PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 65-67
32-29 33-38
Position#304
Record11-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game72.2
vs
UNLV 🏆
USA
Position#115
Record13-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fresno State v UNLV
03 Feb 2026
FRES98
UNLV96
15 Feb 2025
FRES51
UNLV52
14 Feb 2024
FRES65
UNLV67
21 Jan 2023
FRES76
UNLV63
16 Feb 2022
FRES57
UNLV60
04 Dec 2019
FRES80
UNLV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
25-36
35-28
32-40
39-40
46-42
27-40
35-43
32-42
36-30
40-43
44-27
28-37
41-41
25-31
36-42
34-33
35-24
28-28
40-38
141.1Avg total
69.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.472.2141.6-2.846%
Season at home (13)73.071.0144.0+2.054%
Season away (11)65.173.6138.7-8.536%
Last 10 (10)69.072.1141.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)70.268.8139.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.175.2139.4-11.112%
vs Similar (11)77.268.3145.5+8.982%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A06/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H13/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
58-90
58
90
-32
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A28/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
36-37
40-38
43-35
47-40
39-47
36-34
32-30
39-32
36-46
24-39
34-51
32-39
45-26
37-28
41-41
31-23
31-25
39-40
41-37
145.1Avg total
72.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.470.0145.4+5.459%
Season at home (15)76.569.8146.3+6.760%
Season away (7)72.970.4143.3+2.457%
Last 10 (10)72.872.3145.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)71.069.8140.8+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.376.0150.3-1.750%
vs Similar (13)71.073.2144.2-2.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.266.5142.6+9.773%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
Fresno StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
32.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.965.5-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.733.667.2+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)29.334.363.6-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)32.035.867.8-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.465.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.636.265.9-6.624%-
vs Similar (11)33.632.265.8+1.536%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A06/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H13/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.166.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.532.166.6+2.458%-
Last 30 away (11)31.434.766.1-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.869.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.866.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.735.566.2-4.833%-
vs Similar (13)33.634.267.8-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)34.530.564.9+4.055%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fresno State wins
5
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24UNLV v Fresno State78-69
04/02/23UNLV v Fresno State79-82
21/01/23Fresno State v UNLV76-63
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
05/12/19Fresno State v UNLV80-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AAir Force68-66
07/02/24ASan Jose State69-57
04/02/24HColorado State61-73
31/01/24AUNLV69-78
28/01/24HAir Force84-70
24/01/24HBoise State68-72
20/01/24AUtah State62-83
17/01/24HSan Jose State85-82
13/01/24AWyoming67-68
07/01/24HNevada57-72
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ANew Mexico80-77
04/02/24HWyoming62-48
31/01/24HFresno State78-69
28/01/24ASan Jose State77-65
24/01/24HAir Force58-90
20/01/24AColorado State75-78
17/01/24ABoise State68-64
13/01/24HUtah State86-87
10/01/24HNew Mexico83-73
06/01/24ASan Diego State61-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%54%36%
Points / game69.473.065.1
Allowed / game72.271.073.6
Point differential-2.8+2.0-8.5
Avg total141.6144.0138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%8%9%
UNLV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %59%60%57%
Points / game75.476.572.9
Allowed / game70.069.870.4
Point differential+5.4+6.7+2.4
Avg total145.4146.3143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2422292%81.067.5+13.5
2 Utah State2521484%81.169.3+11.8
3 New Mexico2520580%84.170.6+13.5
4 Nevada2519676%76.566.8+9.7
5 Colorado State2519676%78.068.4+9.7
6 San Diego State2519676%75.666.8+8.8
7 Boise State2416867%74.367.4+6.9
8 UNLV2213959%75.470.0+5.4
9 Wyoming24121250%73.275.3-2.1
10 Fresno State24111346%69.472.2-2.8
11 San Jose State2591636%71.874.2-2.4
12 Air Force2481633%67.971.0-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State323365
UNLV293867
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.