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Utah State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 83-62
40-27 43-35
Position#17
Record16-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#304
Record8-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utah State v Fresno State
10 Feb 2026
UTAH91
FRES78
14 Jan 2026
UTAH v FRES
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
UTAH89
FRES83
14 Mar 2024
UTAH87
FRES75
20 Jan 2024
UTAH83
FRES62
31 Dec 2022
UTAH67
FRES54
07 Dec 2019
UTAH77
FRES70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
108-81
108
81
+27
H07/12
NCAA
Northwest Nazarene
#500
W
84-53
84
53
+31
H10/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H16/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H23/12
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
88-60
88
60
+28
A02/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H10/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A13/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-36
55-45
46-29
38-24
43-43
41-39
25-30
29-23
32-27
48-38
42-29
46-31
28-32
49-40
35-33
48-26
40-47
47-39
39-55
47-44
154.1Avg total
83.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.168.3150.4+13.889%
Season at home (10)84.264.4148.6+19.8100%
Season away (8)79.573.2152.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)83.171.0154.1+12.190%
Last 5 (5)84.275.2159.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)73.771.5145.2+2.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.665.4150.0+19.193%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-35
37-32
42-23
47-33
24-17
37-41
28-41
37-24
34-39
23-38
26-22
45-45
26-39
21-35
32-36
25-36
35-28
32-40
39-40
46-42
138.1Avg total
68.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.672.6142.2-2.947%
Season at home (10)73.670.8144.4+2.860%
Season away (7)64.075.1139.1-11.129%
Last 10 (10)68.569.6138.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)65.472.6138.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)62.672.6135.2-10.017%
vs Similar (10)76.070.5146.5+5.570%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -1.6-1.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -1.6-1.6
Utah StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H07/12
NCAA
Northwest Nazarene
#500
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H16/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A02/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A13/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A17/01
NCAA
74.4Avg total
38.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.471.7+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.234.273.4+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)35.534.670.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.174.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.276.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)34.637.472.0-2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.631.671.2+8.193%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H19/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A30/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
32.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.233.164.3-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.831.664.3+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)29.434.964.4-5.521%-
Last 10 (10)32.832.064.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.064.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.934.664.6-4.733%-
vs Similar (10)32.232.464.6-0.240%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Utah State wins
1
Fresno State wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24ANew Mexico86-99
13/01/24AUNLV87-86
10/01/24HWyoming83-59
07/01/24HColorado State77-72
02/01/24AAir Force88-60
23/12/23HEast Tennessee St80-65
16/12/23HSan Francisco54-53
14/12/23ASanta Clara84-82
10/12/23HNorthwest Nazarene84-53
07/12/23HSan Diego Toreros108-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HSan Jose State85-82
13/01/24AWyoming67-68
07/01/24HNevada57-72
04/01/24ASan Diego State47-74
30/12/23ASan Diego Toreros71-67
23/12/23ASan Francisco57-77
19/12/23HPortland State72-75 OT
16/12/23HCSU Bakersfield61-58
10/12/23HPacific89-56
06/12/23HIdaho State79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game82.184.279.5
Allowed / game68.364.473.2
Point differential+13.8+19.8+6.2
Avg total150.4148.6152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%70%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %47%60%29%
Points / game69.673.664.0
Allowed / game72.670.875.1
Point differential-2.9+2.8-11.1
Avg total142.2144.4139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%10%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon1817194%81.766.8+14.9
2 Utah State1816289%82.168.3+13.8
3 New Mexico1815383%83.669.3+14.2
4 Colorado State1815383%81.368.9+12.3
5 Nevada1815383%76.163.7+12.3
6 San Diego State1915479%76.066.8+9.2
7 Boise State1813572%73.665.0+8.6
8 UNLV179853%76.670.1+6.6
9 Wyoming179853%72.673.5-0.8
10 Fresno State178947%69.672.6-2.9
11 San Jose State1881044%75.372.8+2.6
12 Air Force167944%67.567.7-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State404383
Fresno State273562
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