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Utsunomiya Brex vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 97-76
37-15 19-12 18-23 23-26
Position#1
Record31-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#17
Record16-22
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game84.8
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya (Utsunomiya)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Nagasaki
30 Apr 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
24 Mar 2027
UTSU v NAGA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
UTSU75
NAGA105
06 Feb 2026
UTSU89
NAGA74
11 Feb 2024
UTSU97
NAGA76
10 Feb 2024
UTSU101
NAGA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 73
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
56avg 73
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
74-68
74
68
+6
61avg 73
A21/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
83-70
83
70
+13
86avg 73
H27/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 73
H28/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
82-52
82
52
+30
77avg 73
A31/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 73
H03/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
75avg 73
H04/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-44
73
44
+29
72avg 73
A07/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 73
H10/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
26-15
21-25
19-21
17-17
18-11
13-20
18-20
23-15
17-22
17-18
17-13
21-18
24-11
21-21
17-20
15-20
22-18
21-12
18-12
21-9
24-15
20-14
17-14
20-11
22-28
16-23
23-18
24-16
20-23
20-15
17-15
18-10
25-13
14-11
16-10
33-16
21-29
22-21
25-15
148.5Avg total
81.0Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)78.967.9146.8+11.082%
Season at home (19)80.171.2151.3+8.984%
Season away (19)77.764.6142.3+13.179%
Last 10 (10)81.067.5148.5+13.590%
Last 5 (5)83.665.2148.8+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)74.081.0155.0-7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)79.465.9145.4+13.586%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 74
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 74
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
68-103
68
103
-35
57avg 74
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 74
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 74
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 74
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
73avg 74
A10/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
24-21
10-19
24-26
25-18
17-20
10-19
19-21
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
17-22
16-29
16-28
19-24
26-23
23-21
21-12
15-18
20-21
19-25
17-22
20-23
23-28
18-27
20-14
22-14
18-21
29-26
24-17
28-28
16-33
29-21
21-22
15-25
170.1Avg total
79.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.784.8166.5-3.142%
Season at home (20)78.083.6161.6-5.635%
Season away (18)85.986.1172.1-0.250%
Last 10 (10)79.990.2170.1-10.320%
Last 5 (5)86.290.8177.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.787.6167.2-7.931%
vs Similar (9)78.684.4163.0-5.933%
vs Weaker (5)85.279.4164.6+5.840%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
Utsunomiya BrexNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/01
B League
Saga
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A31/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H03/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A07/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H10/02
B League
77.5Avg total
43.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.234.175.3+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.337.478.7+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.130.371.4+10.986%-
Last 10 (10)43.833.777.5+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.079.6+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.733.575.1+8.275%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A10/02
B League
88.7Avg total
42.1Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.083.9-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.342.881.1-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)43.743.487.1+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.688.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.249.293.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.945.083.9-6.125%-
vs Similar (9)41.841.983.7-0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)45.238.884.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.516.9
57.3%
50.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.6
36.7%
33.5%37.8
🏀 Free throws12.08.4
70.0%
72.0%8.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.6
55.1%
50.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
72.0%11.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
WWWWWWWWLW
Nagasaki
LWLLWLLLLL
#1
League position
#17
+19.4
Net rating
-9.1
115.0
Offensive rating
104.1
95.6
Defensive rating
113.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.7%
3-point %
33.0%
61.4%
Assist %
69.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 104.1Defence95.6 · 113.2Shooting56.1% · 52.7%3-point %36.7% · 33.0%Ball care16.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 24.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utsunomiya Brex wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Utsunomiya Brex v Nagasaki101-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HNagasaki101-81
07/02/24AIbaraki Robots73-44
04/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-69
03/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-80
31/01/24ASendai82-52
28/01/24HSaga76-62
27/01/24HSaga83-70
21/01/24ARyukyu74-68
20/01/24ARyukyu66-68
17/01/24AGunma93-81
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex81-101
07/02/24AShimane99-92
04/02/24HDiamond Dolphins90-96 OT
03/02/24HDiamond Dolphins76-91
31/01/24AHiroshima D.85-74
28/01/24HNeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
21/01/24AAkita79-88
20/01/24AAkita71-78
17/01/24HKyoto75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayWLWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %82%84%79%
Points / game78.980.177.7
Allowed / game67.971.264.6
Point differential+11.0+8.9+13.1
Avg total146.8151.3142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%58%63%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLLLLL35%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %42%35%50%
Points / game81.778.085.9
Allowed / game84.883.686.1
Point differential-3.1-5.7-0.2
Avg total166.5161.6172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%5%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3834489%90.776.8+13.9
2 Alvark3831782%81.568.3+13.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex3831782%78.967.9+11.0
4 Ryukyu38261268%80.576.5+4.0
5 Diamond Dolphins39261367%82.478.6+3.8
6 Chiba38251366%85.781.6+4.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa39251464%82.276.7+5.5
8 Shimane39221756%83.378.4+5.0
9 Hiroshima D.39211854%78.773.7+5.0
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya39211854%75.974.5+1.3
11 Akita39211854%74.374.2+0.1
12 Brave Thunders38201853%80.177.5+2.6
13 Gunma38201853%78.380.7-2.3
14 Saga38191950%74.875.2-0.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles38172145%72.875.3-2.5
16 Sendai39172244%78.980.0-1.1
17 Nagasaki38162242%81.784.8-3.1
18 Yokohama38162242%76.682.2-5.6
19 Osaka38142437%77.782.8-5.1
20 Hokkaido38122632%75.280.5-5.3
21 Kyoto39122731%77.784.6-6.8
22 Shinshu3963315%70.783.8-13.0
23 Ibaraki Robots3853313%72.784.8-12.1
24 Toyama3943510%73.485.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex3719182397
Nagasaki1512232676
← all games of the day
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