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Utah State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 89-83
39-42 50-41
Position#28
Record13-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game65.6
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
Fresno State
USA
Position#358
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game81.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Utah State v Fresno State
10 Feb 2026
UTAH91
FRES78
14 Jan 2026
UTAH v FRES
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
UTAH89
FRES83
14 Mar 2024
UTAH87
FRES75
20 Jan 2024
UTAH83
FRES62
31 Dec 2022
UTAH67
FRES54
07 Dec 2019
UTAH77
FRES70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A28/12
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
44-32
25-30
47-37
23-25
38-32
32-29
38-38
42-28
50-34
37-31
51-36
39-32
34-43
39-27
36-41
32-43
35-23
28-33
41-31
140.6Avg total
74.4Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.965.6148.4+17.393%
Season at home (8)92.465.9158.2+26.588%
Season away (6)70.265.2135.3+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.466.2140.6+8.290%
Last 5 (5)74.468.0142.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar (12)72.672.9145.5-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.967.6151.5+16.3100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
44-30
36-39
37-45
27-37
38-28
24-29
38-55
25-36
41-45
27-44
40-51
32-37
41-28
35-36
34-50
30-48
47-39
36-53
53-50
156.9Avg total
72.9Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.681.8155.4-8.129%
Season at home (7)76.080.6156.6-4.643%
Season away (7)71.383.0154.3-11.714%
Last 10 (10)72.984.0156.9-11.120%
Last 5 (5)75.087.2162.2-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.580.8148.3-13.38%
vs Similar (6)76.768.3145.0+8.3100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -9.8-9.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -0.8-0.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -9.8-9.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -0.8-0.8
Utah StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/12
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A01/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
33.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.771.6+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.431.673.0+9.782%-
Last 30 away (13)33.436.469.8-3.023%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.564.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.268.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (12)34.435.770.1-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.131.870.9+7.367%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H01/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
30.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.638.168.8-7.513%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.237.768.9-6.514%-
Last 30 away (16)30.138.568.6-8.412%-
Last 10 (10)30.039.869.8-9.80%-
Last 5 (5)32.043.675.6-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.338.768.0-9.38%-
vs Similar (6)35.836.071.8-0.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Utah State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
14/03/24Utah State v Fresno State87-75 OT
28/02/24Fresno State v Utah State73-77 OT
20/01/24Utah State v Fresno State83-62
29/01/23Fresno State v Utah State53-70
31/12/22Utah State v Fresno State67-54
19/01/22Fresno State v Utah State61-54
07/03/21Fresno State v Utah State51-57
05/02/21Fresno State v Utah State53-69
16/02/20Fresno State v Utah State59-71
07/12/19Utah State v Fresno State77-70 OT
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25ANevada69-64
28/12/24ASan Diego State67-66
23/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)75-68
18/12/24HUC San Diego73-75
14/12/24HSouth Florida88-67
08/12/24HUtah Tech92-62
05/12/24HWyoming70-67
29/11/24ANorth Texas61-57
28/11/24ASt. Bonaventure72-67
23/11/24AIowa77-69
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25HNew Mexico89-103
29/12/24AUNLV77-87
21/12/24HCalifornia Baptist69-86
15/12/24HSan Diego Toreros73-65
12/12/24ABrigham Young67-95
08/12/24ASanta Clara66-81
05/12/24HSan Diego State62-84
28/11/24HCalifornia Baptist81-86 OT
27/11/24AWashington State73-84
23/11/24ALong Beach State72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW93%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %93%88%100%
Points / game82.992.470.2
Allowed / game65.665.965.2
Point differential+17.3+26.5+5.0
Avg total148.4158.2135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game73.676.071.3
Allowed / game81.880.683.0
Point differential-8.1-4.6-11.7
Avg total155.4156.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1413193%82.965.6+17.3
2 New Mexico1512380%87.076.2+10.8
3 San Diego State129375%74.563.9+10.6
4 Boise State1511473%77.466.3+11.1
5 Grand Canyon1511473%79.869.5+10.3
6 UNLV149564%73.569.5+4.0
7 Wyoming159660%71.970.1+1.7
8 Colorado State148657%72.969.0+3.9
9 Nevada158753%75.167.5+7.7
10 San Jose State167944%76.173.0+3.1
11 Fresno State1441029%73.681.8-8.1
12 Air Force1431121%65.170.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State395089
Fresno State424183
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