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Utah State vs Montana Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#195
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Utah State v Montana
05 Dec 2026
UTAH v MONT
upcoming
18 Nov 2024
UTAH95
MONT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Montana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
118-86
118
86
+32
H11/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
W
120-82
120
82
+38
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-43
52-47
37-23
43-37
39-32
40-34
34-35
39-27
37-39
49-37
24-33
42-45
37-29
57-29
44-21
46-35
53-35
65-51
73-34
47-48
161.4Avg total
90.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)105.570.5176.0+35.0100%
Season at home (4)105.570.5176.0+35.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.071.4161.4+18.690%
Last 5 (5)97.672.0169.6+25.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Similar (2)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.871.0155.8+13.781%
This opponent (Montana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#324
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H09/03
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H12/03
NCAA
Oregon
#31
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A03/11
NCAA
Salish Kootenai
#528
W
105-40
105
40
+65
H05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#140
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A11/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
39-41
30-28
44-40
23-27
34-58
49-32
46-57
39-24
36-48
31-30
35-47
31-40
38-47
61-19
44-21
28-26
30-37
33-38
47-33
148.5Avg total
76.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.065.2143.2+12.850%
Season at home (1)105.040.0145.0+65.0100%
Season away (3)69.073.7142.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)76.072.5148.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)75.667.6143.2+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)65.087.3152.3-22.30%
vs Similar (16)73.875.6149.3-1.856%
vs Weaker (8)76.570.2146.8+6.262%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: -3.6-3.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: -3.6-3.6
Utah StateMontana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
W
73-34
73
34
+39
H14/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
42.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.632.772.4+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.731.674.3+11.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.034.469.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.032.474.4+9.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.230.476.6+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.332.372.6+7.967%-
This opponent (Montana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento State
#324
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A03/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A11/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/03
NCAA
Oregon
#31
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Salish Kootenai
#528
W
61-19
61
19
+42
H05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#140
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A11/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A14/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
36.7Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.868.1+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.430.768.1+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.968.1-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)36.729.666.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.667.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)27.338.766.0-11.30%-
vs Similar (16)33.832.065.8+1.856%-
vs Weaker (8)36.435.571.9+0.950%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utah State wins
0
Montana wins
DateGameScore
19/11/24Utah State v Montana95-83
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUC San Diego120-82
11/11/26HUtah Tech118-86
07/11/26HNebraska O.90-56
03/11/26HIdaho State94-58
23/03/26AArizona66-78
20/03/26AVillanova86-76
14/03/26HSan Diego State73-62
14/03/26HNevada79-66
12/03/26HUNLV80-60
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota80-71
11/11/26ASan Francisco58-63
05/11/26HSalish Kootenai105-40
03/11/26AOregon69-87
12/03/26HIdaho66-77
11/03/26APortland State75-72
09/03/26HNorthern Colorado95-89
03/03/26ANorthern Colorado57-85
28/02/26HPortland State74-68
27/02/26HSacramento State81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.5105.5-
Allowed / game70.570.5-
Point differential+35.0+35.0-
Avg total176.0176.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Montana
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game78.0105.069.0
Allowed / game65.240.073.7
Point differential+12.8+65.0-4.7
Avg total143.2145.0142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Idaho42250%86.571.5+15.0
2 Montana42250%78.065.2+12.8
3 Northern Colorado42250%82.069.2+12.8
4 Portland State42250%81.573.2+8.2
5 Sacramento State31233%74.377.3-3.0
6 Montana State31233%76.080.0-4.0
7 East. Washington41325%80.583.5-3.0
8 Weber State41325%74.586.2-11.8
9 Northern Arizona4040%69.587.8-18.2
10 Idaho State3030%67.392.0-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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