Actual: Varese under 91
Over 91
30.6%
Under 91
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Udine total 77.5Actual: Udine over 77.5
Over 77.5
63.4%
@ 1.38-3.5pp
Under 77.5
36.6%
@ 3.05+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.28
Under
Betano
3.05
1xBet
2.39
Udine total 81.5 · main lineActual: Udine over 81.5
Over 81.5
48.2%
@ 1.87-9.2pp
Under 81.5
51.8%
@ 2.25+9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.60
WilliamHill
1.60
1xBet
1.50
Under
WilliamHill
2.25
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.06
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Udine total 85.5Actual: Udine under 85.5
Over 85.5
33.4%
@ 2.12-11.2pp
Under 85.5
66.6%
@ 1.70+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
WilliamHill
2.05
1xBet
1.94
Under
WilliamHill
1.70
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.56

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-300%-271%-241%-212%-183%-155%-126%-98%-68%-36%+010%+310%+69%+98%+126%+155%+183%+213%+242%+271%+301%+330%+36
0%-271%-213%-156%-98%-310%+39%+96%+153%+212%+271%+33
Margin from Varese's side (positive = Varese win). Pythia's expected margin is +4.6; Varese win by 1+ in 58% of simulations.
Spread Varese -7Actual: Udine +7
VAR -7
42.3%
@ 2.40+3.1pp
UDI +7
57.7%
@ 1.54-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
VAR
Bet365
2.40
Marathon Be
2.34
UDI
Bet365
1.54
Marathon Be
1.51
Spread Varese -4 · main lineActual: Udine +4
VAR -4
53.9%
@ 1.95+4.6pp
UDI +4
46.1%
@ 1.88-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
VAR
Marathon Be
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
SBO
1.89
Bet365
1.86
UDI
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.83
SBO
1.77
Spread Varese -1Actual: Udine +1
VAR -1
64.8%
@ 1.60+4.9pp
UDI +1
35.2%
@ 2.36-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
VAR
Marathon Be
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.54
UDI
Pinnacle
2.36
Bet365
2.35
Marathon Be
2.19

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
VareseUdine
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
82.9Avg total
41.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85
Last 30 (30)41.142.483.5-1.343%53%
Last 30 at home (14)42.842.184.9+0.650%57%
Last 30 away (16)39.642.782.3-3.138%50%
Last 10 (10)41.741.282.9+0.560%60%
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.545.386.7-3.827%73%
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.041.281.2-1.247%40%
vs Weaker (4)44.239.283.5+5.075%50%
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/11
Lega A
79.6Avg total
41.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85
Last 30 (30)41.139.880.9+1.453%23%
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.980.1+2.367%13%
Last 30 away (15)41.140.781.7+0.440%33%
Last 10 (10)41.038.679.6+2.450%30%
Last 5 (5)39.238.077.2+1.240%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.742.484.1-0.856%33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.439.881.1+1.653%24%
vs Weaker (4)39.033.872.8+5.250%0%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Varese win
VAR win
60.7%
@ 1.65+1.2pp
UDI win
39.3%
@ 2.35-1.2pp
1st half Spread Varese -2 · main lineActual: Varese -2
VAR -2
52.3%
@ 1.93+3.0pp
UDI +2
47.7%
@ 1.88-3.0pp
1st half Over/Under 85 · main lineActual: Over 85
Over
43.3%
@ 1.91-6.7pp
Under
56.7%
@ 1.95+6.7pp
Varese 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Varese over 43.5
Over
47.1%
@ 1.93-3.8pp
Under
52.9%
@ 1.92+3.8pp
Udine 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Udine under 40.5
Over
49.1%
@ 1.83-4.2pp
Under
50.9%
@ 2.00+4.2pp
1st half: VAR + total 84.5
VAR & over
26.8%
@ 3.10-1.2pp
VAR & under
31.5%
@ 3.25+4.8pp
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
1.7%
@ 26.00-1.7pp
Draw & under
2.3%
@ 26.00-1.1pp
1st half: UDI + total 84.5
UDI & over
17.1%
@ 4.50-2.2pp
UDI & under
20.6%
@ 4.50+1.3pp
1st half Over/Under 83.75Actual: Over 83.75
Over
49.5%
@ 1.72-3.0pp
Under
50.5%
@ 1.90+3.0pp
1st half Over/Under 86.25Actual: Over 86.25
Over
37.8%
@ 1.88-10.4pp
Under
62.2%
@ 1.75+10.4pp
1st half Spread Varese -3Actual: Varese -3
VAR -3
48.4%
@ 1.98+1.2pp
UDI +3
51.6%
@ 1.77-1.2pp
1st half Spread Varese -1Actual: Varese -1
VAR -1
56.5%
@ 1.75+2.0pp
UDI +1
43.5%
@ 2.09-2.0pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5
Over
53.3%
@ 1.62-4.6pp
Under
46.7%
@ 2.25+4.6pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
34.2%
@ 2.30-7.4pp
Under
65.8%
@ 1.62+7.4pp
1st half Spread Varese -4.5Actual: Varese -4.5
VAR -4.5
42.3%
@ 2.27+0.8pp
UDI +4.5
57.7%
@ 1.64-0.8pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Udine (regulation)
VAR
58.3%
@ 1.70+3.5pp
Draw
3.9%
@ 19.00-1.7pp
UDI
37.8%
@ 2.35-1.8pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
VAR win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
UDI win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: UDI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (VAR:UDI): VAR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Q4: Varese +4.577.9%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+10.7ppWon
