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Ulm vs Joventut Badalona Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-88
19-27 13-23 21-15 26-23
Position#9
Record10-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#8
Record10-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeEurocup· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Ulm v Joventut Badalona
01 Oct 2024
ULM87
JBA83
05 Mar 2024
ULM79
JBA88
23 Nov 2022
ULM54
JBA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Joventut Badalona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
75avg 81
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 81
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 81
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 81
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
83avg 81
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
no box
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 81
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
81avg 81
A17/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
53avg 81
A18/02
German Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A02/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
21-14
21-18
13-24
23-31
25-25
21-26
7-15
26-23
14-26
8-22
18-15
28-14
18-35
23-24
19-25
27-17
25-25
18-18
15-21
27-11
27-26
21-24
16-30
22-21
23-15
20-12
18-22
19-18
23-22
17-21
28-18
18-9
10-26
19-24
18-22
13-26
18-23
20-14
31-20
166.6Avg total
81.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.886.6173.4+0.256%
Season at home (9)87.184.2171.3+2.956%
Season away (9)86.689.0175.6-2.456%
Last 10 (10)81.385.3166.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)82.882.2165.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.486.0170.4-1.657%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.286.8173.1-0.642%
vs Weaker (11)90.887.1177.9+3.764%
This opponent (Joventut Badalona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Joventut BadalonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBadalona
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
93avg 76
H13/01
ACB
London Lions
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
80avg 76
A17/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
77avg 76
H20/01
ACB
Paris
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
80avg 76
A23/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 76
A27/01
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
87avg 76
H30/01
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
W
89-77
89
77
+12
66avg 76
H03/02
ACB
Prometey
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
72avg 76
A07/02
Eurocup
Baskonia
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
80avg 76
A11/02
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
81avg 76
H02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
26-21
17-17
28-29
23-14
17-16
23-25
19-25
17-28
29-22
16-13
23-18
15-24
20-17
27-21
20-27
21-15
14-22
28-26
23-16
24-30
18-27
15-18
28-16
19-24
19-16
25-17
26-20
27-27
26-20
18-11
9-36
22-18
21-18
21-19
17-23
16-14
24-16
20-19
18-21
166.6Avg total
84.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.385.3171.6+0.956%
Season at home (9)87.083.8170.8+3.256%
Season away (9)85.686.9172.4-1.356%
Last 10 (10)84.382.3166.6+2.070%
Last 5 (5)82.682.0164.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.689.8172.5-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.479.2161.5+3.277%
vs Weaker (4)95.281.5176.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
UlmJoventut Badalona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A18/02
German Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/03
BBL
84.7Avg total
42.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.086.8+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.145.089.1-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)43.641.585.1+2.165%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.384.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.443.083.4-2.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.441.583.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)47.544.792.2+2.773%-
This opponent (Joventut Badalona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Joventut BadalonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/01
ACB
London Lions
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H20/01
ACB
Paris
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A23/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/01
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H30/01
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/02
ACB
Prometey
#7
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A07/02
Eurocup
Baskonia
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/02
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H02/03
ACB
82.8Avg total
42.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.883.4-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.543.084.5-1.531%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.582.2-2.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.682.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.346.184.4-7.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.538.678.2+0.954%-
vs Weaker (4)52.045.597.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.5
50.0%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.4
30.5%
35.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
74.5%16.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Joventut Badalonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Joventut Badalona: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.5
52.0%
54.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.7
40.9%
35.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
74.5%13.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWWLWLLLW
Joventut Badalona
WWLWLWLWWW
#9
League position
#8
-5.8
Net rating
+2.4
101.5
Offensive rating
111.0
107.3
Defensive rating
108.6
48.2%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.5%
3-point %
40.9%
69.5%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 111.0Defence107.3 · 108.6Shooting48.2% · 55.5%3-point %30.5% · 40.9%Ball care18.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Joventut Badalona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
2
Joventut Badalona wins
DateGameScore
07/02/23Joventut Badalona v Ulm82-76
23/11/22Ulm v Joventut Badalona54-68
19/04/22Joventut Badalona v Ulm73-79
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AChemnitz82-83
18/02/24ABayern65-81
17/02/24AAlba Berlin87-79
13/02/24HHamburg83-70
10/02/24ABonn97-98 OT
06/02/24AJL Bourg85-81
04/02/24AAlba Berlin88-98
31/01/24HAris66-86
27/01/24HTubingen76-97
23/01/24ABuducnost84-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HBreogan78-70
11/02/24ABaskonia81-78
07/02/24APrometey80-94
03/02/24HPalencia89-77
30/01/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv85-91
27/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra86-79
23/01/24AParis82-89
20/01/24HUnicaja85-81
17/01/24ALondon Lions82-80
13/01/24HBasket Zaragoza95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game86.887.186.6
Allowed / game86.684.289.0
Point differential+0.2+2.9-2.4
Avg total173.4171.3175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %22%22%22%
Joventut Badalona
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game86.387.085.6
Allowed / game85.383.886.9
Point differential+0.9+3.2-1.3
Avg total171.6170.8172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %17%22%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1817194%99.379.1+20.2
2 JL Bourg1814478%83.476.4+7.0
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1813572%96.188.9+7.2
4 Cluj-Napoca1813572%86.582.7+3.8
5 Gran Canaria1812667%88.980.9+8.1
6 London Lions1812667%90.387.1+3.2
7 Prometey1810856%88.887.4+1.3
8 Joventut Badalona1810856%86.385.3+0.9
9 Ulm1810856%86.886.6+0.2
10 Aris189950%74.675.1-0.6
11 Besiktas189950%78.980.4-1.5
12 Turk Telekom1881044%80.280.2+0.0
13 Venezia1881044%84.785.8-1.2
14 Buducnost1881044%79.781.4-1.8
15 BC Wolves1881044%81.887.2-5.4
16 Trento1871139%79.783.8-4.1
17 Lietkabelis1871139%82.687.1-4.4
18 Slask Wroclaw1821611%76.784.9-8.3
19 Hamburg1821611%82.398.7-16.4
20 Cedevita Olimpija181176%84.492.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1913212679
Joventut Badalona2723152388
← all games of the day
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