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Neptunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-75
18-14 21-22 20-16 19-23
Position#12
Record10-25
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game83.6
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#5
Record21-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.2
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
16 Jan 2027
NEPT v UKME
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
NEPT77
UKME70
13 Dec 2025
NEPT92
UKME93
12 Oct 2024
NEPT85
UKME67
24 Feb 2024
NEPT78
UKME75
19 Oct 2023
NEPT72
UKME67
23 Feb 2023
NEPT90
UKME89
14 Jan 2023
NEPT53
UKME62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
66avg 71
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 71
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
70avg 71
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
62avg 71
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 71
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
79avg 71
A01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 71
A08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
96-84
96
84
+12
92avg 71
H10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
81avg 71
H15/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
82avg 71
A17/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
22-11
21-25
9-17
19-25
18-18
24-16
21-18
27-25
16-9
20-19
15-16
25-21
6-22
23-24
20-22
24-25
28-17
9-15
25-18
24-13
22-22
15-22
14-22
19-26
25-26
21-15
14-17
23-17
34-16
22-27
17-24
27-20
17-25
30-12
15-19
23-29
22-26
28-20
16-13
160.6Avg total
81.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)77.583.6161.1-6.129%
Season at home (17)76.981.3158.2-4.435%
Season away (18)78.185.7163.8-7.622%
Last 10 (10)81.778.9160.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)85.682.2167.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.284.9157.2-12.70%
vs Similar (18)81.182.6163.7-1.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
97-76
97
76
+21
99avg 70
A18/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 70
A20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 70
A27/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 70
H01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
92-107
92
107
-15
85avg 70
A03/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
65-56
65
56
+9
55avg 70
A08/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
73-61
73
61
+12
58avg 70
H10/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 70
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 70
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 70
H22/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
18-20
29-23
26-15
27-24
19-11
15-26
21-7
23-23
23-29
15-17
13-19
13-24
22-22
22-15
22-14
23-20
23-25
21-35
25-27
15-15
17-13
11-8
22-20
19-18
16-17
17-6
21-20
20-21
17-17
19-14
26-24
12-14
24-18
21-16
29-27
29-26
17-12
27-17
20-24
158.4Avg total
82.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.976.2153.1+0.858%
Season at home (18)78.974.4153.3+4.567%
Season away (18)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)82.376.1158.4+6.280%
Last 5 (5)79.869.4149.2+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.878.2146.0-10.40%
vs Similar (12)74.276.1150.2-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.575.2159.8+9.392%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
Neptunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H25/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A17/02
NKL
84.6Avg total
43.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.882.1-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.840.179.9-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)38.945.184.0-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.884.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.091.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.144.580.6-8.425%-
vs Similar (18)41.441.683.1-0.239%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A18/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A08/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/02
NKL
78.8Avg total
40.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.477.5+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.937.177.0+2.853%-
Last 30 away (13)38.040.178.1-2.146%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.778.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.271.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.639.874.4-5.220%-
vs Similar (12)38.739.778.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.236.777.8+4.577%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.4
49.7%
51.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.716.7
70.5%
70.3%16.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.8
34.6%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.312.8
60.1%
70.3%12.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWLLWLWWW
Ukmerges Stekas
WWWWWLWLWW
#12
League position
#5
+4.2
Net rating
+7.5
107.5
Offensive rating
109.2
103.3
Defensive rating
101.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.5%
3-point %
34.6%
67.4%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 109.2Defence103.3 · 101.7Shooting49.9% · 53.2%3-point %33.5% · 34.6%Ball care18.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds33.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
01/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 279-75
09/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 278-64
19/10/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas72-67
23/02/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas90-89 OT
26/01/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2102-65
14/01/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas53-62
12/11/22Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 283-71
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ARytas 289-88
15/02/24HKauno Atletas89-76
10/02/24HKretinga96-84
08/02/24AKretinga79-84
01/02/24AUkmerges Stekas75-79
27/01/24ASilute86-75
25/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis74-89
20/01/24HRytas 278-69
18/01/24AKauno Atletas82-77
06/01/24HKauno Atletas69-68
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HKretinga93-79
17/02/24HSilute86-75
15/02/24HRytas 282-76
10/02/24HKauno Atletas73-61
08/02/24AKauno Atletas65-56
03/02/24AKretinga92-107
01/02/24HNeptunas 279-75
27/01/24ADelikatesas Joniskis74-88
20/01/24ASilute82-68
18/01/24ARytas 297-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW29%
HomeWWLWW35%
AwayWWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %29%35%22%
Points / game77.576.978.1
Allowed / game83.681.385.7
Point differential-6.1-4.4-7.6
Avg total161.1158.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game76.978.975.0
Allowed / game76.274.478.0
Point differential+0.8+4.5-3.0
Avg total153.1153.3153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%39%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3631586%82.372.3+10.0
2 Suduva-Mantinga3528780%85.373.8+11.6
3 Telsiai3628878%83.673.0+10.5
4 Ukmerges Stekas36211558%76.976.2+0.8
5 Delikatesas Joniskis35181751%81.083.9-2.9
6 Jurbarkas37181949%80.881.2-0.4
7 Vytis VDU36171947%85.886.1-0.3
8 Vilkaviskis36171947%79.182.1-3.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 236162044%74.874.3+0.5
10 Kauno Atletas36142239%76.479.2-2.8
11 Kretinga35132237%78.783.7-5.0
12 Rytas 236112531%81.788.9-7.2
13 Neptunas 235102529%77.583.6-6.1
14 Silute3582723%78.284.2-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21821201978
Ukmerges Stekas1422162375
← all games of the day
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