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Brindisi vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-81
23-27 14-12 19-26 26-16
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Brindisi v Brescia
07 Jan 2024
BRI88
BRE79
23 Oct 2022
BRI82
BRE81
06 Mar 2022
BRI83
BRE88
22 Nov 2020
BRI74
BRE71
05 Oct 2019
BRI88
BRE78
18 Nov 2018
BRI72
BRE65
29 Oct 2017
BRI69
BRE78
13 Nov 2016
BRI83
BRE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
no box
A13/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 74
A16/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
96-87
96
87
+9
85avg 74
H24/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 74
A01/05
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
82-99
82
99
-17
75avg 74
H08/05
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
no box
A02/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H09/10
Lega A
Budivelnyk
#11
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 74
A16/10
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#45
W
87-65
87
65
+22
no box
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
16-27
16-21
19-15
28-24
22-26
26-26
14-20
22-21
19-24
31-24
24-18
27-16
23-28
20-19
17-29
20-25
25-24
26-21
11-29
18-27
21-24
28-17
22-21
29-19
15-12
15-24
18-15
13-21
17-22
21-14
19-17
21-27
16-19
29-23
16-14
25-24
21-17
18-15
23-9
169.2Avg total
84.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.384.3169.7+1.033%
Season at home (1)77.070.0147.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)89.591.5181.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)84.684.6169.2+0.030%
Last 5 (5)82.678.4161.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.989.3167.2-11.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.883.1165.9-0.343%
vs Weaker (5)80.676.8157.4+3.840%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
57-79
57
79
-22
33avg 78
A08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 78
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
55avg 78
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 78
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
63avg 78
A02/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 78
H08/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
50avg 78
A11/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
104-70
104
70
+34
112avg 78
H19/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
13-20
19-26
14-11
24-24
28-23
27-21
25-29
24-15
21-26
12-26
28-24
25-23
9-24
15-33
19-18
23-30
30-30
18-18
24-20
21-22
15-14
22-11
19-31
23-26
17-18
20-24
28-15
22-23
15-19
12-11
14-27
16-16
21-20
18-19
18-18
21-18
27-24
28-12
28-16
167.8Avg total
82.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.380.7163.0+1.767%
Season at home (2)85.082.0167.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)77.078.0155.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)82.385.5167.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)82.878.4161.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.874.2152.0+3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.589.1173.6-4.650%
vs Weaker (16)90.474.8165.2+15.694%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
BrindisiBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H24/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A01/05
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H08/05
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A02/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/10
Lega A
Budivelnyk
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/10
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#45
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
85.5Avg total
41.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.981.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.236.276.4+3.954%-
Last 30 away (17)40.844.585.3-3.635%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.685.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.481.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.543.582.0-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.638.681.1+4.064%-
vs Weaker (5)38.640.278.8-1.640%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H08/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/10
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
Eurocup
84.3Avg total
40.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.4+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.638.785.3+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.981.5-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.784.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.079.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.837.477.2+2.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.945.085.9-4.138%-
vs Weaker (16)46.237.884.1+8.469%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.8
48.2%
51.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.7
39.8%
36.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
76.1%12.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.8
49.7%
51.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.1
34.1%
36.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.916.7
76.3%
76.1%16.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLLWLLLWLL
Brescia
WWLWLLLLWL
#9
League position
#8
-2.8
Net rating
-0.4
109.5
Offensive rating
108.5
112.3
Defensive rating
108.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.8%
3-point %
34.1%
49.5%
Assist %
59.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 108.5Defence112.3 · 108.9Shooting52.4% · 50.3%3-point %39.8% · 34.1%Ball care15.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Brindisi   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brindisi wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
06/03/22Brindisi v Brescia83-88
16/01/22Brescia v Brindisi88-67
28/03/21Brescia v Brindisi68-74
22/11/20Brindisi v Brescia74-71
26/01/20Brescia v Brindisi82-86
05/10/19Brindisi v Brescia88-78
17/03/19Brescia v Brindisi97-80 OT
18/11/18Brindisi v Brescia72-65
05/03/18Brescia v Brindisi74-60
29/10/17Brindisi v Brescia69-78
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/22ADonar Groningen87-65
16/10/22AOlimpia Milano82-83
12/10/22HBudivelnyk70-74
09/10/22HBasket Napoli77-70
02/10/22AVerona97-100 OT
08/05/22HTortona82-99
01/05/22AOlimpia Milano87-92
24/04/22HTrieste96-87
16/04/22ATreviso90-96
13/04/22AVenezia78-80 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/22HPrometey104-70
16/10/22HScafati82-81 OT
11/10/22AJoventut Badalona63-80
08/10/22HVarese88-83
02/10/22AOlimpia Milano77-78
22/05/22ASassari95-98
20/05/22ASassari68-98
18/05/22HSassari85-91
16/05/22HSassari104-97
08/05/22AVirtus Bologna57-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game85.377.089.5
Allowed / game84.370.091.5
Point differential+1.0+7.0-2.0
Avg total169.7147.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game82.385.077.0
Allowed / game80.782.078.0
Point differential+1.7+3.0-1.0
Avg total163.0167.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%86.372.3+14.0
2 Tortona440100%77.065.5+11.5
3 Olimpia Milano330100%78.775.0+3.7
4 Venezia32167%88.079.0+9.0
5 Pesaro32167%87.781.3+6.3
6 Brescia32167%82.380.7+1.7
7 Sassari42250%83.580.2+3.2
8 Varese42250%87.086.0+1.0
9 Trento42250%76.576.2+0.2
10 Brindisi31233%85.384.3+1.0
11 Basket Napoli31233%73.377.7-4.3
12 Treviso31233%64.771.7-7.0
13 Verona31233%79.794.3-14.7
14 Reggiana41325%71.270.2+1.0
15 Scafati3030%72.079.0-7.0
16 Trieste4040%73.092.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2314192682
Brescia2712261681
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