Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.6	75.1	158.6	+8.5	76%
Season at home (16)	82.0	74.0	156.0	+8.0	81%
Season away (13)	85.5	76.4	161.8	+9.1	69%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	77.8	158.9	+3.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	78.0	159.8	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.3	86.3	164.7	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	76.9	77.9	154.7	-1.0	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	86.0	73.0	159.1	+13.0	95%

This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Defensor

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDefensor

Date

Competition

Trouville

#13

93-84

86avg 75

A12/02

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

84-85

-1

77avg 75

H01/03

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

#10

92-94

-2

78avg 75

A04/03

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

88-78

+10

88avg 75

H10/03

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

74-80

-6

63avg 75

A13/03

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

55-71

-16

38avg 75

A17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

69-81

-12

62avg 75

A27/03

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

75-83

-8

71avg 75

A30/03

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

71-76

-5

65avg 75

A08/04

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

73-78

-5

61avg 75

H13/04

Liga Uruguaya

24-21

22-22

28-19

19-22

26-26

14-25

21-20

23-14

19-22

20-26

28-24

25-22

28-29

22-19

26-10

12-20

26-27

22-12

10-16

16-25

18-23

11-16

12-23

14-9

15-15

19-18

21-15

14-33

23-19

31-22

11-25

10-17

16-24

22-17

16-16

17-19

27-8

10-32

15-16

21-22

158.4Avg total

77.4Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.9	81.6	165.5	+2.3	41%
Season at home (13)	88.8	78.8	167.5	+10.0	62%
Season away (16)	79.9	83.9	163.9	-4.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	81.0	158.4	-3.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	77.8	146.4	-9.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	75.3	85.4	160.8	-10.1	0%
vs Similar (5)	79.2	79.0	158.2	+0.2	60%
vs Weaker (13)	92.2	80.8	173.0	+11.5	69%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolDefensor

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	17.6	38.5	+3.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	23.0	43.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.9	16.6	33.4	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.6	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (13)	24.0	18.7	42.7	+5.3	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.6	41.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.9	17.5	42.4	+7.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	19.6	41.5	+2.2	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.6	41.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	20.9	39.2	-2.7	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.5	19.8	43.2	+3.7	62%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bigua

46-40

A14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

51-40

+11

A01/03

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

40-31

H05/03

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

43-40

A10/03

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

39-48

-9

H13/03

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

39-47

-8

H17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

31-29

H28/03

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

45-46

-1

H31/03

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

41-38

H08/04

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

40-37

A13/04

Liga Uruguaya

81.1Avg total

41.5Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	37.8	80.4	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.9	38.8	78.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	46.3	36.5	82.8	+9.8	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	43.3	85.0	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.9	35.6	73.4	+2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.5	37.7	82.2	+6.8	80%	-

This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trouville

#13

46-43

A12/02

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

40-51

-11

H01/03

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

#10

39-48

-9

A04/03

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

50-48

H10/03

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

48-39

A13/03

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

29-39

-10

A17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

34-33

A27/03

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

54-41

+13

A30/03

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

38-41

-3

A08/04

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

37-40

-3

H13/04

Liga Uruguaya

83.8Avg total

41.5Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	40.6	83.9	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.8	39.5	85.2	+6.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	41.4	82.8	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.3	83.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.8	77.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.2	41.3	80.6	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.2	44.2	86.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	47.5	38.5	85.9	+9.0	77%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.1	38.2	+4.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.4	38.9	+0.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	17.7	39.0	+3.7	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.0	40.2	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	19.1	40.8	+2.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.8	19.5	42.2	+3.3	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.7	37.7	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.6	21.4	37.0	-5.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	19.5	40.2	+1.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	22.0	39.1	-4.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.3	37.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.1	22.7	40.8	-4.6	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.2	31%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.4	76.9	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	35.5	75.3	+4.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.2	39.9	79.1	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	37.8	76.1	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.8	77.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	43.0	79.7	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.0	40.9	75.9	-5.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.5	35.4	76.9	+6.2	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	40.9	79.8	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	38.5	81.1	+4.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.2	42.6	78.8	-6.5	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	38.7	74.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	39.0	69.2	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.1	44.1	80.2	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	34.8	71.8	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.3	40.2	82.5	+2.1	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.1	51.2%	51.5%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	8.5	29.8%	33.0%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	18.3	12.8	69.9%	71.7%	12.8

