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Ukmerges Stekas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-94
22-23 21-27 16-21 13-23
Position#16
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Vilkaviskis
03 Dec 2026
UKME v VILK
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
UKME72
VILK94
31 Oct 2024
UKME69
VILK77
12 Dec 2023
UKME99
VILK85
04 Mar 2023
UKME88
VILK84
12 Jan 2023
UKME87
VILK90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 72
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
109-60
109
60
+49
111avg 72
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 72
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 72
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 72
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 72
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
93avg 72
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
100-98
100
98
+2
98avg 72
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
76avg 72
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 72
A11/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
13-24
23-18
21-15
34-15
24-17
22-17
29-11
23-29
23-15
20-27
28-16
16-18
21-26
25-23
22-10
26-18
23-26
32-23
16-17
16-20
14-18
20-22
15-17
31-14
16-31
25-12
25-15
34-30
23-24
18-22
25-22
17-21
27-25
14-25
21-19
13-16
24-26
19-23
19-20
168.2Avg total
87.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.780.5168.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)83.284.4167.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.068.0130.0-6.00%
vs Similar (24)78.279.0157.1-0.850%
vs Weaker (5)94.674.4169.0+20.280%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 71
A19/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
92-62
92
62
+30
86avg 71
H21/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
81avg 71
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 71
H31/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 71
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 71
H06/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
70avg 71
A08/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 71
A11/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
59avg 71
H14/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 71
A17/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
16-12
20-15
15-25
24-11
28-19
25-22
15-10
18-18
23-15
28-15
20-18
17-15
16-15
20-24
27-18
27-23
21-19
13-23
24-24
14-27
16-16
21-17
18-18
18-17
27-20
17-12
22-32
11-19
24-21
18-26
21-23
19-13
20-24
18-22
15-28
17-22
21-14
22-25
16-17
156.1Avg total
78.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.677.5156.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)75.082.6157.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.285.0162.2-7.820%
vs Similar (20)79.578.8158.2+0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.876.4163.2+10.4100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Ukmerges StekasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/03
NKL
86.9Avg total
43.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.680.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.177.4+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.244.084.2-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.186.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.088.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (24)38.841.280.0-2.438%-
vs Weaker (5)47.236.483.6+10.8100%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H21/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A08/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/04
NKL
75.2Avg total
39.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.479.8+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.280.1+3.771%-
Last 30 away (16)39.140.479.6-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.175.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.676.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.480.2-0.660%-
vs Similar (20)39.938.978.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.440.684.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.1
56.3%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.4
32.6%
32.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.713.3
67.5%
69.3%13.3
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.1
50.7%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.710.8
68.8%
69.3%10.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLWWLWWWWW
Vilkaviskis
LLLWLLWWWL
#16
League position
#7
+8.9
Net rating
+1.2
113.2
Offensive rating
105.7
104.3
Defensive rating
104.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
32.9%
68.9%
Assist %
45.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 105.7Defence104.3 · 104.5Shooting52.9% · 50.2%3-point %32.6% · 32.9%Ball care14.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds30.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
5
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Vilkaviskis v Ukmerges Stekas89-82
31/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Vilkaviskis69-77
12/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Vilkaviskis99-85
05/10/23Vilkaviskis v Ukmerges Stekas88-60
04/03/23Ukmerges Stekas v Vilkaviskis88-84
11/02/23Vilkaviskis v Ukmerges Stekas80-64
12/01/23Ukmerges Stekas v Vilkaviskis87-90
06/10/22Vilkaviskis v Ukmerges Stekas59-62
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AOmega-Tauras75-85
09/03/25HOmega-Tauras79-90
06/03/25AOmega-Tauras100-98
01/03/25HDelikatesas Joniskis97-72
27/02/25APlunges Olimpas65-77
22/02/25ARytas 297-84
20/02/25HNeptunas 284-77
13/02/25ASilute94-87
08/02/25HAlytaus Alytus109-60
06/02/25AKretinga77-75
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25ATelsiai76-78
14/04/25HTelsiai72-87
11/04/25ATelsiai74-89
08/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-81
06/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas 269-78
03/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas 285-89
31/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-72
28/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas 289-66
21/03/25HJurbarkas92-62
19/03/25AJurbarkas65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega-Tauras110100%91.081.0+10.0
2 Mazeikiai110100%81.074.0+7.0
3 Silute110100%90.085.0+5.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 2110100%90.088.0+2.0
5 Telsiai1010%88.090.0-2.0
6 Alytaus Alytus1010%85.090.0-5.0
7 BC Olimpas Palanga1010%74.081.0-7.0
8 Neptunas 21010%81.091.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2221161372
Vilkaviskis2327212394
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