PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 78-77
22-21 14-15 11-22 31-19
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Brescia
05 Jun 2026
MIL91
BRE86
03 Jun 2026
MIL93
BRE68
01 Feb 2026
MIL81
BRE90
13 Oct 2024
MIL88
BRE85
27 May 2024
MIL77
BRE66
25 May 2024
MIL95
BRE89
28 Apr 2024
MIL83
BRE77
15 Feb 2023
MIL72
BRE75
02 Oct 2022
MIL78
BRE77
19 Feb 2022
MIL69
BRE63
12 Dec 2021
MIL76
BRE62
08 Nov 2020
MIL87
BRE56
04 Sep 2020
MIL81
BRE67
29 Sep 2019
MIL65
BRE73
25 Dec 2018
MIL87
BRE75
29 Sep 2018
MIL81
BRE59
26 May 2018
MIL89
BRE68
24 May 2018
MIL82
BRE85
26 Dec 2017
MIL74
BRE71
12 Feb 2017
MIL93
BRE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
88-71
88
71
+17
87avg 72
H28/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
91-82
91
82
+9
85avg 72
H30/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 72
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
66-62
66
62
+4
53avg 72
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
54avg 72
A10/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 72
H12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
77-62
77
62
+15
65avg 72
H14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 72
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
81-64
81
64
+17
75avg 72
H18/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
64-72 OT
64
72
-8
no box
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
18-16
21-15
17-14
22-18
19-31
27-20
23-13
17-19
30-15
24-19
16-16
13-10
15-17
22-13
16-22
23-18
15-21
16-17
14-19
31-27
17-18
30-23
16-14
16-24
24-10
15-21
22-7
12-25
25-17
21-20
20-22
29-16
14-20
18-10
20-18
12-8
14-14
12-14
21-23
151.7Avg total
79.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.472.3151.7+7.170%
Last 5 (5)78.872.8151.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)72.572.9145.4-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.773.6158.3+11.187%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 78
A09/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
69avg 78
A13/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
99-64
99
64
+35
105avg 78
H16/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 78
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
102-71
102
71
+31
100avg 78
H01/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
57-79
57
79
-22
33avg 78
A08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 78
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
55avg 78
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 78
A22/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
12-18
18-26
14-13
26-15
15-17
13-30
20-19
21-16
33-16
25-23
20-9
28-19
19-20
26-24
15-13
27-24
20-25
25-14
30-8
11-22
13-20
19-26
14-11
24-24
28-23
27-21
25-29
24-15
21-26
12-26
28-24
25-23
9-24
15-33
19-18
23-30
30-30
18-18
24-20
166.5Avg total
84.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.282.3166.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.892.6174.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.073.0142.0-4.033%
vs Similar (7)82.993.1176.0-10.329%
vs Weaker (18)88.274.8163.0+13.489%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.5+4.5
Olimpia MilanoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H18/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
76.8Avg total
39.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.577.1+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.336.177.4+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)37.639.076.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.076.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.874.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)36.538.174.6-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.437.981.3+5.567%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A09/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H01/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A22/05
Lega A
85.3Avg total
43.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.182.8+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.339.086.3+8.371%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.179.7-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.885.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.489.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.733.069.7+3.767%-
vs Similar (7)42.148.090.1-5.929%-
vs Weaker (18)45.137.682.7+7.467%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.2
52.5%
51.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
76.1%13.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.9
48.3%
51.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
36.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.616.5
73.0%
76.1%16.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWLWWWW
Brescia
LLLWLWWWLW
#1
League position
#8
+15.0
Net rating
+2.1
113.6
Offensive rating
109.3
98.5
Defensive rating
107.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.3%
3-point %
36.0%
64.6%
Assist %
61.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 109.3Defence98.5 · 107.2Shooting52.1% · 50.7%3-point %34.3% · 36.0%Ball care12.7% · 15.3%Off. rebounds27.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/22HVirtus Bologna64-72 OT
18/06/22HVirtus Bologna81-64
16/06/22AVirtus Bologna78-84
14/06/22HVirtus Bologna77-62
12/06/22HVirtus Bologna94-82
10/06/22AVirtus Bologna68-75
08/06/22AVirtus Bologna66-62
01/06/22ASassari87-69
30/05/22HSassari91-82
28/05/22HSassari88-71
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22ASassari95-98
20/05/22ASassari68-98
18/05/22HSassari85-91
16/05/22HSassari104-97
08/05/22AVirtus Bologna57-79
01/05/22HVarese102-71
24/04/22ACremona88-76
16/04/22HReggiana99-64
13/04/22ATortona74-81
09/04/22ABasket Napoli70-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Reggiana110100%78.058.0+20.0
2 Tortona110100%76.070.0+6.0
3 Verona110100%100.097.0+3.0
4 Brindisi1010%97.0100.0-3.0
5 Trento1010%70.076.0-6.0
6 Treviso1010%58.078.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2214113178
Brescia2115221977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.