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Utsunomiya Brex vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 101-81
33-16 21-29 22-21 25-15
Position#1
Record30-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#17
Record16-21
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game84.4
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya (Utsunomiya)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Nagasaki
30 Apr 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
24 Mar 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
UTSU75
NAGA105
06 Feb 2026
UTSU89
NAGA74
11 Feb 2024
UTSU97
NAGA76
10 Feb 2024
UTSU101
NAGA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
81-53
81
53
+28
77avg 72
H07/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 72
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
56avg 72
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
74-68
74
68
+6
61avg 72
A21/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
83-70
83
70
+13
86avg 72
H27/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 72
H28/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
82-52
82
52
+30
77avg 72
A31/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 72
H03/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
75avg 72
H04/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-44
73
44
+29
72avg 72
A07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
29-9
23-14
15-12
27-20
26-15
21-25
19-21
17-17
18-11
13-20
18-20
23-15
17-22
17-18
17-13
21-18
24-11
21-21
17-20
15-20
22-18
21-12
18-12
21-9
24-15
20-14
17-14
20-11
22-28
16-23
23-18
24-16
20-23
20-15
17-15
18-10
25-13
14-11
16-10
143.7Avg total
79.0Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.367.5145.8+10.881%
Season at home (18)78.970.6149.6+8.383%
Season away (19)77.764.6142.3+13.179%
Last 10 (10)79.064.7143.7+14.390%
Last 5 (5)78.661.4140.0+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)74.081.0155.0-7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)79.065.5144.5+13.686%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
92-64
92
64
+28
no box
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 75
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 75
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 75
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 75
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
68-103
68
103
-35
57avg 75
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 75
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 75
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 75
A07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
23-21
22-13
22-14
17-15
24-21
10-19
24-26
25-18
17-20
10-19
19-21
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
17-22
16-29
16-28
19-24
26-23
23-21
21-12
15-18
20-21
19-25
17-22
20-23
23-28
18-27
20-14
22-14
18-21
29-26
24-17
28-28
167.5Avg total
81.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.884.4166.1-2.643%
Season at home (20)78.083.6161.6-5.635%
Season away (17)86.285.2171.5+1.053%
Last 10 (10)81.086.5167.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)83.691.2174.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.887.3167.1-7.631%
vs Similar (9)78.684.4163.0-5.933%
vs Weaker (5)85.279.4164.6+5.840%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Utsunomiya BrexNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/01
B League
Saga
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A31/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H03/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A07/02
B League
74.6Avg total
42.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.133.975.0+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.536.977.3+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.730.972.7+10.887%-
Last 10 (10)42.731.974.6+10.890%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.674.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.533.374.8+8.275%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/02
B League
87.3Avg total
42.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.883.6-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.543.181.6-4.529%-
Last 30 away (13)43.642.586.2+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.987.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.690.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.844.683.4-5.925%-
vs Similar (9)41.841.983.7-0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)45.238.884.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.716.5
55.6%
50.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.2
36.3%
33.5%36.6
🏀 Free throws11.68.4
72.4%
72.0%8.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.2
54.3%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.6
31.9%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
71.0%
72.0%12.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
WWWWWWWLWW
Nagasaki
WLLWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#17
+20.7
Net rating
-6.7
112.9
Offensive rating
103.0
92.2
Defensive rating
109.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
31.9%
60.3%
Assist %
72.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 103.0Defence92.2 · 109.7Shooting55.0% · 51.6%3-point %36.3% · 31.9%Ball care16.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.0% · 24.7%Free throws0.18 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utsunomiya Brex wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AIbaraki Robots73-44
04/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-69
03/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-80
31/01/24ASendai82-52
28/01/24HSaga76-62
27/01/24HSaga83-70
21/01/24ARyukyu74-68
20/01/24ARyukyu66-68
17/01/24AGunma93-81
07/01/24HOsaka81-53
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AShimane99-92
04/02/24HDiamond Dolphins90-96 OT
03/02/24HDiamond Dolphins76-91
31/01/24AHiroshima D.85-74
28/01/24HNeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
21/01/24AAkita79-88
20/01/24AAkita71-78
17/01/24HKyoto75-81
07/01/24HShinshu92-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %81%83%79%
Points / game78.378.977.7
Allowed / game67.570.664.6
Point differential+10.8+8.3+13.1
Avg total145.8149.6142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%56%63%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLLLL35%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %43%35%53%
Points / game81.878.086.2
Allowed / game84.483.685.2
Point differential-2.6-5.7+1.0
Avg total166.1161.6171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%5%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3733489%90.776.9+13.8
2 Alvark3731684%81.767.6+14.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex3730781%78.367.5+10.8
4 Ryukyu37251268%80.276.3+3.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa38251366%82.776.8+5.8
6 Chiba37241365%85.681.7+3.9
7 Diamond Dolphins37241365%82.178.8+3.3
8 Shimane38211755%83.878.8+4.9
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya38211755%76.374.8+1.5
10 Brave Thunders37201754%80.177.3+2.8
11 Hiroshima D.38201853%78.273.7+4.6
12 Akita38201853%74.374.4-0.1
13 Saga37191851%74.974.7+0.2
14 Gunma37191851%78.481.0-2.6
15 Nagasaki37162143%81.884.4-2.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles37162143%72.275.4-3.2
17 Yokohama37162143%76.582.0-5.4
18 Sendai38162242%78.780.3-1.6
19 Osaka37142338%77.983.0-5.1
20 Hokkaido37122532%74.980.1-5.2
21 Kyoto37122532%77.984.4-6.5
22 Shinshu3863216%70.783.4-12.8
23 Ibaraki Robots3743311%72.484.9-12.5
24 Toyama3843411%73.685.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex33212225101
Nagasaki1629211581
← all games of the day
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