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Ukmerges Stekas vs Vytis VDU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-95
16-15 26-23 17-31 29-26
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game72.0
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Vytis VDU 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.0
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU
01 Oct 2026
UKME89
VYTI90
11 Dec 2025
UKME88
VYTI93
10 Oct 2024
UKME88
VYTI95
04 Nov 2023
UKME89
VYTI96
10 Dec 2022
UKME80
VYTI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 71
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 71
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 71
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 71
A24/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 71
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 71
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 71
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 71
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 71
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
86avg 71
A05/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
17-17
19-14
26-24
12-14
24-18
21-16
29-27
29-26
17-12
27-17
20-24
14-18
22-21
16-20
23-19
16-17
17-18
19-23
15-22
24-15
23-18
31-9
14-22
30-29
24-21
14-18
17-20
15-22
23-25
18-18
24-16
22-22
20-18
18-7
21-24
22-26
28-16
21-11
22-20
159.9Avg total
83.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.072.0159.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.476.5159.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)86.275.4161.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.778.0150.7-5.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.773.7151.5+4.060%
vs Weaker (12)84.376.2160.6+8.183%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
87avg 80
H29/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 80
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 80
H07/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
110-100 OT
110
100
+10
no box
A09/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
116-115 OT
116
115
+1
no box
A14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
85-95
85
95
-10
74avg 80
H17/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 80
A20/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
83avg 80
H22/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
88avg 80
A25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 80
H05/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
25-25
21-20
22-23
19-17
25-25
15-19
11-24
27-19
21-22
18-21
22-20
26-24
16-23
30-24
21-22
18-22
22-33
27-26
32-18
15-18
24-30
21-25
25-22
22-24
19-20
24-23
33-37
30-18
18-21
30-21
16-29
23-26
26-24
19-25
26-23
20-26
25-21
23-13
22-25
187.1Avg total
93.3Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.393.8187.1-0.560%
Last 5 (5)92.294.2186.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.996.4179.2-13.525%
vs Similar ◀ (17)87.588.3175.8-0.841%
vs Weaker (5)93.685.2178.8+8.480%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
Ukmerges StekasVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/10
NKL
81.3Avg total
41.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.078.9+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.837.876.5+1.047%-
Last 30 away (13)41.440.782.1+0.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.481.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.488.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.339.779.9+0.647%-
vs Weaker (12)40.138.078.1+2.167%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H17/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H05/10
NKL
89.6Avg total
44.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.687.2-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.144.387.4-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)41.945.086.9-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)44.145.589.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.690.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.949.591.4-7.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.542.585.0-0.147%-
vs Weaker (5)43.844.087.8-0.240%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.0
54.2%
52.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.314.1
63.2%
70.5%14.1
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.524.9
61.5%
52.5%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.4
70.1%
70.5%12.4
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLWLLWWW
Vytis VDU
WLWLLWWWLW
#8
League position
#4
+9.7
Net rating
-3.0
108.7
Offensive rating
112.8
99.0
Defensive rating
115.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.7%
3-point %
31.1%
62.5%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 112.8Defence99.0 · 115.7Shooting52.6% · 55.5%3-point %33.7% · 31.1%Ball care16.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas75-79
04/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU89-96
10/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU80-84 OT
22/11/22Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas85-83
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24APlunges Olimpas93-73
03/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 281-71
10/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis80-81
08/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis85-88
06/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis92-64
29/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis67-80
24/02/24ANeptunas 275-78
22/02/24HKretinga93-79
17/02/24HSilute86-75
15/02/24HRytas 282-76
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HBC Olimpas Palanga90-85
25/03/24AJurbarkas94-98
22/03/24HJurbarkas94-89
20/03/24AJurbarkas98-104
17/03/24HJurbarkas85-95
14/03/24AJurbarkas116-115 OT
09/03/24ARytas 2110-100 OT
07/03/24HRytas 288-82
02/03/24AJurbarkas70-85
29/02/24HVilkaviskis88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.081.093.0
Allowed / game72.071.073.0
Point differential+15.0+10.0+20.0
Avg total159.0152.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total175.0175.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega-Tauras330100%88.772.3+16.3
2 Ukmerges Stekas220100%87.072.0+15.0
3 Neptunas 2220100%84.070.0+14.0
4 Telsiai330100%80.768.7+12.0
5 Vytis VDU110100%90.085.0+5.0
6 Jurbarkas32167%83.781.7+2.0
7 Vilkaviskis32167%84.082.7+1.3
8 BC Olimpas Palanga21150%82.569.5+13.0
9 Suduva-Mantinga21150%87.076.0+11.0
10 Kretinga21150%89.586.0+3.5
11 Silute31233%80.084.0-4.0
12 Rytas 231233%69.081.3-12.3
13 Alytaus Alytus3030%74.085.0-11.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas 22020%67.078.5-11.5
15 Delikatesas Joniskis3030%69.787.0-17.3
16 Plunges Olimpas3030%66.084.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1626172988
Vytis VDU1523312695
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