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Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#20
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#275
Record8-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v Fresno State
10 Feb 2026
UTAH91
FRES78
14 Jan 2026
UTAH v FRES
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
UTAH89
FRES83
14 Mar 2024
UTAH87
FRES75
20 Jan 2024
UTAH83
FRES62
31 Dec 2022
UTAH67
FRES54
07 Dec 2019
UTAH77
FRES70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
99-62
99
62
+37
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
46-30
36-34
33-35
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
40-33
43-45
45-24
55-34
35-26
37-37
48-51
48-27
45-31
54-31
46-23
47-45
153.6Avg total
86.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.067.0154.0+20.093%
Season at home (8)88.968.8157.6+20.1100%
Season away (7)84.965.0149.9+19.986%
Last 10 (10)86.167.5153.6+18.690%
Last 5 (5)92.065.8157.8+26.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)70.580.1150.6-9.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.564.7152.1+22.8100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
49-18
40-34
31-42
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
37-24
33-31
21-36
31-35
36-22
43-47
141.0Avg total
69.3Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.170.8143.8+2.347%
Season at home (12)75.268.5143.8+6.858%
Season away (5)67.876.2144.0-8.420%
Last 10 (10)69.371.7141.0-2.430%
Last 5 (5)65.866.6132.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.876.9144.7-9.220%
vs Similar (6)76.875.0151.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (3)72.361.3133.7+11.067%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
Utah StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A11/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
40.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.132.771.8+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.530.171.6+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)36.835.372.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.732.373.0+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.831.074.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.137.270.3-4.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.130.472.6+11.780%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.134.365.4-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.431.863.3-0.444%-
Last 30 away (12)30.538.068.5-7.525%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.764.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.227.656.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.635.464.0-6.815%-
vs Similar (6)35.833.269.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (3)34.731.065.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Utah State wins
1
Fresno State wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ABoise State93-68
07/01/26AAir Force99-62
03/01/26HSan Jose State96-78
31/12/25AFresno State72-63
20/12/25HColorado State100-58
13/12/25HIllinois State83-78
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
30/11/25HCSU Bakersfield71-76
27/11/25HPepperdine76-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game87.088.984.9
Allowed / game67.068.865.0
Point differential+20.0+20.1+19.9
Avg total154.0157.6149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %47%58%20%
Points / game73.175.267.8
Allowed / game70.868.576.2
Point differential+2.3+6.8-8.4
Avg total143.8143.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1514193%87.067.0+20.0
2 New Mexico1714382%80.866.2+14.5
3 Nevada1612475%77.171.9+5.1
4 San Diego State1511473%82.572.8+9.7
5 Wyoming1611569%84.072.7+11.3
6 Colorado State1711665%78.971.9+7.1
7 Grand Canyon1610662%74.868.6+6.2
8 Boise State179853%76.774.4+2.3
9 UNLV168850%79.177.3+1.8
10 Fresno State178947%73.170.8+2.3
11 San Jose State1761135%72.275.6-3.4
12 Air Force1731418%62.075.6-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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