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Penarol vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:15
Final 82-73 (OT)
18-15 13-14 21-24 17-16 13-4
Position#3
Record18-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game74.9
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#4
Record16-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game76.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Malvin
28 Apr 2026
PENA96
MALV68
16 Oct 2025
PENA89
MALV79
27 Mar 2025
PENA82
MALV73
24 Jan 2025
PENA79
MALV70
12 Jan 2024
PENA82
MALV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 78
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
99avg 78
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 78
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
88-59
88
59
+29
84avg 78
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 78
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
82-68
82
68
+14
82avg 78
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 78
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 78
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
70avg 78
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
22-24
21-18
27-17
31-23
30-19
17-25
26-25
17-9
24-29
28-23
14-19
22-9
23-13
21-13
22-24
27-24
19-16
29-16
8-16
26-26
25-14
20-21
14-23
27-14
13-17
20-19
22-18
18-26
25-14
9-26
20-24
27-26
12-22
16-10
25-16
16-26
23-21
23-20
16-18
162.7Avg total
84.8Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.774.9158.6+8.872%
Season at home (13)81.573.2154.7+8.277%
Season away (12)86.176.7162.8+9.467%
Last 10 (10)84.877.9162.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)79.480.2159.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.386.3164.7-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.080.1158.1-2.130%
vs Weaker (17)86.672.3158.9+14.394%
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
99avg 75
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
73-68
73
68
+5
62avg 75
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 75
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
57avg 75
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
91avg 75
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
85avg 75
H28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
78avg 75
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 75
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 75
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
71-55
71
55
+16
70avg 75
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-13
23-22
24-22
19-13
20-12
9-18
20-19
24-19
15-14
26-26
21-17
18-30
20-27
16-13
14-17
20-14
25-19
27-21
15-21
24-11
25-23
19-10
21-14
17-13
21-22
25-28
21-19
20-24
23-24
27-29
19-18
21-14
24-14
21-28
16-19
14-21
23-18
16-11
23-12
9-14
155.9Avg total
81.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.476.2156.7+4.264%
Season at home (13)81.575.3156.8+6.269%
Season away (12)79.277.2156.5+2.058%
Last 10 (10)81.674.3155.9+7.360%
Last 5 (5)81.075.0156.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.585.4160.9-9.912%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.674.6152.1+3.057%
vs Weaker (15)83.976.1160.0+7.780%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
PenarolMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
83.8Avg total
45.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.781.8+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.879.0+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)46.438.685.1+7.879%-
Last 10 (10)45.038.883.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.743.385.0-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.539.880.3+0.730%-
vs Weaker (17)44.937.282.2+7.782%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
82.8Avg total
43.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.181.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.379.3+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.982.6+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.282.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.546.883.2-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.935.074.9+4.986%-
vs Weaker (15)45.736.982.6+8.973%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.6
54.5%
51.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.9
32.2%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
71.7%12.3
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.1
49.4%
51.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.6
34.8%
33.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.710.9
69.4%
71.7%10.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWLWWWWWWW
Malvin
WLWLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#4
+8.7
Net rating
+9.7
107.4
Offensive rating
107.0
98.7
Defensive rating
97.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.2%
3-point %
34.8%
62.5%
Assist %
63.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 107.0Defence98.7 · 97.4Shooting52.0% · 50.6%3-point %32.2% · 34.8%Ball care17.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Penarol   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
2
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Penarol v Malvin79-70
07/11/24Malvin v Penarol75-73
13/01/24Penarol v Malvin82-58
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25HAguada78-85
13/03/25HDefensor80-74
10/03/25ANacional72-90
05/03/25HHebraica y Macabi82-68
01/03/25ADefensor85-84
14/02/25ABigua83-72
12/02/25HWelcome88-59
03/02/25AUrunday83-80
30/01/25ACordon104-92
27/01/25HTrouville93-75
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25HDefensor71-55
13/03/25HCordon75-82
11/03/25AAguada90-85
04/03/25AUrunday87-93
28/02/25HCordon82-60
13/02/25HUrupan91-72
07/02/25AAguada70-71
04/02/25ADefensor80-87
30/01/25ATrouville73-68
27/01/25HWelcome97-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %72%77%67%
Points / game83.781.586.1
Allowed / game74.973.276.7
Point differential+8.8+8.2+9.4
Avg total158.6154.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%31%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWLLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%69%58%
Points / game80.481.579.2
Allowed / game76.275.377.2
Point differential+4.2+6.2+2.0
Avg total156.7156.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2623388%92.878.6+14.2
2 Aguada2621581%90.480.7+9.7
3 Penarol2518772%83.774.9+8.8
4 Malvin2516964%80.476.2+4.2
5 Bigua28131546%86.885.4+1.4
6 Defensor26121446%85.281.9+3.2
7 Hebraica y Macabi26111542%84.887.1-2.3
8 Cordon26111542%83.286.2-3.0
9 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
10 Urupan26101638%81.486.9-5.5
11 Welcome2781930%79.993.7-13.8
12 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
13 Ferro Carril1010%77.0103.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Penarol181321171382
Malvin15142416473
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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