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Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 106-100
25-27 25-31 29-14 27-28
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game73.0
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game111.5
ItalyLega ARound 3· Lanzarini S.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
41avg 75
A05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
85avg 75
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
93-104
93
104
-11
86avg 75
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 75
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
60avg 75
H19/05
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 75
A24/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
95avg 75
A28/09
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 75
H02/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
77avg 75
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
L
64-85
64
85
-21
49avg 75
H09/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
13-34
13-21
20-23
21-32
22-11
26-21
16-20
20-35
28-30
16-22
29-17
15-17
23-23
15-18
15-25
22-21
10-17
11-28
26-21
22-23
27-22
7-15
25-24
24-16
22-23
25-22
21-15
25-15
19-21
17-28
23-14
17-21
22-20
25-15
18-14
16-18
19-24
9-23
20-20
163.8Avg total
77.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.073.0160.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)82.070.0152.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.985.9163.8-8.040%
Last 5 (5)80.678.6159.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.290.9166.1-15.79%
vs Similar (15)84.185.3169.4-1.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.077.7164.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 83
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 83
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 83
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 83
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 83
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 83
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 83
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 83
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 83
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 83
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
29-19
18-25
15-10
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
186.7Avg total
94.1Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.5111.5206.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
Season away (1)94.0118.0212.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)94.192.6186.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)98.497.8196.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.990.9172.8-9.020%
vs Similar (16)94.287.6181.9+6.669%
vs Weaker (4)83.881.0164.8+2.850%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-64
28
64
-36
A05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H19/05
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A28/09
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/10
Eurocup
85.5Avg total
40.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.383.8-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.743.181.7-4.427%-
Last 30 away (15)40.545.585.9-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.245.385.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.547.285.7-8.618%-
vs Similar (15)40.843.584.3-2.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.739.382.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
99.3Avg total
51.5Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.044.890.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.343.992.1+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)43.745.789.4-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)51.547.899.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.849.8105.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)44.848.192.9-3.340%-
vs Similar (16)47.643.190.8+4.556%-
vs Weaker (4)42.243.285.5-1.050%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.6
53.4%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
35.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.49.8
73.1%
76.8%9.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.117.5
58.1%
52.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.9
39.6%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.419.5
83.3%
76.8%19.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWWWLLLLWL
Varese
LLWLWLWLLW
#4
League position
#12
-12.3
Net rating
+2.1
102.3
Offensive rating
120.5
114.6
Defensive rating
118.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
58.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.2%
3-point %
39.6%
59.9%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 120.5Defence114.6 · 118.5Shooting50.7% · 58.8%3-point %31.2% · 39.6%Ball care18.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds27.9% · 20.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trento wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Trento v Varese90-84
22/10/23Varese v Trento84-85
22/01/23Trento v Varese90-80
16/10/22Varese v Trento91-94 OT
30/01/22Varese v Trento90-89
28/01/22Trento v Varese84-90
28/03/21Varese v Trento88-70
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24HBuducnost64-85
05/10/24HVenezia82-70
02/10/24HTrefl Sopot84-78
28/09/24AReggiana92-76
24/09/24AGran Canaria81-84
19/05/24HOlimpia Milano69-87
17/05/24HOlimpia Milano68-83
14/05/24AOlimpia Milano93-104
12/05/24AOlimpia Milano85-84
05/05/24AVirtus Bologna61-108
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
21/04/24ASassari112-88
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
27/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.082.092.0
Allowed / game73.070.076.0
Point differential+14.0+12.0+16.0
Avg total160.0152.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game94.595.094.0
Allowed / game111.5105.0118.0
Point differential-17.0-10.0-24.0
Avg total206.0200.0212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento220100%87.073.0+14.0
2 Brescia220100%106.593.5+13.0
3 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
4 Trieste330100%87.081.0+6.0
5 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
6 Reggiana32167%80.376.7+3.7
7 Olimpia Milano21150%89.079.5+9.5
8 Trapani21150%87.580.0+7.5
9 Scafati21150%95.090.5+4.5
10 Pistoia21150%78.083.0-5.0
11 Sassari31233%85.091.0-6.0
12 Treviso31233%71.083.3-12.3
13 Cremona2020%71.078.5-7.5
14 Venezia3030%71.078.7-7.7
15 Basket Napoli3030%80.391.3-11.0
16 Varese2020%94.5111.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento25252927106
Varese27311428100
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