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Utah State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 80-65
40-32 40-33
Position#41
Record19-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#251
Record13-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah State v Air Force
08 Mar 2025
UTAH87
AIR 47
01 Mar 2024
UTAH72
AIR 60
14 Feb 2023
UTAH80
AIR 65
09 Mar 2022
UTAH83
AIR 56
01 Feb 2022
UTAH73
AIR 46
21 Jan 2020
UTAH72
AIR 47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H18/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
43-37
42-37
28-48
46-37
29-34
30-37
45-37
27-42
48-43
34-28
36-25
46-27
38-46
33-32
55-47
28-44
33-19
32-31
32-38
146.0Avg total
74.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.071.0150.0+8.073%
Season at home (15)81.168.9150.1+12.280%
Season away (11)76.173.7149.8+2.464%
Last 10 (10)74.571.5146.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)73.467.4140.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (8)69.970.1140.0-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.568.0148.4+12.585%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
85-74 OT
85
74
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
35-35
20-26
31-22
32-36
50-38
24-39
36-31
31-46
21-36
34-43
39-38
21-34
31-25
28-31
24-41
26-32
27-37
39-32
50-45
135.5Avg total
64.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.366.5133.7+0.850%
Season at home (17)70.165.0135.1+5.159%
Season away (9)61.969.2131.1-7.333%
Last 10 (10)64.970.6135.5-5.740%
Last 5 (5)63.871.6135.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)63.172.2135.2-9.117%
vs Similar (16)66.864.0130.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
Utah StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A12/02
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.770.0+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.632.572.1+7.176%-
Last 30 away (13)34.432.867.2+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.169.9+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.467.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (8)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.531.168.7+6.475%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
28.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.131.361.4-1.230%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.129.961.0+1.142%-
Last 30 away (11)28.433.662.0-5.39%-
Last 10 (10)28.534.963.4-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.464.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.634.862.4-7.317%-
vs Similar (16)31.430.161.4+1.331%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Utah State wins
2
Air Force wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23ASan Jose State64-69
09/02/23HSan Diego State61-63
05/02/23AColorado State88-79
02/02/23HNew Mexico84-73
29/01/23AFresno State70-53
26/01/23ASan Diego State75-85
21/01/23HSan Jose State75-74
18/01/23HUNLV75-71
14/01/23ANevada70-85
11/01/23HWyoming83-63
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HNew Mexico89-77
08/02/23HColorado State53-69
04/02/23ANevada52-72
01/02/23HBoise State52-59
28/01/23ANew Mexico73-81
25/01/23ASan Jose State52-82
22/01/23HSan Diego State60-70
18/01/23HWyoming82-74
15/01/23AFresno State51-48
11/01/23AColorado State85-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %73%80%64%
Points / game79.081.176.1
Allowed / game71.068.973.7
Point differential+8.0+12.2+2.4
Avg total150.0150.1149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWLLLW59%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %50%59%33%
Points / game67.370.161.9
Allowed / game66.565.069.2
Point differential+0.8+5.1-7.3
Avg total133.7135.1131.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%41%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %8%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2520580%74.665.8+8.9
2 Nevada2620677%73.766.5+7.3
3 Boise State2519676%71.761.2+10.5
4 New Mexico2519676%81.672.4+9.2
5 Utah State2619773%79.071.0+8.0
6 UNLV2516964%75.969.0+6.9
7 Grand Canyon2415962%71.266.1+5.1
8 San Jose State25151060%68.266.2+2.0
9 Air Force26131350%67.366.5+0.8
10 Colorado State25111444%73.871.8+2.0
11 Fresno State2491538%62.165.4-3.2
12 Wyoming2471729%69.772.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State404080
Air Force323365
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