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Ukmerges Stekas vs Vytis VDU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-96
28-17 25-22 11-26 25-31
Position#5
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game77.3
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Vytis VDU 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record3-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game86.2
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU
01 Oct 2026
UKME89
VYTI90
11 Dec 2025
UKME88
VYTI93
10 Oct 2024
UKME88
VYTI95
04 Nov 2023
UKME89
VYTI96
10 Dec 2022
UKME80
VYTI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
60-88
60
88
-28
47avg 66
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 66
A07/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
70avg 66
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 66
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 66
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-62
79
62
+17
68avg 66
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
58avg 66
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 66
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 66
A02/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-17
28-25
16-28
12-32
15-20
18-15
15-21
22-25
24-18
30-22
19-21
20-8
18-16
21-14
14-32
19-25
20-15
15-21
14-22
10-22
19-10
24-15
14-25
22-12
16-19
15-17
26-14
17-20
14-16
11-24
21-22
21-20
26-13
18-13
17-18
23-27
12-17
14-18
23-27
153.2Avg total
74.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.277.3150.6-4.144%
Season at home (2)80.563.0143.5+17.5100%
Season away (7)71.181.4152.6-10.329%
Last 10 (10)74.478.8153.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.079.0146.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.780.4155.1-5.743%
vs Weaker (20)84.377.4161.8+6.955%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H01/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A04/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 77
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 77
H07/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 77
A10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
62avg 77
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 77
A26/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
103avg 77
H28/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
A31/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
72avg 77
H02/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
16-23
12-23
19-17
16-21
22-21
23-28
12-17
22-17
24-21
21-19
12-25
25-22
17-21
24-22
18-25
14-28
23-13
21-17
20-22
19-19
25-20
24-15
5-25
24-18
21-20
21-20
27-21
36-15
23-27
19-26
29-30
22-20
29-23
15-24
18-17
17-25
22-12
19-23
17-23
169.5Avg total
83.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.686.2172.9+0.438%
Season at home (4)86.288.2174.5-2.025%
Season away (4)87.084.2171.2+2.850%
Last 10 (10)83.985.6169.5-1.730%
Last 5 (5)90.487.6178.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.682.8159.3-6.222%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.383.7165.0-2.430%
vs Weaker (11)86.778.8165.5+7.973%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
Ukmerges StekasVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/11
NKL
74.5Avg total
37.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.477.6+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.936.181.0+8.885%-
Last 30 away (17)36.638.475.1-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.474.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.271.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.737.372.0-2.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.938.673.4-3.743%-
vs Weaker (20)43.037.080.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A26/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H28/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/11
NKL
84.5Avg total
44.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.680.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.141.084.1+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)38.837.976.7+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.284.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.887.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.841.978.7-5.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.339.380.6+2.070%-
vs Weaker (11)44.437.982.3+6.573%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.115.3
47.8%
51.9%30.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.6%
33.3%28.0
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.4%
70.3%13.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.922.0
58.1%
51.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.3
36.2%
33.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws13.08.4
64.8%
70.3%8.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/7 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLWLLWWLL
Vytis VDU
LWWWLLLLLL
#5
League position
#7
-6.8
Net rating
-0.4
100.0
Offensive rating
111.6
106.8
Defensive rating
112.0
48.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.6%
3-point %
36.2%
76.1%
Assist %
59.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 111.6Defence106.8 · 112.0Shooting48.3% · 56.5%3-point %32.6% · 36.2%Ball care17.3% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 27.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukmerges Stekas wins
2
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU80-84 OT
22/11/22Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas85-83
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis72-89
28/10/23HKretinga82-64
26/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-82
21/10/23HKauno Atletas79-62
19/10/23ANeptunas 267-72
14/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga68-83
12/10/23AJurbarkas73-70
07/10/23ARytas 295-86
05/10/23AVilkaviskis60-88
23/03/23ARytas 285-92
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 275-83
31/10/23AVilkaviskis104-99 OT
28/10/23HNeptunas 2107-98
26/10/23AKauno Atletas93-79
19/10/23AJurbarkas73-79
10/10/23ATelsiai78-80
07/10/23HKretinga84-90
05/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga79-82
04/04/23AMazeikiai73-87
01/04/23HMazeikiai73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %44%100%29%
Points / game73.280.571.1
Allowed / game77.363.081.4
Point differential-4.1+17.5-10.3
Avg total150.6143.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game86.686.287.0
Allowed / game86.288.284.2
Point differential+0.4-2.0+2.8
Avg total172.9174.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai880100%90.076.1+13.9
2 BC Olimpas Palanga109190%86.473.3+13.1
3 Suduva-Mantinga65183%84.572.8+11.7
4 Jurbarkas96367%81.877.7+4.1
5 Delikatesas Joniskis85362%79.981.9-2.0
6 Vilkaviskis95456%81.879.4+2.3
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 294544%77.875.4+2.3
8 Silute94544%78.982.0-3.1
9 Ukmerges Stekas94544%73.277.3-4.1
10 Vytis VDU83538%86.686.2+0.4
11 Kauno Atletas93633%76.482.4-6.0
12 Kretinga92722%76.184.9-8.8
13 Rytas 292722%77.786.6-8.9
14 Neptunas 2101910%79.289.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2825112589
Vytis VDU1722263196
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