Udine under 87.573.2%1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
---+10.6ppWon
Udine under 89.579.0%1.31
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
---+10.5ppWon
1st half: Udine under 44.572.3%1.41
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.41
Bet365
1.34
--+10.3ppWon
Udine under 86.570.0%1.52
WilliamHill
1.57
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.48
-+10.2ppWon
Q1: Under 45.570.8%1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
---+10.0ppWon
Q1: Varese under 25.578.7%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+9.9ppLost
Udine under 88.576.2%1.37
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.36
--+9.7ppWon
Under 176.571.9%1.50
WilliamHill
1.53
Marathon Bet
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
+9.7ppWon
2nd half: Varese +5.578.6%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+9.7ppLost
Q1: Under 47.579.6%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+9.7ppWon
Q4: Varese +3.573.4%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+9.7ppWon
2nd half: Varese +4.575.5%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+9.4ppLost
Udine under 90.581.6%1.27
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.26
---+9.2ppWon
Under 17875.2%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
---+8.9ppWon
Q3: Udine under 23.575.6%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+8.9ppLost
1st half: Under 91.578.8%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+8.8ppWon
Under 17671.3%1.52
Marathon Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
---+8.8ppWon
2nd half: Varese +3.572.0%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+8.8ppLost
1st half: Udine under 45.576.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
---+8.8ppWon
Under 17773.3%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.49
Bet365
1.44
---+8.7ppWon
Q1: Under 49.586.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+8.7ppWon
2nd half: Udine under 45.575.5%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+8.7ppWon
1st half: Under 93.583.9%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+8.6ppWon
Udine under 93.588.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+8.5ppWon
Q3: Varese under 24.574.9%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+8.5ppWon
1st half: Varese under 48.578.6%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+8.5ppLost
Under 177.573.8%1.43
Marathon Bet
1.47
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
--+8.5ppWon
Under 178.575.7%1.39
Marathon Bet
1.43
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
--+8.5ppWon
Under 180.579.1%1.31
Betano
1.31
----+8.5ppWon
1st half: Under 95.587.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+8.4ppWon
Udine under 92.586.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+8.3ppWon
Udine under 94.589.8%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+8.3ppWon
1st half: Under 89.572.5%1.46
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.45
WilliamHill
1.40
--+8.3ppWon
Under 179.577.4%1.34
Marathon Bet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
--+8.3ppWon
Under 181.580.7%1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27
---+8.3ppWon
2nd half: Udine under 44.570.9%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+8.2ppWon
Under 17977.0%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.35
---+8.1ppWon
Q1: Udine under 23.575.0%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.33
--+8.1ppWon
Q4: Varese over 17.577.2%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+7.6ppWon
Q1: Varese under 24.572.6%1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
--+7.5ppLost
Udine under 91.584.0%1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.16
---+7.2ppWon
1st half: Under 94.585.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+7.1ppWon
Under 186.587.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+7.0ppWon
Varese under 98.588.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+7.0ppWon
Varese under 97.586.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+7.0ppWon
1st half: Under 92.581.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+7.0ppWon
Q1: Udine under 25.585.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+7.0ppWon
Q2: Udine under 23.574.5%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+7.0ppLost
Q4: Varese over 18.571.0%1.37
1xBet
1.37
----+6.9ppLost
1st half: Under 90.575.7%1.35
WilliamHill
1.36
Bet365
1.35
---+6.8ppWon
Udine under 100.596.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.8ppWon
1st half: Udine under 46.581.0%1.22
1xBet
1.24
Bet365
1.20
---+6.8ppWon
1st half: Udine under 47.584.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+6.7ppWon
Varese under 104.596.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.7ppWon
Varese under 94.579.4%1.26
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.24
---+6.6ppWon
Varese under 96.584.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+6.6ppWon
Udine under 96.592.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Udine under 49.590.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+6.5ppWon
