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Utsunomiya Brex vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 75-105
16-21 21-23 19-29 19-32
Position#2
Record27-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#1
Record30-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game77.9
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Nagasaki
30 Apr 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
24 Mar 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
UTSU75
NAGA105
06 Feb 2026
UTSU89
NAGA74
11 Feb 2024
UTSU97
NAGA76
10 Feb 2024
UTSU101
NAGA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
L
75-92
75
92
-17
69avg 79
A03/01
B League
Sendai
#11
W
93-63
93
63
+30
95avg 79
A04/01
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
83avg 79
H21/01
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 79
H24/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
96avg 79
H25/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
70avg 79
A28/01
B League
Gunma
#5
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 79
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
61avg 79
H01/02
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 79
A04/02
EASL
Nagasaki
#1
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 79
H06/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
19-17
16-28
13-27
15-19
27-21
24-13
27-10
28-20
25-22
18-15
12-17
16-23
25-26
25-20
11-26
31-26
18-30
26-14
23-28
20-17
13-22
16-23
23-17
20-19
7-15
25-15
19-18
20-20
18-23
22-18
10-20
26-18
21-15
23-27
19-26
24-19
22-15
11-18
32-22
164.4Avg total
82.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)84.778.2162.9+6.475%
Season at home (20)86.880.7167.5+6.175%
Season away (16)82.075.1157.1+6.975%
Last 10 (10)82.781.7164.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)78.277.4155.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.774.0150.7+2.767%
vs Similar (12)83.182.8165.8+0.350%
vs Weaker (15)86.076.7162.7+9.393%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 81
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
83avg 81
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
100-85
100
85
+15
100avg 81
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 81
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
94avg 81
A24/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
77avg 81
A25/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
73avg 81
A28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
H31/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 81
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 81
A06/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
22-23
19-18
23-23
19-19
18-18
19-20
37-20
33-19
21-20
30-22
16-24
25-30
30-21
16-13
20-14
30-18
24-15
22-19
19-18
23-26
17-23
27-26
20-20
19-23
14-25
19-10
20-14
13-19
26-14
22-22
23-16
28-10
23-24
23-18
24-22
19-24
15-22
18-11
22-32
169.8Avg total
89.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)93.077.9170.9+15.183%
Season at home (19)92.776.0168.7+16.795%
Season away (17)93.280.0173.2+13.271%
Last 10 (10)89.380.5169.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)85.683.2168.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.378.0171.3+15.283%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
Utsunomiya BrexNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A03/01
B League
Sendai
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/01
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/01
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H25/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H01/02
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/02
EASL
Nagasaki
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/02
B League
82.9Avg total
42.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.182.1+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.041.184.1+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)43.036.879.8+6.279%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.782.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.037.074.0+0.033%-
vs Similar (12)44.243.087.2+1.258%-
vs Weaker (15)43.336.479.7+6.980%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A24/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H31/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A06/02
B League
84.9Avg total
44.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.740.488.2+7.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.939.787.6+8.281%-
Last 30 away (14)47.541.388.8+6.264%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.884.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.740.488.2+7.373%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.5
55.2%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.9
34.4%
33.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.811.6
65.2%
73.1%11.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.0
56.0%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.3
35.8%
33.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
73.1%14.4
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
WWLWLWLWWL
Nagasaki
LWWLLWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+0.7
Net rating
+11.2
98.4
Offensive rating
106.4
97.7
Defensive rating
95.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
40.3%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
35.8%
72.4%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 106.4Defence97.7 · 95.2Shooting53.3% · 54.8%3-point %34.4% · 35.8%Ball care14.2% · 13.9%Off. rebounds40.3% · 28.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utsunomiya Brex wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HNagasaki89-74
04/02/26AHong Kong Eastern89-86
01/02/26HGunma70-81
31/01/26HGunma71-67
28/01/26AChiba72-79
25/01/26HHokkaido108-106 OT
24/01/26HHokkaido77-95
21/01/26HHong Kong Eastern83-74
04/01/26ASendai93-63
03/01/26ASendai75-92
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex74-89
01/02/26HHiroshima D.98-74
31/01/26HHiroshima D.84-71
28/01/26ASeaHorses Mikawa85-87 OT
25/01/26ANeoPhoenix87-95
24/01/26ANeoPhoenix95-70
04/01/26HYokohama91-78
03/01/26HYokohama100-85
28/12/25HChiba93-77
27/12/25HChiba86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game84.786.882.0
Allowed / game78.280.775.1
Point differential+6.4+6.1+6.9
Avg total162.9167.5157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL83%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLWLLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %83%95%71%
Points / game93.092.793.2
Allowed / game77.976.080.0
Point differential+15.1+16.7+13.2
Avg total170.9168.7173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%74%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3630683%93.077.9+15.1
2 Diamond Dolphins3628878%83.372.4+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex3627975%84.778.2+6.4
4 Chiba36261072%82.274.9+7.3
5 Hokkaido36261072%87.683.4+4.1
6 Alvark36251169%80.476.9+3.4
7 SeaHorses Mikawa36241267%84.378.0+6.3
8 Gunma36231364%82.874.5+8.4
9 Ryukyu36231364%81.875.4+6.4
10 Sendai36211558%79.878.6+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.36201656%85.483.3+2.1
12 Saga36201656%81.481.8-0.3
13 Shimane36191753%82.081.1+0.9
14 NeoPhoenix36171947%82.582.2+0.3
15 Osaka36152142%80.481.6-1.1
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles36152142%80.982.6-1.7
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya36152142%76.580.6-4.0
18 Koshigaya Alphas36142239%73.079.9-6.9
19 Yokohama36132336%77.982.0-4.0
20 Shiga36132336%80.486.2-5.8
21 Altiri Chiba36112531%79.284.3-5.0
22 Ibaraki Robots3692725%74.980.5-5.6
23 Toyama3692725%81.289.4-8.2
24 Brave Thunders3692725%75.483.8-8.4
25 Kyoto3692725%71.181.1-10.0
26 Akita3672919%73.485.2-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex1621191975
Nagasaki21232932105
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