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Penarol vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 95-88
26-15 19-31 25-18 25-24
Position#3
Record19-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.8
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#9
Record11-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game86.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Cordon
23 Oct 2025
PENA102
CORD83
31 Mar 2025
PENA95
CORD88
31 Oct 2024
PENA77
CORD73
08 Apr 2024
PENA90
CORD81
30 Jan 2024
PENA65
CORD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
99avg 78
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 78
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
88-59
88
59
+29
84avg 78
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 78
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
82-68
82
68
+14
82avg 78
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 78
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 78
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
70avg 78
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
72avg 78
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
30-19
17-25
26-25
17-9
24-29
28-23
14-19
22-9
23-13
21-13
22-24
27-24
19-16
29-16
8-16
26-26
25-14
20-21
14-23
27-14
13-17
20-19
22-18
18-26
25-14
9-26
20-24
27-26
12-22
16-10
25-16
16-26
23-21
23-20
16-18
18-15
13-14
21-24
17-16
161.4Avg total
83.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.674.8158.4+8.873%
Season at home (14)81.573.2154.7+8.379%
Season away (12)86.176.7162.8+9.467%
Last 10 (10)83.777.7161.4+6.080%
Last 5 (5)78.878.0156.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.386.3164.7-8.00%
vs Similar (10)79.780.8160.5-1.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.672.3158.9+14.394%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
92-104
92
104
-12
82avg 69
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
67avg 69
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 69
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
85avg 69
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-82
60
82
-22
42avg 69
A28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 69
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
61avg 69
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 69
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
80avg 69
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
80avg 69
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
19-30
25-17
25-26
25-23
14-18
17-21
26-18
17-20
17-27
23-17
22-22
25-19
24-23
15-20
9-11
23-25
10-19
14-21
13-17
23-24
24-12
8-13
19-20
29-28
19-22
10-26
20-12
14-24
28-21
19-16
21-14
23-22
15-24
21-21
21-18
25-31
30-28
20-24
19-26
169.1Avg total
81.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.286.2169.3-3.042%
Season at home (11)83.282.9166.1+0.355%
Season away (15)83.288.5171.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)81.987.2169.1-5.340%
Last 5 (5)81.685.2166.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.985.8164.7-6.925%
vs Similar (6)89.084.8173.8+4.283%
vs Weaker (4)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
PenarolCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
81.3Avg total
43.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.881.7+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.978.8+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)46.438.685.1+7.879%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.781.3+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.077.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.743.385.0-1.767%-
vs Similar (10)39.940.180.0-0.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.937.282.2+7.782%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
89.8Avg total
42.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.044.287.2-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.543.983.5-4.423%-
Last 30 away (17)45.644.590.1+1.135%-
Last 10 (10)42.747.189.8-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.293.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.945.687.5-3.815%-
vs Similar (6)45.742.588.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (4)44.540.084.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.0
52.9%
51.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.512.4
70.9%
71.7%12.4
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.320.6
47.6%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.8
34.0%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.610.5
71.9%
71.7%10.5
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WLWLWWWWWW
Cordon
LLWLWLWLWL
#3
League position
#9
+7.4
Net rating
-7.5
104.4
Offensive rating
102.4
97.0
Defensive rating
109.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.2%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
31.3%
3-point %
34.0%
60.5%
Assist %
55.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 102.4Defence97.0 · 109.9Shooting50.5% · 49.0%3-point %31.3% · 34.0%Ball care16.5% · 13.2%Off. rebounds28.1% · 22.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penarol wins
1
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25Cordon v Penarol92-104
31/10/24Penarol v Cordon77-73
09/04/24Penarol v Cordon90-81
24/03/24Cordon v Penarol68-84
31/01/24Penarol v Cordon65-75
26/11/23Cordon v Penarol67-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HMalvin82-73 OT
17/03/25HAguada78-85
13/03/25HDefensor80-74
10/03/25ANacional72-90
05/03/25HHebraica y Macabi82-68
01/03/25ADefensor85-84
14/02/25ABigua83-72
12/02/25HWelcome88-59
03/02/25AUrunday83-80
30/01/25ACordon104-92
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25AAguada94-109
17/03/25ANacional80-85
13/03/25AMalvin82-75
10/03/25ADefensor78-88
05/03/25HTrouville74-69
28/02/25AMalvin60-82
10/02/25AHebraica y Macabi98-94 OT
07/02/25HNacional79-86
04/02/25HBigua82-80
30/01/25HPenarol92-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %73%79%67%
Points / game83.681.586.1
Allowed / game74.873.276.7
Point differential+8.8+8.3+9.4
Avg total158.4154.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %42%55%33%
Points / game83.283.283.2
Allowed / game86.282.988.5
Point differential-3.0+0.3-5.3
Avg total169.3166.1171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2623388%92.878.6+14.2
2 Aguada2722581%90.180.5+9.6
3 Penarol2619773%83.674.8+8.8
4 Malvin26161062%80.276.5+3.7
5 Bigua29141548%86.884.8+2.0
6 Defensor27121544%84.882.0+2.8
7 Hebraica y Macabi26111542%84.887.1-2.3
8 Cordon26111542%83.286.2-3.0
9 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
10 Urupan26101638%81.486.9-5.5
11 Welcome2781930%79.993.7-13.8
12 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
13 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2619252595
Cordon1531182488
← all games of the day
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