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Ukmerges Stekas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-71
22-22 20-18 18-7 21-24
Position#8
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
Position#2
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
08 Oct 2026
UKME108
ZALG87
03 Jan 2026
UKME64
ZALG71
03 Oct 2024
UKME81
ZALG71
18 Nov 2023
UKME61
ZALG79
22 Oct 2022
UKME67
ZALG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
65-56
65
56
+9
55avg 70
A08/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
73-61
73
61
+12
58avg 70
H10/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 70
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 70
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 70
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 70
A24/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 70
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 70
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 70
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 70
H10/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
17-13
11-8
22-20
19-18
16-17
17-6
21-20
20-21
17-17
19-14
26-24
12-14
24-18
21-16
29-27
29-26
17-12
27-17
20-24
14-18
22-21
16-20
23-19
16-17
17-18
19-23
15-22
24-15
23-18
31-9
14-22
30-29
24-21
14-18
17-20
15-22
23-25
18-18
24-16
153.6Avg total
79.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.873.8153.6+6.060%
Last 5 (5)79.878.2158.0+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.077.2146.2-8.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.274.4149.6+0.950%
vs Weaker (12)84.376.2160.6+8.183%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 68
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 68
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 68
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
61avg 68
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 68
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 68
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 68
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
64-67
64
67
-3
54avg 68
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
88-72
88
72
+16
88avg 68
A09/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 68
H11/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
22-26
22-17
25-28
15-25
22-23
20-20
22-26
23-17
26-14
19-22
19-31
22-21
20-13
13-18
15-21
19-23
19-23
16-11
9-24
18-16
16-22
16-21
15-20
16-14
14-12
12-17
14-18
12-19
15-13
14-16
23-19
25-16
25-17
20-24
18-15
21-25
23-17
21-13
18-32
153.4Avg total
74.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.978.5153.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)71.273.2144.4-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.074.8138.8-10.811%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.674.4149.9+1.235%
vs Weaker (4)84.271.8156.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.6-5.6
Ukmerges StekasZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A08/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/03
NKL
76.9Avg total
39.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.278.3-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.438.176.5+0.441%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.880.6-0.954%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.576.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.540.876.2-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.139.979.0-0.736%-
vs Weaker (12)40.138.078.1+2.167%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A09/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/03
NKL
77.0Avg total
39.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.374.1-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.236.472.6-0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)37.438.175.4-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.277.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.271.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.938.370.2-6.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.536.875.2+1.747%-
vs Weaker (4)41.037.278.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
52.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.413.6
60.7%
70.5%13.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.0
51.2%
52.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.4
26.6%
32.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws23.514.7
62.6%
70.5%14.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLWLLWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWLLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#2
+7.9
Net rating
-4.8
104.6
Offensive rating
97.8
96.7
Defensive rating
102.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
46.8%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
23.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
39.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.8%
3-point %
26.6%
61.3%
Assist %
58.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 97.8Defence96.7 · 102.5Shooting50.1% · 46.8%3-point %31.8% · 26.6%Ball care16.1% · 23.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 39.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
09/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-75
18/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 261-79
17/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-68
22/10/22Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 267-80
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis80-81
08/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis85-88
06/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis92-64
29/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis67-80
24/02/24ANeptunas 275-78
22/02/24HKretinga93-79
17/02/24HSilute86-75
15/02/24HRytas 282-76
10/02/24HKauno Atletas73-61
08/02/24AKauno Atletas65-56
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24HKretinga83-87
09/03/24AKretinga88-72
07/03/24HKretinga64-67
02/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga56-61
29/02/24HTelsiai65-79
22/02/24ASuduva-Mantinga63-81
17/02/24AVilkaviskis70-73
15/02/24HJurbarkas87-84
10/02/24AVytis VDU79-94
08/02/24HVytis VDU94-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai110100%85.067.0+18.0
2 Omega-Tauras110100%88.074.0+14.0
3 Silute110100%83.075.0+8.0
4 Alytaus Alytus1010%75.083.0-8.0
5 Delikatesas Joniskis1010%74.088.0-14.0
6 Jurbarkas1010%67.085.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2220182181
Zalgiris Kaunas 2221872471
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