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Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 81-65
9-18 26-10 24-19 22-18
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game71.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game76.3
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Final· BMW Park
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Bayern v Ulm
02 Jan 2027
BAY v ULM
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
BAY62
ULM79
26 Jun 2025
BAY81
ULM77
21 Jun 2025
BAY79
ULM81
15 Jun 2025
BAY82
ULM66
17 Mar 2025
BAY70
ULM62
18 Feb 2024
BAY81
ULM65
17 Dec 2023
BAY95
ULM80
30 May 2023
BAY88
ULM93
28 May 2023
BAY69
ULM87
01 Oct 2022
BAY87
ULM80
26 Sep 2021
BAY83
ULM86
07 May 2021
BAY64
ULM98
06 Jun 2020
BAY85
ULM95
26 Nov 2019
BAY83
ULM69
10 May 2019
BAY95
ULM72
04 Apr 2018
BAY100
ULM95
01 Feb 2017
BAY101
ULM98
26 Dec 2016
BAY79
ULM87
13 Jan 2016
BAY83
ULM69
03 Jan 2016
BAY101
ULM85
30 Dec 2014
BAY100
ULM93
29 Mar 2014
BAY72
ULM90
26 Dec 2013
BAY87
ULM70
05 Jan 2013
BAY80
ULM78
15 Feb 2012
BAY87
ULM83
04 Nov 2008
BAY89
ULM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 77
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
64-76
64
76
-12
48avg 77
H25/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-81
98
81
+17
94avg 77
H28/01
BBL
Baskonia
#9
W
112-109 OT
112
109
+3
113avg 77
H30/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 77
H01/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
93-73
93
73
+20
93avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 77
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
116-86
116
86
+30
112avg 77
A11/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
87avg 77
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
75avg 77
A17/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
15-19
25-16
23-13
19-20
10-20
21-19
14-17
21-27
31-11
17-17
29-26
25-19
31-33
26-24
12-18
14-18
24-17
13-19
21-22
25-20
21-21
25-18
22-14
26-23
15-22
18-18
20-15
34-21
27-22
28-14
27-29
22-21
17-32
23-19
27-8
21-22
27-10
15-9
18-21
168.4Avg total
89.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.371.0160.3+18.3100%
Season at home (1)101.073.0174.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)83.570.0153.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.079.4168.4+9.680%
Last 5 (5)91.675.8167.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (12)85.782.7168.3+3.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.474.2165.7+17.2100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 82
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 82
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
75avg 82
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 82
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 82
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 82
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
83avg 82
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
no box
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 82
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
81avg 82
A17/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
27-19
15-19
15-30
21-18
22-18
19-27
22-13
17-16
21-14
21-18
13-24
23-31
25-25
21-26
7-15
26-23
14-26
8-22
18-15
28-14
18-35
23-24
19-25
27-17
25-25
18-18
15-21
27-11
27-26
21-24
16-30
22-21
23-15
20-12
18-22
19-18
23-22
17-21
28-18
168.1Avg total
83.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.376.3159.7+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)83.376.3159.7+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.185.0168.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)88.085.2173.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)87.786.8174.5+0.867%
vs Similar (12)85.787.1172.8-1.442%
vs Weaker (12)91.487.7179.1+3.867%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
BayernUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H28/01
BBL
Baskonia
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H30/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A11/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
German Cup
87.1Avg total
44.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.382.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.783.7+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.038.980.9+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.387.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.889.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.041.276.2-6.233%-
vs Similar (12)40.842.983.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.837.284.1+9.692%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/02
German Cup
87.0Avg total
45.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.387.5+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.145.089.1-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)44.342.086.3+2.371%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.187.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.888.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.544.386.8-1.850%-
vs Similar (12)41.841.783.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (12)47.444.491.8+3.075%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.5
58.2%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.012.1
44.8%
32.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
74.1%12.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.1
53.7%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.5
73.1%
74.1%15.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWWLWWLW
Ulm
WWLWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#3
+13.9
Net rating
-5.2
127.9
Offensive rating
104.2
114.0
Defensive rating
109.3
62.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
44.8%
3-point %
31.0%
50.9%
Assist %
71.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence127.9 · 104.2Defence114.0 · 109.3Shooting62.2% · 50.7%3-point %44.8% · 31.0%Ball care15.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 31.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Bayern v Ulm95-80
02/06/23Ulm v Bayern104-102 OT
30/05/23Bayern v Ulm88-93
28/05/23Bayern v Ulm69-87
04/04/23Ulm v Bayern59-77
01/10/22Bayern v Ulm87-80
06/05/22Ulm v Bayern65-77
26/09/21Bayern v Ulm83-86 OT
15/05/21Ulm v Bayern102-104 OT
07/05/21Bayern v Ulm64-98
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ABamberg81-62
13/02/24HChemnitz89-80
11/02/24ASyntainics MBC116-86
08/02/24APartizan79-78
05/02/24HOldenburg93-73
01/02/24HOlympiacos72-76
30/01/24HBaskonia112-109 OT
28/01/24HCrailsheim Merlins98-81
25/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne64-76
21/01/24AChemnitz86-73
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AAlba Berlin87-79
13/02/24HHamburg83-70
10/02/24ABonn97-98 OT
06/02/24AJL Bourg85-81
04/02/24AAlba Berlin88-98
31/01/24HAris66-86
27/01/24HTubingen76-97
23/01/24ABuducnost84-80 OT
19/01/24ABamberg84-76
17/01/24HCluj-Napoca81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.3101.083.5
Allowed / game71.073.070.0
Point differential+18.3+28.0+13.5
Avg total160.3174.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.3-83.3
Allowed / game76.3-76.3
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total159.7-159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern330100%89.371.0+18.3
2 Ulm330100%83.376.3+7.0
3 Bamberg43175%77.074.8+2.2
4 Alba Berlin32167%86.776.0+10.7
5 Vechta32167%90.787.7+3.0
6 Syntainics MBC32167%83.084.0-1.0
7 Chemnitz21150%83.575.5+8.0
8 Wurzburg21150%82.578.5+4.0
9 Heidelberg21150%91.590.0+1.5
10 Bonn21150%79.082.5-3.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig21150%74.580.0-5.5
12 Hamburg21150%76.082.5-6.5
13 Giessen21150%71.581.0-9.5
14 Ludwigsburg1010%79.080.0-1.0
15 Gottingen1010%99.0101.0-2.0
16 Dresden1010%85.088.0-3.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins1010%73.079.0-6.0
18 Bayreuth1010%82.089.0-7.0
19 Frankfurt1010%73.081.0-8.0
20 Rostock1010%76.084.0-8.0
21 Artland1010%67.078.0-11.0
22 PS Karlsruhe1010%81.093.0-12.0
23 Tubingen1010%64.078.0-14.0
24 Oldenburg1010%73.0101.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern926242281
Ulm1810191865
← all games of the day
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