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Ulm vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-70
22-21 23-15 20-12 18-22
Position#5
Record13-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game89.5
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#10
Record11-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game88.4
GermanyBBLRound 21· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Hamburg
06 Feb 2027
ULM v HAM
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ULM81
HAM72
02 Nov 2024
ULM82
HAM72
13 Feb 2024
ULM83
HAM70
09 Apr 2023
ULM112
HAM78
12 Dec 2021
ULM78
HAM74
03 Mar 2021
ULM89
HAM76
24 Nov 2019
ULM102
HAM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
88-100
88
100
-12
90avg 81
A10/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 81
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 81
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
75avg 81
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 81
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 81
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 81
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
83avg 81
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
no box
A10/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
18-31
25-18
26-30
23-22
19-24
23-27
27-19
24-17
27-19
15-19
15-30
21-18
22-18
19-27
22-13
17-16
21-14
21-18
13-24
23-31
25-25
21-26
7-15
26-23
14-26
8-22
18-15
28-14
18-35
23-24
19-25
27-17
25-25
18-18
15-21
27-11
27-26
21-24
16-30
175.8Avg total
85.1Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.589.5181.9+3.065%
Season at home (10)91.491.8183.2-0.460%
Season away (10)93.587.1180.6+6.470%
Last 10 (10)85.190.7175.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)82.492.0174.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.888.4176.2-0.660%
vs Similar (13)87.287.1174.2+0.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.590.4183.9+3.167%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 76
H10/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
111-94
111
94
+17
111avg 76
A13/01
BBL
Besiktas
#10
L
83-94 OT
83
94
-11
72avg 76
H17/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
73avg 76
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
83-114
83
114
-31
73avg 76
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 76
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 76
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 76
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
83-90
83
90
-7
79avg 76
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
105-89
105
89
+16
102avg 76
H10/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
24-30
16-20
22-23
26-20
26-37
36-13
23-24
19-19
12-25
27-21
22-15
21-21
14-22
22-26
23-22
22-28
23-24
17-31
21-31
23-22
18-18
13-20
17-19
20-22
21-34
22-19
21-19
18-20
25-18
21-22
16-27
20-21
15-25
28-15
20-29
29-24
29-19
25-23
22-23
179.8Avg total
87.0Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.988.4176.3-0.558%
Season at home (9)83.986.4170.3-2.656%
Season away (10)91.590.2181.7+1.360%
Last 10 (10)87.092.8179.8-5.820%
Last 5 (5)84.687.8172.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.496.1178.6-13.717%
vs Similar (5)85.889.6175.4-3.840%
vs Weaker (7)99.489.3188.7+10.1100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
UlmHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A10/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A10/02
BBL
88.4Avg total
45.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.943.688.5+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.445.490.7+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)44.442.186.6+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.388.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)48.046.694.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.645.287.8-2.640%-
vs Similar (13)43.141.584.6+1.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.845.293.0+2.575%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H10/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A13/01
BBL
Besiktas
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/02
BBL
90.5Avg total
43.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.547.891.3-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.846.488.2-4.629%-
Last 30 away (16)45.048.993.9-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.290.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.688.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)42.049.991.9-7.922%-
vs Similar (5)42.644.086.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker (7)48.045.093.0+3.057%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.3
57.0%
54.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
76.0%15.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.4
58.8%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.616.0
77.7%
76.0%16.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWLLLWWLLL
Hamburg
WLLLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#10
-3.7
Net rating
-7.0
108.8
Offensive rating
115.5
112.5
Defensive rating
122.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
56.6%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.0%
3-point %
35.7%
70.8%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 115.5Defence112.5 · 122.5Shooting53.3% · 56.6%3-point %32.0% · 35.7%Ball care19.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Ulm   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ulm wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Hamburg v Ulm78-94
09/04/23Ulm v Hamburg112-78
07/01/23Hamburg v Ulm65-80
29/01/22Hamburg v Ulm90-91
12/12/21Ulm v Hamburg78-74
03/03/21Ulm v Hamburg89-76
13/12/20Hamburg v Ulm69-73
24/11/19Ulm v Hamburg102-69
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ABonn97-98 OT
06/02/24AJL Bourg85-81
04/02/24AAlba Berlin88-98
31/01/24HAris66-86
27/01/24HTubingen76-97
23/01/24ABuducnost84-80 OT
19/01/24ABamberg84-76
17/01/24HCluj-Napoca81-85
13/01/24HVechta102-106 OT
10/01/24ASlask Wroclaw88-100
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HRostock105-89
06/02/24HVenezia83-90
03/02/24HBonn80-87
30/01/24ABC Wolves84-94
28/01/24AVechta71-79
24/01/24HCedevita Olimpija83-114
20/01/24HOldenburg80-91
17/01/24HBesiktas83-94 OT
13/01/24ARostock111-94
10/01/24HJoventut Badalona90-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL65%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWWWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%60%70%
Points / game92.591.493.5
Allowed / game89.591.887.1
Point differential+3.0-0.4+6.4
Avg total181.9183.2180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%30%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %15%10%20%
Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%56%60%
Points / game87.983.991.5
Allowed / game88.486.490.2
Point differential-0.5-2.6+1.3
Avg total176.3170.3181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2017385%87.575.8+11.7
2 Bayern1815383%90.476.8+13.6
3 Alba Berlin1712571%92.285.1+7.1
4 Wurzburg1913668%85.278.8+6.4
5 Ludwigsburg2013765%89.580.1+9.3
6 Vechta2013765%90.481.7+8.8
7 Ulm2013765%92.589.5+3.0
8 Bonn2113862%90.785.8+4.9
9 Hamburg1911858%87.988.4-0.5
10 Basketball Braunschweig22111150%84.686.0-1.4
11 Oldenburg2091145%84.485.8-1.4
12 Bamberg2071335%87.090.5-3.5
13 Gottingen1861233%91.398.2-6.9
14 Rostock1961332%91.094.6-3.6
15 Syntainics MBC2161529%84.991.1-6.2
16 Tubingen2051525%86.496.8-10.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins2041620%79.593.9-14.3
18 Heidelberg2031715%81.896.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2223201883
Hamburg2115122270
← all games of the day
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