Udine under 98.594.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.5ppWon
Udine under 102.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.4ppWon
1st half: Varese under 49.582.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.4ppWon
Q1: Udine under 27.593.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+6.4ppWon
Q1: Udine under 24.580.9%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+6.4ppWon
Udine under 103.597.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.4ppWon
Varese under 107.597.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.4ppWon
1st half: Varese under 47.574.2%1.33
Bet365
1.34
1xBet
1.33
---+6.3ppLost
Varese under 93.576.6%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+6.3ppWon
Varese under 106.597.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.2ppWon
Varese under 102.594.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.2ppWon
Varese under 92.573.6%1.34
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
--+6.2ppWon
Varese under 100.591.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+6.2ppWon
Q1: Udine under 29.596.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.1ppWon
Q1: Varese under 26.583.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+6.1ppWon
Udine under 104.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.1ppWon
Varese under 108.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.1ppWon
Q1: Udine under 26.589.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+6.0ppWon
1st half: Udine under 51.594.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.0ppWon
Q1: Varese under 30.596.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+6.0ppWon
Varese under 91.570.4%1.38
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
---+5.9ppWon
Varese +7.584.5%1.17
Betano
1.17
----+5.9ppWon
Q1: Udine under 28.595.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.9ppWon
Under 196.595.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.8ppWon
Q1: Udine under 30.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.8ppWon
Under 191.592.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+5.7ppWon
Q1: Varese under 28.591.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+5.6ppWon
1st half: Varese under 53.593.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+5.6ppWon
Varese +5.579.9%1.24
Betano
1.24
----+5.6ppWon
Udine under 101.597.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.5ppWon
1st half: Varese under 51.588.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+5.5ppWon
Varese +16.595.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.3ppWon
Udine +25.595.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.2ppWon
Udine +16.584.5%1.16
Betano
1.16
----+5.1ppWon
Q1: Varese over 12.596.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.1ppWon
Q1: Udine under 31.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.1ppWon
Udine over 60.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.0ppWon
Udine over 61.597.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Varese under 32.598.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.9ppWon
Q4: Udine under 23.571.6%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+4.9ppWon
2nd half: Varese over 37.575.2%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+4.6ppLost
Overtime: no95.1%1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
--+4.5ppWon
Varese +6.582.3%1.19
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
---+4.5ppWon
Q2: Varese under 24.573.1%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+4.5ppWon
2nd half: Varese over 38.570.6%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+4.4ppLost
Varese +21.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.4ppWon
Under 193.593.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.4ppWon
Udine +30.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
Varese +3.574.5%1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.28
--+4.3ppWon
Varese +2.571.9%1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.34
1xBet
1.31
-+4.3ppLost
Varese over 66.596.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
1st half: Udine under 50.592.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.3ppWon
Udine +20.590.9%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+4.3ppWon
Q4: Udine over 17.571.0%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+4.2ppLost
Under 183.583.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+4.2ppWon
Q2: Varese over 18.571.7%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+4.2ppWon
Q1: Varese +5.583.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+4.2ppWon
Q1: Varese +3.575.6%1.27
Bet365
1.27
1xBet
1.27
---+4.1ppWon
Varese over 68.594.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.1ppWon
Udine +1377.1%1.26
Bet365
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.25
---+4.0ppWon
1st half: Udine over 30.592.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.0ppWon
Varese +11.591.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.9ppWon
