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Brescia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-83
23-26 17-18 20-24 28-15
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.0
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Brescia v Varese
14 Dec 2025
BRE102
VAR94
29 Sep 2024
BRE118
VAR94
26 Nov 2023
BRE116
VAR73
08 Oct 2022
BRE88
VAR83
01 May 2022
BRE102
VAR71
10 Feb 2021
BRE98
VAR83
01 Sep 2020
BRE89
VAR88
10 Nov 2019
BRE91
VAR74
20 Jan 2019
BRE78
VAR73
14 May 2018
BRE77
VAR75
12 May 2018
BRE68
VAR61
23 Oct 2017
BRE73
VAR67
19 Mar 2017
BRE78
VAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
69avg 78
A13/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
99-64
99
64
+35
105avg 78
H16/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 78
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
102-71
102
71
+31
100avg 78
H01/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
57-79
57
79
-22
33avg 78
A08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 78
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
55avg 78
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 78
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
63avg 78
A02/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
15-17
13-30
20-19
21-16
33-16
25-23
20-9
28-19
19-20
26-24
15-13
27-24
20-25
25-14
30-8
11-22
13-20
19-26
14-11
24-24
28-23
27-21
25-29
24-15
21-26
12-26
28-24
25-23
9-24
15-33
19-18
23-30
30-30
18-18
24-20
21-22
15-14
22-11
19-31
168.2Avg total
84.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.078.0155.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)77.078.0155.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)84.983.3168.2+1.640%
Last 5 (5)85.892.4178.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.074.2145.2-3.225%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.993.1176.0-10.329%
vs Weaker (18)88.274.8163.0+13.489%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 73
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 73
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 73
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 73
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 73
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 73
H24/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
60avg 73
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
96-110
96
110
-14
87avg 73
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H02/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
19-19
16-25
24-22
6-20
26-34
15-23
30-18
16-20
19-14
19-25
21-13
16-26
29-21
22-18
13-24
19-18
20-26
15-23
22-25
21-22
24-32
23-24
31-26
24-25
21-20
31-24
27-23
24-27
25-20
14-25
8-30
19-20
24-29
29-38
24-23
23-17
18-21
29-17
17-26
176.4Avg total
84.0Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.092.4176.4-8.430%
Last 5 (5)91.297.8189.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)81.189.2170.4-8.135%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.888.2173.1-3.446%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
BresciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H01/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
Lega A
85.8Avg total
43.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.782.8+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.339.086.3+8.371%-
Last 30 away (16)39.540.279.8-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.585.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.290.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.533.870.2+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.148.090.1-5.929%-
vs Weaker (18)45.137.682.7+7.467%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H24/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/10
Lega A
86.2Avg total
41.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.185.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.143.383.4-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)42.744.987.6-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.286.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.691.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)41.444.585.8-3.147%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.543.685.1-2.223%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.2
47.9%
51.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.9
36.8%
36.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
76.1%16.6
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.5
51.4%
51.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.3
33.6%
36.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.312.6
77.3%
76.1%12.6
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLLWLWWWL
Varese
WLLWLLLWLL
#8
League position
#4
+2.4
Net rating
-10.7
110.6
Offensive rating
110.8
108.2
Defensive rating
121.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.8%
3-point %
33.6%
62.2%
Assist %
64.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 110.8Defence108.2 · 121.6Shooting50.8% · 50.9%3-point %36.8% · 33.6%Ball care14.8% · 13.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
01/05/22Brescia v Varese102-71
26/09/21Varese v Brescia75-72
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
27/09/20Varese v Brescia94-89 OT
13/09/20Varese v Brescia102-100
01/09/20Brescia v Varese89-88
10/11/19Brescia v Varese91-74
20/01/19Brescia v Varese78-73
07/10/18Varese v Brescia81-80
16/05/18Varese v Brescia64-69 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/22AOlimpia Milano77-78
22/05/22ASassari95-98
20/05/22ASassari68-98
18/05/22HSassari85-91
16/05/22HSassari104-97
08/05/22AVirtus Bologna57-79
01/05/22HVarese102-71
24/04/22ACremona88-76
16/04/22HReggiana99-64
13/04/22ATortona74-81
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/22HSassari87-81
08/05/22HSassari96-110
01/05/22ABrescia71-102
24/04/22HFortitudo Bologna103-92
16/04/22ATortona99-104
13/04/22HTrieste76-92
10/04/22HTreviso80-89
03/04/22ABrindisi75-72
26/03/22AOlimpia Milano77-95
20/03/22HPesaro76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro110100%100.074.0+26.0
2 Reggiana110100%78.058.0+20.0
3 Virtus Bologna110100%89.077.0+12.0
4 Venezia110100%80.069.0+11.0
5 Tortona110100%76.070.0+6.0
6 Varese110100%87.081.0+6.0
7 Verona110100%100.097.0+3.0
8 Olimpia Milano110100%78.077.0+1.0
9 Brescia1010%77.078.0-1.0
10 Brindisi1010%97.0100.0-3.0
11 Sassari1010%81.087.0-6.0
12 Trento1010%70.076.0-6.0
13 Scafati1010%69.080.0-11.0
14 Basket Napoli1010%77.089.0-12.0
15 Treviso1010%58.078.0-20.0
16 Trieste1010%74.0100.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2317202888
Varese2618241583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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