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Utsunomiya Brex vs Nagasaki Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record7-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya
Other2026-27
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Nagasaki
30 Apr 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
24 Mar 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
UTSU75
NAGA105
06 Feb 2026
UTSU89
NAGA74
11 Feb 2024
UTSU97
NAGA76
10 Feb 2024
UTSU101
NAGA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Sendai
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
78avg 78
A17/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
79avg 78
H19/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
69-98
69
98
-29
62avg 78
H21/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 78
H24/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 78
H26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 78
A31/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
71-106
71
106
-35
63avg 78
A01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
H07/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
no box
H11/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
22-20
13-27
23-24
16-27
21-14
19-19
27-20
19-24
26-24
15-31
9-19
22-12
28-28
10-21
27-19
26-17
20-24
25-22
18-29
20-25
26-19
18-31
26-25
15-26
10-25
31-24
15-31
11-11
7-15
26-9
12-21
26-18
15-17
29-18
24-17
24-21
15-22
21-17
9-23
168.2Avg total
81.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.183.6164.7-2.444%
Season at home (9)81.281.1162.3+0.156%
Season away (7)81.086.7167.7-5.729%
Last 10 (10)81.287.0168.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)80.687.0167.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.884.8164.6-5.045%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.680.2161.8+1.446%
vs Weaker (6)83.375.8159.2+7.583%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 79
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 79
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 79
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
Utsunomiya BrexNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H21/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A31/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H07/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H11/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/11
B League
79.5Avg total
39.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.779.8+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.838.277.9+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.482.0+3.379%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.379.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.873.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.540.879.4-2.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.537.780.2+4.877%-
vs Weaker (6)42.837.280.0+5.783%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.9
56.1%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.8
33.3%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
70.3%
73.8%12.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
LWWLLLWLWL
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
#17
League position
#21
-5.8
Net rating
+2.1
98.4
Offensive rating
93.2
104.2
Defensive rating
91.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.3%
3-point %
35.8%
68.0%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 93.2Defence104.2 · 91.1Shooting53.1% · 54.0%3-point %33.3% · 35.8%Ball care12.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utsunomiya Brex wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AShimane69-83
11/11/26HKyoto94-70
07/11/26HRyukyu79-76 OT
01/11/26AAlvark71-106
31/10/26AAlvark90-100
26/10/26HBrave Thunders89-92
24/10/26HShinshu87-80
21/10/26HDiamond Dolphins69-98
19/10/26HGunma83-80
17/10/26ASendai81-85
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%56%29%
Points / game81.181.281.0
Allowed / game83.681.186.7
Point differential-2.4+0.1-5.7
Avg total164.7162.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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