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Utah State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 83-78
40-33 43-45
Position#20
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#96
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
L
47-72
47
72
-25
A21/03
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H04/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
20-33
53-27
57-27
45-36
35-41
41-41
42-32
34-20
41-31
40-40
56-35
48-30
46-30
36-34
33-35
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
147.9Avg total
80.9Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.766.4151.1+18.289%
Season at home (5)86.467.2153.6+19.2100%
Season away (4)82.565.5148.0+17.075%
Last 10 (10)80.967.0147.9+13.980%
Last 5 (5)82.868.6151.4+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)71.580.0151.5-8.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.365.5149.8+18.795%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
94-42
94
42
+52
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
37-41
34-32
42-33
26-40
41-47
42-34
40-46
48-21
45-27
55-20
39-22
43-34
36-35
33-36
39-29
49-41
40-37
45-13
50-40
147.4Avg total
81.5Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.565.9147.4+15.680%
Season at home (7)85.460.0145.4+25.4100%
Season away (3)72.379.7152.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)81.565.9147.4+15.680%
Last 5 (5)85.861.4147.2+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.570.5140.0-1.025%
vs Similar (11)76.675.3151.9+1.464%
vs Weaker (14)76.166.8142.9+9.371%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: +5.2+5.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: +5.2+5.2
Utah StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A21/03
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H04/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
72.6Avg total
38.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.771.7+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.630.871.4+9.880%-
Last 30 away (15)35.336.771.9-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)38.833.872.6+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.072.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)33.237.370.5-4.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.731.772.4+9.068%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
55-20
55
20
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H07/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
40.6Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.068.6+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.929.969.8+9.976%-
Last 30 away (13)32.334.767.0-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.630.270.8+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.028.873.8+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.832.263.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (11)35.935.371.2+0.664%-
vs Weaker (14)38.030.168.1+7.964%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
21/11/25ATulane96-75
15/11/25HUTEP75-51
13/11/25HWeber State83-73
08/11/25HVCU Rams80-77
04/11/25HWestminster UT110-54
21/03/25AUCLA47-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HChicago State95-53
04/12/25HEastern Kentucky89-78
28/11/25HFurman72-65
27/11/25HCharlotte79-69
23/11/25HCoastal Carolina94-42
21/11/25HRockford University93-48
17/11/25ALong Beach State82-80
15/11/25AUSC67-87
09/11/25HCornell76-65
07/11/25AOhio68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game84.786.482.5
Allowed / game66.467.265.5
Point differential+18.2+19.2+17.0
Avg total151.1153.6148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%100%33%
Points / game81.585.472.3
Allowed / game65.960.079.7
Point differential+15.6+25.4-7.3
Avg total147.4145.4152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State98189%84.766.4+18.2
2 Wyoming108280%88.071.7+16.3
3 Colorado State108280%83.971.2+12.7
4 New Mexico108280%82.169.9+12.2
5 Boise State107370%79.069.7+9.3
6 Nevada107370%77.372.7+4.6
7 San Diego State85362%81.976.5+5.4
8 Grand Canyon95456%74.168.4+5.7
9 Fresno State116555%76.571.5+5.0
10 San Jose State105550%75.172.6+2.5
11 UNLV94544%83.284.8-1.6
12 Air Force113827%66.273.5-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1210283%82.870.8+12.0
2 Illinois State108280%81.565.9+15.6
3 Northern Iowa97278%73.457.4+16.0
4 Murray State118373%90.578.5+11.9
5 Southern Illinois106460%80.371.5+8.8
6 Bradley106460%75.368.3+7.0
7 Indiana State106460%75.969.1+6.8
8 Valparaiso106460%73.168.3+4.8
9 Drake116555%80.968.5+12.5
10 Illinois (Chi.)104640%77.974.6+3.3
11 Evansville114736%69.072.5-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State404383
Illinois State334578
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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