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Ukmerges Stekas vs Vytis VDU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-90 (OT)
25-22 21-17 17-23 17-18 9-10
Position#14
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Vytis VDU 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaNKLRound 1· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU
01 Oct 2026
UKME89
VYTI90
11 Dec 2025
UKME88
VYTI93
10 Oct 2024
UKME88
VYTI95
04 Nov 2023
UKME89
VYTI96
10 Dec 2022
UKME80
VYTI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
62-80
62
80
-18
55avg 71
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 71
H10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
58avg 71
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
80-94
80
94
-14
60avg 71
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 71
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 71
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 71
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
93avg 71
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
92-101
92
101
-9
81avg 71
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
89avg 71
H14/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
17-16
12-21
12-26
9-22
21-18
15-29
25-12
18-23
20-20
21-16
11-18
11-29
21-20
27-18
21-27
21-19
14-26
23-22
24-31
19-29
13-21
18-19
29-18
29-25
19-24
19-24
16-14
13-24
26-18
24-31
20-10
31-25
16-29
26-23
19-24
19-17
21-28
21-21
29-24
172.4Avg total
81.8Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.890.6172.4-8.810%
Last 5 (5)90.895.2186.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.388.7169.0-8.422%
vs Similar (3)79.092.3171.3-13.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
90avg 83
A31/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
91avg 83
H04/04
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
64avg 83
A08/04
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 83
H10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-80
71
80
-9
63avg 83
H12/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 83
A15/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 83
H18/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 83
H23/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 83
A25/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
78avg 83
H28/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-22
23-15
34-24
28-19
19-17
18-25
26-30
21-16
12-20
21-20
21-13
24-23
19-19
22-24
25-19
18-23
24-21
8-27
21-9
23-25
18-31
20-26
22-7
18-25
16-14
21-23
28-22
24-24
24-31
27-22
26-14
17-25
31-16
20-23
19-14
19-26
21-17
25-22
21-10
171.1Avg total
87.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.583.6171.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)88.083.4171.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.0102.5197.5-7.50%
vs Similar (16)87.285.4172.7+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.588.5181.0+4.067%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +8.1+8.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +8.1+8.1
Ukmerges StekasVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/03
NKL
82.9Avg total
37.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.144.881.9-7.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.244.480.6-8.121%-
Last 30 away (16)37.945.183.0-7.212%-
Last 10 (10)37.945.082.9-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)41.248.089.2-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.444.380.7-7.919%-
vs Similar (3)43.349.092.3-5.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H04/04
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A08/04
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H23/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/04
NKL
84.6Avg total
41.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.689.1+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.443.389.7+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)44.543.988.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.184.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.889.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.055.099.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (16)45.143.989.0+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.341.287.6+5.175%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.623.4
48.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.4
31.0%
31.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.512.8
65.6%
67.1%12.8
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.323.6
60.1%
54.5%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.416.6
65.4%
67.1%16.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLWLLLLLLL
Vytis VDU
WWWLLLWWLW
#14
League position
#5
-9.1
Net rating
+5.2
86.6
Offensive rating
98.4
95.7
Defensive rating
93.2
47.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.0%
3-point %
31.9%
55.8%
Assist %
56.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 98.4Defence95.7 · 93.2Shooting47.6% · 55.3%3-point %31.0% · 31.9%Ball care15.3% · 14.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
7
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU88-93
09/10/25Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas81-66
09/01/25Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas83-77
10/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU88-95
23/12/23Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas75-79
04/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU89-96
10/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU80-84 OT
22/11/22Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas85-83
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HKretinga103-107 OT
12/03/26AAlytaus Alytus92-101
07/03/26ABC Olimpas Palanga97-94 OT
05/03/26HOmega-Tauras83-87
03/03/26HJurbarkas79-87
26/02/26APlunges Olimpas82-98
21/02/26HSilute80-94
19/02/26ANeptunas 270-77
10/02/26HKedainiu SC70-81
07/02/26HRytas 262-80
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/26HVilkaviskis86-75
25/04/26AVilkaviskis87-78
23/04/26HVilkaviskis101-91
18/04/26HNeptunas 283-84
15/04/26ANeptunas 283-89
12/04/26HNeptunas 271-80
10/04/26HKretinga90-85
08/04/26AKretinga75-69
04/04/26HKretinga103-107 OT
31/03/26AKretinga96-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vytis VDU
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega-Tauras110100%127.089.0+38.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%107.593.5+14.0
3 Vilkaviskis1010%104.0107.0-3.0
4 Alytaus Patriotai1010%83.0108.0-25.0
5 Kedainiai BC1010%89.0127.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ukmerges Stekas25211717989
Vytis VDU221723181090
← all games of the day
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