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Penarol vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 89-79
22-25 21-20 26-22 20-12
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game62.0
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Malvin
28 Apr 2026
PENA96
MALV68
16 Oct 2025
PENA89
MALV79
27 Mar 2025
PENA82
MALV73
24 Jan 2025
PENA79
MALV70
12 Jan 2024
PENA82
MALV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 79
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
70avg 79
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
72avg 79
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 79
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 79
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 79
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
75avg 79
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
87avg 79
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 79
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
87-62
87
62
+25
82avg 79
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
12-22
16-10
25-16
16-26
23-21
23-20
16-18
18-15
13-14
21-24
17-16
26-15
19-31
25-18
25-24
24-16
17-22
16-16
19-17
8-27
32-10
16-15
22-21
16-18
20-14
14-31
26-32
22-20
21-23
17-14
15-18
17-27
23-17
21-19
17-21
17-13
26-17
20-15
24-17
162.4Avg total
82.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.062.0149.0+25.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.062.0149.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.380.1162.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)82.482.0164.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.386.3164.7-8.00%
vs Similar (5)76.276.0152.2+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.774.9161.5+11.886%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
78-63
78
63
+15
68avg 75
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 75
H14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 75
A16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
105-76
105
76
+29
112avg 75
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
92avg 75
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 75
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 75
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 75
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
79avg 75
A12/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
50avg 75
H11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
20-20
18-5
21-14
20-12
25-17
21-21
24-25
25-14
14-25
20-28
16-12
24-24
34-26
19-17
28-9
26-26
12-17
22-29
30-18
18-23
23-22
19-23
27-15
21-21
22-23
17-23
20-26
18-15
24-24
20-20
14-24
24-19
22-23
18-22
24-24
25-14
24-26
17-21
19-17
171.1Avg total
87.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.483.7171.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)85.489.6175.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.788.0171.7-4.344%
vs Similar (6)75.876.3152.2-0.533%
vs Weaker (15)85.576.4161.9+9.173%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
PenarolMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
79.1Avg total
39.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.380.0+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.277.7+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)45.936.582.3+9.487%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.479.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.743.385.0-1.767%-
vs Similar (5)36.234.070.2+2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.337.381.5+7.077%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A12/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Liga Uruguaya
85.5Avg total
44.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.683.1+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.439.484.8+6.080%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.881.5+1.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.585.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.086.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.443.686.0-1.133%-
vs Similar (6)40.333.874.2+6.583%-
vs Weaker (15)45.539.585.0+5.967%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.0
51.2%
53.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.1
29.7%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
70.9%16.9
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
53.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.2
33.2%
33.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.315.5
76.4%
70.9%15.5
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WLLLWWWWLW
Malvin
WLLLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#4
+3.4
Net rating
+5.1
106.0
Offensive rating
113.1
102.6
Defensive rating
108.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
33.2%
69.8%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 113.1Defence102.6 · 108.0Shooting48.2% · 51.4%3-point %29.7% · 33.2%Ball care16.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Penarol   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penarol wins
2
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
28/03/25Penarol v Malvin82-73 OT
25/01/25Penarol v Malvin79-70
07/11/24Malvin v Penarol75-73
13/01/24Penarol v Malvin82-58
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25ANacional87-62
25/04/25HDefensor78-84
21/04/25ADefensor93-96 OT
17/04/25HDefensor76-95
13/04/25ADefensor78-73
08/04/25HDefensor76-71
31/03/25HCordon95-88
28/03/25HMalvin82-73 OT
17/03/25HAguada78-85
13/03/25HDefensor80-74
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HCordon85-78
12/05/25AAguada99-111 OT
09/05/25HAguada76-83
06/05/25AAguada80-93
30/04/25HAguada87-83
25/04/25AAguada99-96 OT
22/04/25HCordon105-76
16/04/25ACordon75-79
14/04/25HCordon90-75
08/04/25ACordon78-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+25.0-+25.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol110100%87.062.0+25.0
2 Defensor220100%100.087.5+12.5
3 Aguada220100%104.096.0+8.0
4 Malvin110100%85.078.0+7.0
5 Urunday21150%109.095.5+13.5
6 Union Atletica21150%92.584.0+8.5
7 Bigua21150%88.086.0+2.0
8 Hebraica y Macabi21150%84.089.5-5.5
9 Nacional21150%89.596.5-7.0
10 Goes2020%86.595.5-9.0
11 Cordon2020%81.094.5-13.5
12 Welcome2020%89.5115.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2221262089
Malvin2520221279
← all games of the day
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