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Unicaja vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 93-69
17-17 25-17 26-14 25-21
Position#2
Record27-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game77.5
Unicaja 🏆
Spain
vs
Palencia
Spain
Position#18
Record6-27
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game87.1
SpainACBRound 34· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
W
67-54
67
54
+13
65avg 80
H03/04
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
81avg 80
A07/04
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
90-83
90
83
+7
89avg 80
A09/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
81avg 80
H13/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
85avg 80
H21/04
ACB
Murcia
#2
W
80-74
80
74
+6
78avg 80
A26/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
W
80-75
80
75
+5
70avg 80
A28/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
86-87
86
87
-1
75avg 80
A01/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
96-71
96
71
+25
88avg 80
H05/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 80
A10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
20-12
8-16
17-16
8-20
23-21
24-15
33-21
23-26
23-17
19-11
25-29
26-13
23-15
18-16
16-28
27-35
21-19
18-17
29-20
15-26
18-14
26-15
21-19
16-10
22-17
24-29
18-19
15-26
24-21
28-19
19-21
25-18
22-18
31-15
18-20
20-27
24-20
23-19
25-25
163.2Avg total
85.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.677.5166.1+11.182%
Season at home (16)92.178.6170.8+13.588%
Season away (17)85.276.5161.7+8.876%
Last 10 (10)85.777.5163.2+8.290%
Last 5 (5)86.879.6166.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)80.580.5161.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.374.5161.7+12.893%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 72
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 72
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 72
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 72
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 72
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 72
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 72
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-101
94
101
-7
94avg 72
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 72
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
57avg 72
H09/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
17-30
25-16
23-31
31-26
13-17
17-26
26-23
22-20
17-29
15-11
22-19
14-30
16-16
19-17
12-15
18-25
11-19
19-20
29-22
18-29
14-21
20-26
21-19
28-25
32-27
25-21
15-28
22-25
24-17
27-20
22-21
24-22
17-19
21-14
19-22
18-26
167.4Avg total
81.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.287.1166.2-7.918%
Season at home (17)77.681.9159.5-4.224%
Season away (16)80.892.6173.4-11.812%
Last 10 (10)81.086.4167.4-5.420%
Last 5 (5)85.288.6173.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.887.1166.9-7.221%
vs Similar (6)79.388.0167.3-8.717%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
UnicajaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H03/04
Champions League
Manresa
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/04
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A09/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H13/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H21/04
ACB
Murcia
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A26/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A28/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A10/05
ACB
80.2Avg total
41.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.780.6+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.138.284.3+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.237.277.4+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.580.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)36.544.080.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.237.080.1+6.270%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/05
ACB
78.3Avg total
38.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.881.0-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.977.6-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.745.184.8-5.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.478.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.141.581.6-1.446%-
vs Similar (6)35.742.878.5-7.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.3
54.6%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.6
76.0%
75.6%13.6
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.4
52.4%
53.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
75.6%14.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
WWLWWWWWWW
Palencia
LWLLLLLLLW
#2
League position
#18
+10.4
Net rating
-7.0
112.4
Offensive rating
108.0
102.1
Defensive rating
115.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.6%
3-point %
34.1%
64.0%
Assist %
59.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 108.0Defence102.1 · 115.0Shooting52.8% · 52.0%3-point %33.6% · 34.1%Ball care15.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Unicaja   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Unicaja wins
0
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Palencia v Unicaja72-86
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24ABarcelona92-91
05/05/24HMurcia96-71
01/05/24ATenerife86-87
28/04/24ATenerife80-75
26/04/24AMurcia80-74
21/04/24HBaskonia95-91
13/04/24HBasket Zaragoza83-72
09/04/24APromitheas90-83
07/04/24AManresa88-77
03/04/24HPromitheas67-54
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/24HObradoiro CAB75-81
04/05/24ABilbao97-80
27/04/24HBaskonia94-101
20/04/24HGranada83-91
13/04/24AMurcia77-90
06/04/24ABreogan65-73
30/03/24HTenerife68-89
24/03/24HReal Madrid78-86
17/03/24ABasket Zaragoza96-103
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %82%88%76%
Points / game88.692.185.2
Allowed / game77.578.676.5
Point differential+11.1+13.5+8.8
Avg total166.1170.8161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%69%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLLLL24%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %18%24%12%
Points / game79.277.680.8
Allowed / game87.181.992.6
Point differential-7.9-4.2-11.8
Avg total166.2159.5173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja3327682%88.677.5+11.1
2 Real Madrid3327682%87.779.0+8.7
3 Barcelona33221167%88.381.8+6.4
4 Valencia33211264%84.481.5+2.9
5 Gran Canaria33201361%84.681.7+2.9
6 Murcia33201361%83.781.0+2.6
7 Tenerife33201361%83.781.2+2.5
8 Manresa33191458%84.884.6+0.2
9 Baskonia33181555%88.187.8+0.3
10 Joventut Badalona33161748%82.086.1-4.2
11 Bilbao33132039%79.182.0-2.9
12 Basquet Girona33132039%81.185.6-4.5
13 MoraBanc Andorra33122136%84.485.5-1.2
14 Basket Zaragoza33122136%82.185.3-3.2
15 Breogan33112233%74.879.0-4.2
16 Obradoiro CAB33102330%80.784.8-4.1
17 Granada33102330%81.286.8-5.6
18 Palencia3362718%79.287.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja1725262593
Palencia1717142169
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