PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ukmerges Stekas vs Vilkaviskis Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.3/10
Below normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 19· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Vilkaviskis
03 Dec 2026
UKME v VILK
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
UKME72
VILK94
31 Oct 2024
UKME69
VILK77
12 Dec 2023
UKME99
VILK85
04 Mar 2023
UKME88
VILK84
12 Jan 2023
UKME87
VILK90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
55avg 72
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-107
76
107
-31
67avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
62avg 72
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 72
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
no box
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-25
14-16
16-19
13-30
27-27
21-26
15-24
16-31
20-27
18-21
16-25
14-19
17-17
18-17
25-17
20-32
14-27
19-20
23-18
9-20
21-23
16-21
18-23
12-24
15-29
22-22
25-22
12-14
17-27
17-9
12-23
19-16
25-20
11-20
21-13
23-21
12-26
29-26
32-18
161.9Avg total
73.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.988.1167.1-9.236%
Season at home (8)77.283.8161.0-6.538%
Season away (6)81.294.0175.2-12.833%
Last 10 (10)73.788.2161.9-14.530%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.289.2167.5-11.021%
vs Similar (6)79.885.8165.7-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
58avg 72
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 72
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 72
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
60avg 72
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
73-91
73
91
-18
54avg 72
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
no box
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
no box
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-15
12-35
16-23
20-24
24-18
20-16
18-15
17-14
23-29
18-17
23-27
17-19
16-21
23-13
18-19
20-21
23-22
15-21
15-27
23-21
21-24
19-35
18-27
24-12
29-15
22-22
22-25
17-19
20-18
9-21
14-22
20-9
22-24
23-29
20-23
26-23
18-16
29-21
24-20
167.2Avg total
81.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.186.1169.3-3.043%
Season at home (7)85.181.1166.3+4.071%
Season away (7)81.191.1172.3-10.014%
Last 10 (10)81.186.1167.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)86.288.8175.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.587.5162.0-12.918%
vs Similar (9)84.087.2171.2-3.222%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.680.5170.1+9.190%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
Ukmerges StekasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/11
NKL
83.1Avg total
34.9Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.745.281.9-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.544.180.6-7.622%-
Last 30 away (12)36.946.883.8-9.98%-
Last 10 (10)34.948.283.1-13.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.077.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.245.181.2-8.917%-
vs Similar (6)38.745.784.3-7.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/11
NKL
80.7Avg total
42.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.685.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.284.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.985.7-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.580.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.280.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.541.882.4-1.327%-
vs Similar (9)45.144.789.8+0.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.838.783.5+6.190%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.5
51.8%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
67.1%13.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.8
56.3%
54.5%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.8
26.9%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.211.0
60.4%
67.1%11.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLLLWLLL
Vilkaviskis
WLLWLLWLWL
#13
League position
#11
-9.0
Net rating
-5.7
90.1
Offensive rating
90.8
99.1
Defensive rating
96.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.8%
3-point %
26.9%
64.6%
Assist %
48.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 90.8Defence99.1 · 96.5Shooting50.1% · 51.2%3-point %31.8% · 26.9%Ball care15.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
8
Vilkaviskis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APlunges Olimpas96-91
12/11/26HRytas 276-69
07/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai58-73
05/11/26AVilkaviskis74-97
03/11/26HNeptunas 264-87
29/10/26AKedainiai BC76-97
24/10/26HMazeikiai74-70
22/10/26ATelsiai70-104
17/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga76-107
15/10/26HOmega-Tauras73-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKedainiai BC97-80
12/11/26AMazeikiai96-103 OT
07/11/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-80
05/11/26HUkmerges Stekas97-74
03/11/26HVytis VDU81-107
31/10/26APlunges Olimpas73-91
29/10/26HRytas 274-72
24/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga81-87
22/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-73
17/10/26ATelsiai70-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game78.977.281.2
Allowed / game88.183.894.0
Point differential-9.2-6.5-12.8
Avg total167.1161.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game83.185.181.1
Allowed / game86.181.191.1
Point differential-3.0+4.0-10.0
Avg total169.3166.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.