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Ukmerges Stekas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-79
29-26 17-12 27-17 20-24
Position#5
Record20-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#8
Record13-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.4
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga
12 Dec 2026
UKME v KRET
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UKME103
KRET107
20 Nov 2025
UKME98
KRET88
21 Dec 2024
UKME76
KRET58
22 Feb 2024
UKME93
KRET79
28 Oct 2023
UKME82
KRET64
04 Feb 2023
UKME94
KRET75
22 Dec 2022
UKME74
KRET90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
60avg 69
A09/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
97-76
97
76
+21
99avg 69
A18/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 69
A20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 69
A27/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 69
H01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
92-107
92
107
-15
85avg 69
A03/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
65-56
65
56
+9
55avg 69
A08/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
73-61
73
61
+12
58avg 69
H10/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 69
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 69
H17/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
25-15
14-23
25-16
24-18
18-20
29-23
26-15
27-24
19-11
15-26
21-7
23-23
23-29
15-17
13-19
13-24
22-22
22-15
22-14
23-20
23-25
21-35
25-27
15-15
17-13
11-8
22-20
19-18
16-17
17-6
21-20
20-21
17-17
19-14
26-24
12-14
24-18
21-16
29-27
156.1Avg total
80.5Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.576.1152.6+0.457%
Season at home (17)78.174.1152.2+3.965%
Season away (18)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.575.6156.1+4.980%
Last 5 (5)79.675.0154.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.878.2146.0-10.40%
vs Similar (13)74.575.0149.5-0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.874.9158.8+8.992%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 70
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 70
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 70
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 70
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
56avg 70
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
100avg 70
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 70
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 70
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 70
A17/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
22-18
19-17
20-28
24-23
17-22
15-27
16-29
5-9
24-22
17-19
19-31
24-16
23-28
19-19
18-20
22-20
26-20
12-16
19-10
21-30
18-21
18-30
21-29
20-23
25-23
35-21
27-25
26-19
26-25
15-21
17-14
17-23
16-34
27-22
24-17
25-17
15-27
19-23
25-20
170.3Avg total
82.6Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.683.4162.0-4.738%
Season at home (17)79.583.1162.6-3.541%
Season away (17)77.883.7161.5-5.935%
Last 10 (10)82.687.7170.3-5.150%
Last 5 (5)87.492.8180.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.186.9161.0-12.812%
vs Similar (22)79.782.5162.3-2.845%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
Ukmerges StekasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A18/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A08/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/02
NKL
77.5Avg total
39.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.277.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.436.776.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (13)38.040.178.1-2.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.477.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.639.874.4-5.220%-
vs Similar (13)38.639.077.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.836.677.3+4.275%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/02
NKL
86.3Avg total
42.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.581.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.881.4+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.843.582.3-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.986.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.490.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.942.081.9-2.125%-
vs Similar (22)40.541.381.8-0.941%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.1
52.3%
51.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.1
35.1%
33.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.612.9
62.6%
70.3%12.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.921.2
46.2%
51.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.7
34.9%
33.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.119.1
79.3%
70.3%19.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWWWLWLWWW
Kretinga
LLWWLWWLLW
#5
League position
#8
+5.3
Net rating
-6.5
107.2
Offensive rating
104.0
101.9
Defensive rating
110.5
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.1%
3-point %
34.9%
64.2%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 104.0Defence101.9 · 110.5Shooting52.4% · 48.0%3-point %35.1% · 34.9%Ball care16.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds27.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
2
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HSilute86-75
15/02/24HRytas 282-76
10/02/24HKauno Atletas73-61
08/02/24AKauno Atletas65-56
03/02/24AKretinga92-107
01/02/24HNeptunas 279-75
27/01/24ADelikatesas Joniskis74-88
20/01/24ASilute82-68
18/01/24ARytas 297-76
09/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas 275-74
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AKauno Atletas84-87
10/02/24ANeptunas 284-96
08/02/24HNeptunas 284-79
03/02/24HUkmerges Stekas107-92
01/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis78-110
27/01/24ARytas 279-66
25/01/24HSilute84-83
20/01/24HKauno Atletas65-81
06/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga72-101
04/01/24HJurbarkas89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %57%65%50%
Points / game76.578.175.0
Allowed / game76.174.178.0
Point differential+0.4+3.9-3.0
Avg total152.6152.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWWW41%
AwayLWLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %38%41%35%
Points / game78.679.577.8
Allowed / game83.483.183.7
Point differential-4.7-3.5-5.9
Avg total162.0162.6161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3429585%81.671.5+10.2
2 Suduva-Mantinga3528780%85.373.8+11.6
3 Telsiai3628878%83.673.0+10.5
4 Ukmerges Stekas35201557%76.576.1+0.4
5 Delikatesas Joniskis35181751%81.083.9-2.9
6 Jurbarkas35171849%80.880.9-0.1
7 Vytis VDU35171849%85.685.9-0.3
8 Vilkaviskis35171849%79.182.2-3.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 236162044%74.874.3+0.5
10 Kauno Atletas36142239%76.479.2-2.8
11 Kretinga34132138%78.683.4-4.7
12 Rytas 236112531%81.788.9-7.2
13 Neptunas 235102529%77.583.6-6.1
14 Silute3582723%78.284.2-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2917272093
Kretinga2612172479
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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