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Chemnitz vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-82
26-13 23-18 14-20 20-31
Position#3
Record17-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#5
Record14-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game88.5
GermanyBBLRound 22· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ulm
13 Feb 2027
CHE v ULM
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
CHE79
ULM66
29 Oct 2025
CHE89
ULM78
22 Sep 2024
CHE86
ULM90
02 Mar 2024
CHE83
ULM82
09 Dec 2023
CHE78
ULM87
21 Apr 2023
CHE92
ULM86
24 Oct 2021
CHE78
ULM81
02 Oct 2021
CHE87
ULM85
02 May 2021
CHE70
ULM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Leiden
#14
W
88-58
88
58
+30
97avg 81
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 81
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 81
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 81
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 81
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 81
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 81
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 81
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 81
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 81
A13/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
27-7
24-20
20-18
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
165.4Avg total
86.3Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.176.4163.5+10.781%
Season at home (10)87.472.6160.0+14.890%
Season away (11)86.879.9166.7+6.973%
Last 10 (10)86.379.1165.4+7.270%
Last 5 (5)87.676.4164.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.089.0170.0-8.025%
vs Weaker (26)88.372.5160.8+15.992%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 81
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
75avg 81
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 81
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 81
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 81
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
83avg 81
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
no box
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 81
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
81avg 81
A17/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
53avg 81
A18/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
22-18
19-27
22-13
17-16
21-14
21-18
13-24
23-31
25-25
21-26
7-15
26-23
14-26
8-22
18-15
28-14
18-35
23-24
19-25
27-17
25-25
18-18
15-21
27-11
27-26
21-24
16-30
22-21
23-15
20-12
18-22
19-18
23-22
17-21
28-18
18-9
10-26
19-24
18-22
166.1Avg total
81.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.088.5180.5+3.567%
Season at home (11)90.689.8180.5+0.864%
Season away (10)93.587.1180.6+6.470%
Last 10 (10)81.584.6166.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.481.8165.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.486.0170.4-1.657%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.687.2173.8-0.545%
vs Weaker (12)91.487.7179.1+3.867%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
ChemnitzUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#14
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
82.8Avg total
45.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.379.7+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.535.780.2+8.787%-
Last 30 away (15)42.436.879.2+5.660%-
Last 10 (10)45.037.882.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.286.4+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.244.289.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker (26)43.235.078.2+8.177%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A18/02
German Cup
84.6Avg total
43.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.887.1+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.145.089.1-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)44.541.185.6+3.571%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.084.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.082.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.443.083.4-2.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.540.884.3+2.655%-
vs Weaker (12)47.444.491.8+3.075%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.0
59.3%
54.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.212.9
67.2%
76.0%12.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.9
51.4%
54.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.2
29.8%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
76.0%15.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWWWWLLWWW
Ulm
LWWLWLLLWW
#3
League position
#5
+9.2
Net rating
-5.7
112.6
Offensive rating
101.4
103.3
Defensive rating
107.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
29.8%
66.0%
Assist %
70.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 101.4Defence103.3 · 107.1Shooting55.2% · 48.5%3-point %32.8% · 29.8%Ball care19.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds35.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
6
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Chemnitz v Ulm78-87
27/09/23Ulm v Chemnitz90-85
21/04/23Chemnitz v Ulm92-86
05/11/22Ulm v Chemnitz93-99 OT
22/01/22Ulm v Chemnitz77-68
24/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm78-81
02/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm87-85
02/05/21Chemnitz v Ulm70-85
24/01/21Ulm v Chemnitz102-63
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24ABayern80-89
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT
12/01/24ABonn85-77
10/01/24ALeiden88-58
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24ABayern65-81
17/02/24AAlba Berlin87-79
13/02/24HHamburg83-70
10/02/24ABonn97-98 OT
06/02/24AJL Bourg85-81
04/02/24AAlba Berlin88-98
31/01/24HAris66-86
27/01/24HTubingen76-97
23/01/24ABuducnost84-80 OT
19/01/24ABamberg84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL81%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %81%90%73%
Points / game87.187.486.8
Allowed / game76.472.679.9
Point differential+10.7+14.8+6.9
Avg total163.5160.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%70%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWWWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%64%70%
Points / game92.090.693.5
Allowed / game88.589.887.1
Point differential+3.5+0.8+6.4
Avg total180.5180.5180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %14%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2017385%90.176.8+13.2
2 Chemnitz2117481%87.176.4+10.7
3 Alba Berlin1813572%93.185.1+7.9
4 Wurzburg2115671%85.779.4+6.2
5 Vechta2114767%90.581.4+9.0
6 Ulm2114767%92.088.5+3.5
7 Bonn2214864%90.885.6+5.1
8 Ludwigsburg2113862%89.580.8+8.8
9 Hamburg2011955%87.088.2-1.1
10 Basketball Braunschweig22111150%84.686.0-1.4
11 Oldenburg21101148%84.284.5-0.3
12 Bamberg2291341%88.089.5-1.5
13 Syntainics MBC2271532%85.891.6-5.8
14 Gottingen2061430%90.198.1-8.0
15 Rostock2161529%90.995.0-4.2
16 Tubingen2251723%85.796.6-10.9
17 Crailsheim Merlins2241818%78.692.9-14.3
18 Heidelberg2131814%81.996.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2623142083
Ulm1318203182
← all games of the day
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