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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 103-78
18-31 37-21 24-15 24-11
Position#2
Record15-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#4
Record14-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game78.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 21· Telekom Center Athens
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
85avg 84
A01/02
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
68avg 84
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 84
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-53
78
53
+25
72avg 84
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 84
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
97-102
97
102
-5
92avg 84
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
99-104
99
104
-5
95avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 84
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 84
A08/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
87avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
19-20
14-21
31-24
16-26
20-18
24-17
22-20
19-20
14-25
9-21
20-12
16-12
16-10
31-13
15-18
19-25
23-16
20-15
21-29
23-31
26-25
19-22
29-24
29-29
16-29
25-22
29-24
13-20
16-20
27-18
24-28
20-18
23-10
16-22
15-26
24-27
20-13
21-19
27-29
169.7Avg total
84.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.177.8167.9+12.379%
Season at home (9)94.281.3175.6+12.989%
Season away (10)86.474.6161.0+11.870%
Last 10 (10)84.285.5169.7-1.330%
Last 5 (5)88.491.2179.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.086.5167.5-5.50%
vs Similar (10)86.487.4173.8-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.278.6165.8+8.667%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 80
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 80
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 80
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
91avg 80
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 80
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
90-62
90
62
+28
90avg 80
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 80
A14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
102-85
102
85
+17
96avg 80
H07/03
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 80
H11/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-18
21-22
19-15
20-19
14-18
19-22
35-14
22-26
20-20
22-24
24-10
20-31
29-11
22-22
25-19
27-20
15-24
12-14
23-19
23-15
14-26
17-18
29-15
26-19
27-9
18-19
19-15
14-21
23-14
25-20
26-16
24-21
28-17
25-19
25-28
19-18
30-33
23-17
24-20
168.0Avg total
90.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.178.2163.3+6.878%
Season at home (9)84.777.4162.1+7.278%
Season away (9)85.479.0164.4+6.478%
Last 10 (10)90.377.7168.0+12.6100%
Last 5 (5)91.876.0167.8+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.0100.5178.5-22.50%
vs Similar (5)80.076.8156.8+3.260%
vs Weaker (22)87.574.9162.3+12.695%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +7.8+7.8
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/02
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A08/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/03
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
39.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.5+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.643.388.9+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.737.879.5+3.957%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.681.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.486.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (10)42.444.687.0-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.438.583.9+6.967%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H07/03
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H11/03
Champions League
83.0Avg total
43.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.581.9+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.882.4+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.081.4+5.479%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.683.0+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.638.684.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.058.090.0-26.00%-
vs Similar (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
vs Weaker (22)44.338.082.3+6.377%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.1
59.1%
54.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.4
33.9%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.410.9
70.8%
74.4%10.9
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.5
55.3%
54.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.910.5
43.9%
34.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.817.7
77.6%
74.4%17.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLLLLWLWL
AEK Athens
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#4
-0.5
Net rating
+16.0
77.0
Offensive rating
108.4
77.6
Defensive rating
92.4
55.9%
Effective FG%
59.4%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.9%
3-point %
43.9%
64.0%
Assist %
68.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence77.0 · 108.4Defence77.6 · 92.4Shooting55.9% · 59.4%3-point %33.9% · 43.9%Ball care15.8% · 14.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 100%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Panathinaikos wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas92-88
08/03/26AIraklis74-76
06/03/26AOlympiacos80-86
26/02/26HParis99-104
15/02/26HKolossos Rhodes97-102
13/02/26HFenerbahce83-85
08/02/26AAS Karditsas78-53
05/02/26APartizan62-78
03/02/26HReal Madrid82-81
01/02/26AAris95-102 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HTofas96-88
07/03/26HPromitheas102-85
14/02/26APAOK88-71
10/02/26AAS Karditsas90-62
07/02/26HMaroussi83-74
03/02/26ATofas93-90 OT
31/01/26HKolossos Rhodes96-83
28/01/26HAlba Berlin88-80
21/01/26HAS Karditsas88-73
17/01/26AAS Karditsas79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL79%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWLWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %79%89%70%
Points / game90.194.286.4
Allowed / game77.881.374.6
Point differential+12.3+12.9+11.8
Avg total167.9175.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%56%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%78%78%
Points / game85.184.785.4
Allowed / game78.277.479.0
Point differential+6.8+7.2+6.4
Avg total163.3162.1164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos20200100%97.078.2+18.8
2 Panathinaikos1915479%90.177.8+12.3
3 AEK Athens1814478%85.178.2+6.8
4 PAOK1711665%81.881.4+0.4
5 Aris1710759%85.382.2+3.1
6 Peristeri1910953%78.579.9-1.4
7 Iraklis1981142%80.482.3-1.9
8 Promitheas1971237%85.888.9-3.1
9 Mykonos1971237%77.984.7-6.8
10 Kolossos Rhodes1961332%80.184.7-4.6
11 AS Karditsas1951426%78.585.3-6.8
12 Panionios1951426%78.787.5-8.7
13 Maroussi2041620%84.192.1-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos18372424103
AEK Athens3121151178
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