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AEK Athens vs Unicaja Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-71
20-23 11-14 24-13 10-21
Position#4
Record11-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Unicaja 🏆
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · AEK Athens v Unicaja
09 May 2025
AAT65
UNI71
21 Mar 2023
AAT65
UNI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 78
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 78
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 78
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 78
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 78
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 78
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 78
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 78
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
84avg 78
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 78
A04/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
17-27
16-14
18-30
18-23
24-15
9-27
19-19
18-21
19-18
29-13
34-9
22-29
21-9
19-16
18-26
20-27
25-24
18-24
15-20
27-19
161.2Avg total
82.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.575.5157.9+7.073%
Season at home (8)88.872.9161.6+15.9100%
Season away (7)75.378.4153.7-3.143%
Last 10 (10)82.878.4161.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)83.483.4166.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.393.0171.3-14.70%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (23)86.777.7164.4+9.078%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Rytas
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
81avg 84
A25/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#8
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 84
A30/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
114-105
114
105
+9
106avg 84
H06/04
ACB
Reggiana
#26
W
105-68
105
68
+37
103avg 84
H09/04
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 84
A13/04
ACB
Reggiana
#26
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 84
A15/04
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
96-79
96
79
+17
98avg 84
H19/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
71avg 84
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
91-78
91
78
+13
78avg 84
A01/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-80
98
80
+18
101avg 84
H04/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
24-21
23-28
12-15
23-23
20-23
13-17
33-28
27-22
24-27
30-28
33-28
25-15
33-22
20-28
27-3
17-22
21-22
22-28
15-12
12-17
34-20
12-19
24-16
29-17
16-13
18-23
33-26
18-24
19-15
21-18
23-26
23-24
28-22
23-19
17-13
27-16
26-18
16-22
29-24
173.6Avg total
91.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)94.476.8171.1+17.693%
Season at home (7)96.975.7172.6+21.1100%
Season away (7)91.977.9169.7+14.086%
Last 10 (10)91.482.2173.6+9.270%
Last 5 (5)89.678.4168.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.392.3183.7-1.033%
vs Similar (5)91.882.8174.6+9.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.681.8172.4+8.976%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +5.5+5.5
AEK AthensUnicaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/05
Basket League
78.2Avg total
39.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.582.7+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.538.083.5+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.982.0+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.778.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.476.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.347.389.7-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (23)44.338.182.3+6.270%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A30/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H06/04
ACB
Reggiana
#26
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H09/04
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/04
ACB
Reggiana
#26
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/04
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H19/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H04/05
ACB
87.1Avg total
47.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.641.185.8+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)42.839.682.4+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)47.040.187.1+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.283.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.345.386.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (5)44.642.286.8+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.139.383.4+4.867%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.9
51.6%
52.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.3
37.5%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
74.0%16.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.8
59.1%
52.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.5
38.0%
35.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
74.0%14.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWLLWWWWL
Unicaja
WWLWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#1
+6.3
Net rating
+11.5
112.5
Offensive rating
118.3
106.2
Defensive rating
106.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
58.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.4%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.5%
3-point %
38.0%
61.3%
Assist %
70.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 118.3Defence106.2 · 106.8Shooting53.5% · 58.1%3-point %37.5% · 38.0%Ball care14.7% · 14.4%Off. rebounds26.5% · 26.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Unicaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
2
Unicaja wins
DateGameScore
21/03/23AEK Athens v Unicaja65-75
25/01/23Unicaja v AEK Athens88-66
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25AOlympiacos85-87
27/04/25HPAOK89-85 OT
23/04/25HNanterre104-69
16/04/25ANanterre70-82
12/04/25APAOK69-94
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83
19/03/25ATortona82-83
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HMoraBanc Andorra98-80
01/05/25ATenerife91-78
27/04/25ABarcelona81-83
19/04/25HBilbao96-79
15/04/25AReggiana82-72
13/04/25AValencia75-84
09/04/25HReggiana105-68
06/04/25HLeyma Coruna114-105
30/03/25AGran Canaria89-91
25/03/25ARytas83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%100%43%
Points / game82.588.875.3
Allowed / game75.572.978.4
Point differential+7.0+15.9-3.1
Avg total157.9161.6153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Unicaja
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game94.496.991.9
Allowed / game76.875.777.9
Point differential+17.6+21.1+14.0
Avg total171.1172.6169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%86%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife1514193%84.572.6+11.9
2 Unicaja1413193%94.476.8+17.6
3 Nymburk1612475%86.477.7+8.8
4 AEK Athens1511473%82.575.5+7.0
5 Galatasaray1813572%86.080.3+5.7
6 Tortona1611569%81.276.0+5.2
7 Murcia128467%82.877.4+5.3
8 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
9 Manresa127558%87.881.8+6.1
10 Rytas127558%86.581.8+4.8
11 Petkim Spor1810856%80.881.7-0.8
12 Nanterre1810856%80.882.2-1.4
13 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
14 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
16 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
17 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
18 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
19 Wurzburg126650%84.183.8+0.3
20 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
21 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
22 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
25 Manisa147750%87.090.0-3.0
26 Reggiana168850%78.281.8-3.6
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
29 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
30 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
31 Promitheas145936%79.184.1-5.0
32 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
33 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
34 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
35 Szombathely1551033%80.187.3-7.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2011241065
Unicaja2314132171
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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