PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Umea vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 87-76
17-23 24-17 29-13 17-23
Position#10
Record3-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game89.7
Umea 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#9
Record3-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game91.5
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Umea v Hogsbo
19 Feb 2027
UMEA v HOGS
upcoming
31 Jan 2027
UMEA v HOGS
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
UMEA87
HOGS76
07 Feb 2025
UMEA83
HOGS110
17 Jan 2025
UMEA87
HOGS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
73-106
73
106
-33
64avg 67
H23/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 67
H27/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 67
A06/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
83-103
83
103
-20
70avg 67
H10/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 67
H14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
72avg 67
A17/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
80-93
80
93
-13
69avg 67
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
104-96
104
96
+8
98avg 67
H01/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
72avg 67
A08/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
67-90
67
90
-23
51avg 67
A14/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
25-32
15-26
17-18
23-23
36-20
20-28
9-22
22-20
17-23
29-10
14-19
19-26
18-32
22-17
24-28
19-20
29-13
13-19
12-25
22-20
12-19
18-16
20-13
19-21
11-33
28-15
22-24
19-24
14-26
28-28
43-18
22-28
21-27
16-18
21-22
15-26
22-23
12-23
18-18
169.5Avg total
80.2Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.889.7169.5-9.927%
Season at home (5)84.295.0179.2-10.820%
Season away (6)76.285.3161.5-9.233%
Last 10 (10)80.289.3169.5-9.130%
Last 5 (5)80.688.4169.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)75.894.8170.6-19.011%
vs Similar ◀ (2)81.598.0179.5-16.50%
vs Weaker (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#1
L
109-111
109
111
-2
108avg 75
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 75
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 75
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
90avg 75
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 75
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 75
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 75
H23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
66-106
66
106
-40
53avg 75
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
100-109
100
109
-9
95avg 75
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 75
H15/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
24-32
34-21
20-31
26-28
12-20
23-21
22-17
21-30
26-20
15-16
19-19
23-22
28-20
28-26
25-27
13-19
25-17
15-23
26-28
21-21
27-28
23-13
8-26
21-19
33-11
15-28
24-22
21-33
16-26
14-20
15-27
31-25
19-32
21-23
29-29
13-27
22-18
16-15
28-10
179.0Avg total
87.3Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.491.5177.8-5.127%
Season at home (6)84.890.0174.8-5.233%
Season away (5)88.293.2181.4-5.020%
Last 10 (10)87.391.7179.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)83.490.6174.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)82.396.0178.3-13.79%
vs Similar ◀ (3)99.094.7193.7+4.367%
vs Weaker (4)87.281.5168.8+5.850%
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
UmeaHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H23/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H27/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H10/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H01/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A08/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A14/11
Basketligan
88.7Avg total
40.1Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.848.886.6-11.010%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.348.888.1-9.520%-
Last 30 away (15)36.248.885.0-12.60%-
Last 10 (10)40.148.688.7-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.449.484.8-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)38.048.586.5-10.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)33.556.089.5-22.50%-
vs Weaker (1)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#1
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
Basketligan
92.8Avg total
45.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.946.289.0-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.483.7-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)45.448.994.3-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)45.347.592.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.848.092.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)42.547.590.0-5.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)51.743.094.7+8.767%-
vs Weaker (4)38.540.879.2-2.225%-
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.3
33.5%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.8%
74.6%13.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.5
51.6%
54.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
35.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.118.5
80.1%
74.6%18.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
LLWLWLLWLL
Hogsbo
WLLWLLWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-11.0
Net rating
-5.1
100.5
Offensive rating
110.6
111.4
Defensive rating
115.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
20.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.5%
3-point %
32.3%
58.0%
Assist %
61.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 110.6Defence111.4 · 115.7Shooting50.5% · 50.4%3-point %33.5% · 32.3%Ball care20.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Umea   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Umea wins
3
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
23/10/25Hogsbo v Umea93-80
07/02/25Umea v Hogsbo83-110
17/01/25Umea v Hogsbo87-77
08/11/24Hogsbo v Umea85-79
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25AUppsala67-90
08/11/25AUppsala80-95
01/11/25HNassjo104-96
23/10/25AHogsbo80-93
17/10/25ASodertalje72-68
14/10/25HBC Lulea73-77
10/10/25HKoping Stars83-103
06/10/25ASloga Uppsala82-72
27/09/25HNorrkoping88-93
23/09/25HBoras73-106
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HSloga Uppsala79-70
07/11/25AKoping Stars100-109
03/11/25HBC Lulea66-106
23/10/25HUmea93-80
17/10/25AUppsala79-88
13/10/25HBoras79-87
10/10/25ANassjo104-95
02/10/25ASodertalje81-85
27/09/25HSloga Uppsala83-86
23/09/25HJamtland109-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game79.884.276.2
Allowed / game89.795.085.3
Point differential-9.9-10.8-9.2
Avg total169.5179.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW27%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game86.484.888.2
Allowed / game91.590.093.2
Point differential-5.1-5.2-5.0
Avg total177.8174.8181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras1210283%95.979.9+16.0
2 Norrkoping1210283%96.584.8+11.7
3 BC Lulea118373%87.984.4+3.5
4 Uppsala128467%89.083.2+5.8
5 Sodertalje116555%80.779.8+0.9
6 Jamtland126650%96.493.3+3.1
7 Nassjo126650%86.191.4-5.3
8 Hogsbo113827%86.491.5-5.1
9 Umea113827%79.889.7-9.9
10 Koping Stars1221017%85.892.8-7.1
11 Sloga Uppsala1221017%75.389.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Umea1724291787
Hogsbo2317132376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.