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Ulm vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 66-61
17-17 18-15 14-12 17-17
Position#6
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game78.6
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.2
GermanyBBLRound 13· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Ulm v Wurzburg
27 Sep 2026
ULM67
WUR90
29 Dec 2025
ULM66
WUR61
12 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR84
07 Jun 2025
ULM99
WUR86
01 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR87
28 Sep 2024
ULM85
WUR76
20 May 2024
ULM100
WUR64
18 May 2024
ULM65
WUR78
23 Mar 2024
ULM87
WUR79
14 Jan 2023
ULM84
WUR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 77
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
62avg 77
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
63avg 77
H23/11
BBL
Trento
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
79avg 77
H04/12
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 77
A06/12
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
53-87
53
87
-34
39avg 77
H10/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
53avg 77
H13/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 77
A17/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
67-66
67
66
+1
52avg 77
A20/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
106-83
106
83
+23
107avg 77
A27/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
25-22
5-14
17-32
21-26
23-27
7-26
20-22
19-15
17-23
15-14
17-16
22-24
24-21
18-28
23-27
22-19
20-11
20-24
30-16
4-10
21-25
13-24
15-28
24-12
16-22
17-25
20-16
23-15
23-10
24-16
24-28
21-22
16-24
16-8
14-12
26-21
27-14
23-26
30-22
161.6Avg total
78.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.678.6161.2+4.058%
Season at home (5)80.478.4158.8+2.060%
Season away (7)84.178.7162.9+5.457%
Last 10 (10)78.882.8161.6-4.050%
Last 5 (5)79.476.0155.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.193.5171.6-15.412%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.878.2157.9+1.667%
vs Weaker (9)87.380.7168.0+6.767%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
87avg 74
H31/10
BBL
Galatasaray
#8
L
74-99
74
99
-25
59avg 74
H04/11
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 74
H09/11
BBL
Igokea
#39
W
85-56
85
56
+29
84avg 74
A19/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
77avg 74
A22/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
57avg 74
H05/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
86-67
86
67
+19
77avg 74
A12/12
BBL
Trieste
#26
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 74
A17/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 74
H21/12
BBL
Trier
#12
W
102-83
102
83
+19
93avg 74
H26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-19
22-14
14-19
15-23
25-26
13-27
21-23
11-15
19-27
15-19
18-14
25-17
21-12
18-9
21-18
22-23
23-21
13-22
22-16
23-23
16-21
22-7
21-20
27-13
15-19
23-10
21-25
24-16
17-21
27-12
22-28
31-11
20-18
11-20
27-22
27-28
31-16
17-17
27-22
162.1Avg total
84.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.878.2161.0+4.775%
Season at home (7)88.780.6169.3+8.186%
Season away (5)74.674.8149.4-0.260%
Last 10 (10)84.877.3162.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)89.873.8163.6+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.387.8174.2-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.080.7160.7-0.754%
vs Weaker (10)83.475.7159.1+7.780%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
UlmWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H23/11
BBL
Trento
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/12
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/12
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H10/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A17/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A27/12
BBL
80.2Avg total
41.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.682.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.539.680.1+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.584.6+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.180.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.075.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.245.286.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.738.479.1+2.242%-
vs Weaker (9)44.039.783.7+4.378%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/10
BBL
Galatasaray
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H04/11
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H09/11
BBL
Igokea
#39
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A22/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/12
BBL
Trieste
#26
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H21/12
BBL
Trier
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H26/12
BBL
82.1Avg total
43.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.582.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.441.184.4+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.080.1+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.182.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.283.4+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.046.089.0-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.540.180.5+0.446%-
vs Weaker (10)43.038.081.0+5.070%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.612.7
68.3%
73.5%12.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.7
53.9%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.5
34.3%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
73.5%17.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLWLLLL
Wurzburg
WWWWWLWLLW
#6
League position
#5
-5.0
Net rating
+10.6
102.3
Offensive rating
112.5
107.2
Defensive rating
101.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.8%
3-point %
34.3%
56.4%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 112.5Defence107.2 · 101.9Shooting50.9% · 52.9%3-point %33.8% · 34.3%Ball care20.0% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
5
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
12/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-84
10/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm78-77
07/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg99-86
04/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm87-77
01/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-87 OT
14/04/25Wurzburg v Ulm89-72
28/09/24Ulm v Wurzburg85-76
24/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm75-72
22/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm82-79
20/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg100-64
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25ABamberg106-83
20/12/25AAlba Berlin67-66
17/12/25APanionios94-69
13/12/25HVechta77-75
10/12/25HTurk Telekom53-87
06/12/25AJena92-70
04/12/25HTrento87-100
23/11/25HBayern77-81 OT
18/11/25ABuducnost71-101
11/11/25HJL Bourg64-96
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HTrier102-83
21/12/25HSyntainics MBC89-71
17/12/25ATrieste90-77
12/12/25AChemnitz86-67
05/12/25HOldenburg82-71
22/11/25AFrankfurt80-82
19/11/25AIgokea85-56
09/11/25HRostock63-75
04/11/25HGalatasaray74-99
31/10/25HJena97-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game82.680.484.1
Allowed / game78.678.478.7
Point differential+4.0+2.0+5.4
Avg total161.2158.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game82.888.774.6
Allowed / game78.280.674.8
Point differential+4.7+8.1-0.2
Avg total161.0169.3149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1211192%86.873.7+13.1
2 Wurzburg129375%82.878.2+4.7
3 Trier128467%88.789.2-0.5
4 Alba Berlin117464%84.080.2+3.8
5 Ulm127558%82.678.6+4.0
6 Syntainics MBC127558%84.584.7-0.2
7 Bamberg116555%89.384.4+4.9
8 Ludwigsburg116555%85.585.4+0.2
9 Bonn137654%79.379.0+0.3
10 Chemnitz126650%88.086.8+1.2
11 Frankfurt126650%83.283.7-0.5
12 Rostock115645%83.383.4-0.1
13 Vechta115645%83.586.1-2.5
14 Jena114736%82.990.2-7.3
15 Basketball Braunschweig124833%81.387.0-5.7
16 Oldenburg123925%82.883.6-0.8
17 Hamburg112918%82.993.6-10.7
18 Heidelberg1221017%80.885.7-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1718141766
Wurzburg1715121761
← all games of the day
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