1st half: Udine under 48.587.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+3.9ppWon
Udine +23.594.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.9ppWon
Q1: Udine over 11.596.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.9ppWon
Varese +270.8%1.37
Bet365
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.36
---+3.8ppLost
Q1: Udine over 10.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.8ppWon
Varese +14.594.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.8ppWon
Varese +373.8%1.31
Bet365
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.30
---+3.8ppPush
Udine over 62.596.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.8ppWon
Varese +19.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.7ppWon
Udine over 64.594.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.6ppWon
Under 188.589.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+3.6ppWon
Varese over 69.594.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.6ppWon
Udine +28.597.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.5ppWon
Varese over 67.595.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.5ppWon
Udine +15.582.4%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.15
---+3.5ppWon
Q1: Udine +5.572.5%1.32
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
---+3.5ppLost
Q4: Varese under 24.572.1%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+3.5ppWon
Q1: Udine over 12.594.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.4ppWon
1st half: Varese over 33.590.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.4ppWon
1st half: Varese +6.582.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+3.3ppWon
Q1: Varese or Udine94.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.3ppWon
Q1: Udine +7.581.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+3.2ppLost
Varese over 70.592.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.2ppWon
Q1: Varese +2.571.0%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+3.2ppWon
1st half: Udine over 32.587.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+3.2ppWon
2nd half: Varese under 46.570.5%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+3.1ppWon
Q1: Varese over 14.592.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.1ppWon
Udine over 63.595.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.1ppWon
1st half: Udine +12.585.4%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+3.1ppWon
1st half: Varese over 35.585.3%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+3.0ppWon
Udine over 66.592.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.7ppWon
Varese +4.577.3%1.24
Betano
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.24
Bet365
1.20
--+2.6ppWon
Udine over 65.593.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+2.5ppWon
1st half: Varese +8.587.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+2.4ppWon
1st half: Over 73.582.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+2.4ppWon
Over 143.592.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.3ppWon
1st half: Udine over 34.580.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.2ppWon
Q2: Udine over 17.571.0%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+2.2ppWon
Q2: Varese or Udine94.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+2.2ppWon
Varese over 71.591.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.2ppWon
1st half: Varese +4.577.0%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+2.2ppWon
Varese over 72.589.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+2.1ppWon
1st half: Udine +10.579.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.0ppWon
Q1: Udine over 13.591.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+1.9ppWon
Udine +18.588.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+1.9ppWon
1st half: Udine over 36.571.4%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+1.9ppWon
1st half: Udine +8.573.3%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+1.9ppLost
1st half: Udine over 31.589.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+1.8ppWon
1st half: Varese over 37.577.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+1.7ppWon
2nd half: Udine +7.571.3%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+1.6ppWon
1st half: Varese +3.573.2%1.27
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.25
---+1.6ppWon
Varese +9.588.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+1.5ppWon
Varese over 74.585.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+1.4ppWon
Udine over 67.591.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+1.4ppWon
Q1: Varese over 16.584.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+1.3ppWon
Udine +14.580.2%1.17
Betano
1.17
----+1.2ppWon
Q1: Udine over 14.587.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+1.1ppLost
Udine over 68.589.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+1.1ppWon
Q1: Varese +4.579.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+1.0ppWon
1st half: Varese +7.585.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+0.9ppWon
1st half: Udine over 33.583.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+0.7ppWon