They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 76.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	19.4	48.5%	51.5%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	8.1	29.2%	33.0%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.4	77.0%	71.7%	13.4

They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	18.1	46.4%	51.5%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.5	33.6%	33.0%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.4	70.9%	71.7%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.9	49.9%	51.5%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.8	33.9%	33.0%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.5	72.6%	71.7%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.8	53.7%	51.5%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	9.3	32.0%	33.0%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.0	71.4%	71.7%	13.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	21.5	52.4%	51.5%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	9.0	29.9%	33.0%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.6	76.2%	71.7%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	17.9	48.4%	51.5%	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.0	31.9%	33.0%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	17.5	11.8	67.6%	71.7%	11.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.3	50.5%	51.5%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.2	33.6%	33.0%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.5	74.1%	71.7%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

WWWWLWLWWW

Defensor

LLLLLLWLLW

League position

+4.4

Net rating

-5.5

104.2

Offensive rating

99.4

99.8

Defensive rating

104.8

48.6%

Effective FG%

46.6%

48.1%

Opp. effective FG%

50.3%

16.9%

Turnover %

14.6%

32.6%

Off. rebound %

23.0%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.26

29.8%

3-point %

29.2%

62.2%

Assist %

58.9%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ Defensor

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Defensor wins

Date	Game	Score
13/04/25	Defensor v Penarol	73-78
08/04/25	Penarol v Defensor	76-71
13/03/25	Penarol v Defensor	80-74
01/03/25	Defensor v Penarol	84-85
20/12/24	Penarol v Defensor	70-64
28/05/24	Penarol v Defensor	103-66
24/05/24	Defensor v Penarol	61-80
22/05/24	Penarol v Defensor	76-80
17/05/24	Defensor v Penarol	87-68
14/05/24	Penarol v Defensor	89-74

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/25	A	Defensor	78-73
08/04/25	H	Defensor	76-71
31/03/25	H	Cordon	95-88
28/03/25	H	Malvin	82-73 OT
17/03/25	H	Aguada	78-85
13/03/25	H	Defensor	80-74
10/03/25	A	Nacional	72-90
05/03/25	H	Hebraica y Macabi	82-68
01/03/25	A	Defensor	85-84
14/02/25	A	Bigua	83-72

Defensorlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/25	H	Penarol	73-78
08/04/25	A	Penarol	71-76
30/03/25	A	Aguada	75-83
27/03/25	A	Nacional	69-81
17/03/25	A	Malvin	55-71
13/03/25	A	Penarol	74-80
10/03/25	H	Cordon	88-78
04/03/25	A	Urupan	92-94
01/03/25	H	Penarol	84-85
12/02/25	A	Trouville	93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga Uruguaya 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	76%
Home	WLWWW	81%
Away	WWWLW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	16	13
Win %	76%	81%	69%
Points / game	83.6	82.0	85.5
Allowed / game	75.1	74.0	76.4
Point differential	+8.5	+8.0	+9.1
Avg total	158.6	156.0	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	25%	46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	75% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

Defensor

Liga Uruguaya 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	41%
Home	WWLWL	62%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	13	16
Win %	41%	62%	25%
Points / game	83.9	88.8	79.9
Allowed / game	81.6	78.8	83.9
Point differential	+2.3	+10.0	-4.0
Avg total	165.5	167.5	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	46%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	11% (9)	0% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	7%	8%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nacional	28	24	4	86%	92.5	77.9	+14.6
2	Aguada	30	25	5	83%	90.6	80.8	+9.8
3	Penarol	29	22	7	76%	83.6	75.1	+8.5
4	Malvin	31	19	12	61%	80.4	76.6	+3.8
5	Hebraica y Macabi	31	14	17	45%	83.8	87.1	-3.3
6	Bigua	32	14	18	44%	86.4	85.7	+0.7
7	Cordon	31	13	18	42%	82.5	85.8	-3.3
8	Defensor	29	12	17	41%	83.9	81.6	+2.3
9	Urunday	27	11	16	41%	77.9	82.2	-4.3
10	Urupan	28	10	18	36%	82.2	87.5	-5.3
11	Remeros Mercedes	3	1	2	33%	82.0	79.7	+2.3
12	Welcome	28	9	19	32%	80.2	93.4	-13.2
13	Trouville	27	4	23	15%	72.3	82.6	-10.3
14	Ferro Carril	2	0	2	0%	73.5	95.5	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	16	20	14	26	76
Defensor	18	14	31	32	95

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Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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