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Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#20
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#70
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v San Diego State
14 Mar 2026
UTAH73
SAN 62
31 Jan 2026
UTAH71
SAN 66
11 Jan 2026
UTAH v SAN
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
UTAH79
SAN 71
15 Mar 2024
UTAH70
SAN 86
20 Feb 2024
UTAH68
SAN 63
08 Feb 2023
UTAH61
SAN 63
26 Jan 2022
UTAH75
SAN 57
16 Jan 2021
UTAH64
SAN 59
14 Jan 2021
UTAH57
SAN 45
04 Jan 2020
UTAH68
SAN 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
99-62
99
62
+37
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
46-30
36-34
33-35
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
40-33
43-45
45-24
55-34
35-26
37-37
48-51
48-27
45-31
54-31
46-23
47-45
153.6Avg total
86.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.067.0154.0+20.093%
Season at home (8)88.968.8157.6+20.1100%
Season away (7)84.965.0149.9+19.986%
Last 10 (10)86.167.5153.6+18.690%
Last 5 (5)92.065.8157.8+26.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)70.580.1150.6-9.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.564.7152.1+22.8100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
121-59
121
59
+62
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-40
45-51
33-32
44-34
51-41
38-30
33-30
48-28
27-28
18-40
62-30
59-29
42-38
39-30
50-29
29-50
34-36
39-32
36-21
35-31
153.7Avg total
82.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.572.8155.3+9.773%
Season at home (10)88.771.4160.1+17.380%
Season away (5)70.075.6145.6-5.660%
Last 10 (10)82.970.8153.7+12.180%
Last 5 (5)91.270.8162.0+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)58.776.0134.7-17.333%
vs Similar (12)75.975.1151.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (15)79.564.3143.7+15.293%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
Utah StateSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A11/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
40.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.132.771.8+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.530.171.6+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)36.835.372.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.732.373.0+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.831.074.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.137.270.3-4.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.130.472.6+11.780%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H11/01
NCAA
72.9Avg total
40.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.867.5+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.429.967.3+7.478%-
Last 30 away (12)33.234.567.7-1.342%-
Last 10 (10)40.432.572.9+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.830.875.6+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.035.066.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (12)33.931.565.4+2.450%-
vs Weaker (15)38.131.369.4+6.780%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah State wins
6
San Diego State wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ABoise State93-68
07/01/26AAir Force99-62
03/01/26HSan Jose State96-78
31/12/25AFresno State72-63
20/12/25HColorado State100-58
13/12/25HIllinois State83-78
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HFresno State71-52
07/01/26ANevada73-68
04/01/26HBoise State110-107 OT
31/12/25ASan Jose State81-68
22/12/25HWhittier121-59
21/12/25AArizona45-68
18/12/25HAir Force81-58
11/12/25HLamar89-71
04/12/25HUtah Valley State77-66
27/11/25HBaylor81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game87.088.984.9
Allowed / game67.068.865.0
Point differential+20.0+20.1+19.9
Avg total154.0157.6149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %73%80%60%
Points / game82.588.770.0
Allowed / game72.871.475.6
Point differential+9.7+17.3-5.6
Avg total155.3160.1145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%70%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %13%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1514193%87.067.0+20.0
2 New Mexico1613381%80.466.4+14.0
3 Nevada1612475%77.171.9+5.1
4 San Diego State1511473%82.572.8+9.7
5 Wyoming1611569%84.072.7+11.3
6 Colorado State1611569%79.671.4+8.1
7 Grand Canyon1510567%75.567.4+8.1
8 Boise State169756%76.273.5+2.7
9 UNLV157847%78.576.8+1.7
10 Fresno State167944%72.770.9+1.8
11 San Jose State1651131%72.376.4-4.1
12 Air Force1631319%62.075.9-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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