Q1: Udine +6.576.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+0.7ppLost
Varese over 76.581.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+0.6ppWon
1st half: Varese +5.580.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+0.5ppWon
1st half: Udine +11.582.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+0.4ppWon
Udine +13.577.7%1.21
Marathon Bet
1.24
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
--+0.4ppWon
Varese over 73.587.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+0.3ppWon
1st half: Over 74.580.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15
-----0.1ppWon
Over 146.588.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----0.1ppWon
Udine +12.575.1%1.22
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.21
---0.2ppWon
Over 148.586.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----0.3ppWon
1st half: Udine over 35.575.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----0.3ppWon
Varese over 78.575.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----0.5ppWon
Udine +11.572.3%1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.25
---0.5ppWon
Udine +1274.4%1.23
Bet365
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.22
----0.6ppWon
Udine over 70.584.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----0.6ppWon
Udine over 74.573.8%1.23
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
----0.8ppWon
Udine +1171.4%1.27
Bet365
1.29
Marathon Bet
1.26
----0.8ppWon
Varese over 75.583.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----0.8ppWon
Over 153.578.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----0.8ppWon
Udine over 69.587.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06
-----0.9ppWon
Q1: Udine over 15.582.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----0.9ppLost
1st half: Udine +9.576.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----1.1ppWon
Q1: Varese over 18.572.7%1.26
Bet365
1.26
-----1.1ppWon
Q1: Udine over 16.577.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----1.5ppLost
Varese over 79.572.6%1.22
Betano
1.22
-----1.5ppWon
Udine over 72.579.8%1.14
Bet365
1.14
-----1.6ppWon
Q1: Udine over 17.570.5%1.26
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
----1.7ppLost
1st half: Over 76.574.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----1.7ppWon
1st half: Over 75.577.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----1.9ppWon
Varese over 77.578.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15
-----2.0ppWon
Udine over 71.582.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----3.1ppWon
Udine over 75.570.5%1.23
Betano
1.23
-----3.2ppWon
1st half: Over 77.571.3%1.25
Bet365
1.25
-----3.4ppWon
Over 151.582.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----3.5ppWon
Q1: Over 37.572.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----3.7ppWon
Udine over 73.576.9%1.14
Bet365
1.14
-----4.5ppWon
Over 156.573.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----4.8ppWon
Varese +579.4%1.21
Marathon Bet
1.21
-----Won
Varese +476.6%1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25
-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
74.6%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.4
27.3%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
74.6%13.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLLWLWLL
Udine
WLLLWWLLWL
#6
League position
#8
-1.2
Net rating
-3.4
91.5
Offensive rating
91.7
92.7
Defensive rating
95.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
27.3%
66.7%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 91.7Defence92.7 · 95.2Shooting52.4% · 48.3%3-point %36.3% · 27.3%Ball care18.5% · 13.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Udine
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
1
Udine wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Udine v Varese81-92
23/11/25Varese v Udine59-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HTortona86-77
25/10/26AMaxima Roma75-81
18/10/26ATreviso86-102
10/10/26HTrento66-74
05/10/26ACantu85-84 OT
27/09/26HScafati87-63
10/05/26ABasket Napoli71-98
03/05/26HTrento69-76
25/04/26HCantu95-83
18/04/26ATreviso82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game88.888.089.7
Allowed / game88.292.384.0
Point differential+0.7-4.3+5.7
Avg total177.0180.3173.7
Over 170.550%33%67%
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Udine
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.879.782.0
Allowed / game80.271.389.0
Point differential+0.7+8.3-7.0
Avg total161.0151.0171.0
Over 170.517%0%33%
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
2 Virtus Bologna65183%96.786.8+9.8
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese64267%88.888.2+0.7
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
9 Udine63350%80.880.2+0.7
10 Verona63350%89.790.5-0.8
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 BC Roma72529%100.199.3+0.9
13 Reggiana72529%81.783.7-2.0
14 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2623141881
Udine1426271784
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.