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Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-79
24-21 14-18 16-23 12-17
Position#8
Record7-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#1
Record16-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game61.8
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2011-12
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears
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VAER69
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18 Jan 2012
VAER66
BBE79
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VAER64
BBE75
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BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H09/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A12/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A20/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A27/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
65-98
65
98
-33
H30/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H14/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A11/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A15/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
28-22
24-22
23-24
15-20
18-20
18-16
21-18
12-17
27-16
12-10
23-19
8-26
15-19
20-12
9-26
–
–
–
–
15-32
22-23
12-21
16-22
17-10
17-17
19-20
23-20
25-17
17-18
21-24
23-16
17-21
19-19
11-18
17-20
21-24
19-9
21-20
18-25
151.6Avg total
73.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.579.7154.2-5.239%
Season at home (9)77.481.4158.9-4.044%
Season away (9)71.678.0149.6-6.433%
Last 10 (10)73.378.3151.6-5.050%
Last 5 (5)74.079.2153.2-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.482.1154.5-9.720%
vs Similar (13)73.877.8151.5-4.038%
vs Weaker (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H22/11
Denmark Cup
Aabyhoj
#7
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A24/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
W
100-60
100
60
+40
A08/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
67-67
67
67
+0
H11/12
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H15/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H05/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A08/01
Denmark Cup
Aabyhoj
#7
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H16/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
24-12
14-18
16-14
26-13
23-19
13-13
19-13
18-21
–
–
–
–
24-16
27-13
29-16
20-15
20-18
16-21
14-10
17-18
16-14
21-19
30-18
18-19
27-14
15-21
24-8
20-16
15-17
20-12
18-24
20-22
17-18
16-9
11-13
24-16
143.1Avg total
78.8Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.561.8140.2+16.794%
Season at home (8)74.659.0133.6+15.688%
Season away (9)81.964.2146.1+17.7100%
Last 10 (10)78.864.3143.1+14.580%
Last 5 (5)75.865.4141.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.067.0144.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)78.462.8141.2+15.693%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
VaerloseBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H02/11
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H09/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A20/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H30/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/01
Basketligaen
75.4Avg total
36.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)36.839.776.5-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.839.977.7-2.140%-
Last 30 away (9)35.839.475.2-3.733%-
Last 10 (9)36.638.975.4-2.356%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.641.278.9-3.638%-
vs Similar (11)36.338.574.8-2.336%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A24/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A08/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H11/12
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H15/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H05/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A08/01
Denmark Cup
Aabyhoj
#7
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H16/01
Basketligaen
70.2Avg total
38.5Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)39.430.569.9+8.989%-
Last 30 at home (9)36.229.365.6+6.978%-
Last 30 away (9)42.631.774.2+10.9100%-
Last 10 (8)38.531.870.2+6.888%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.669.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)35.029.064.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.630.670.2+9.188%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vaerlose wins
4
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
09/10/11Vaerlose v Bakken Bears64-75
30/01/11Bakken Bears v Vaerlose61-53
08/12/10Vaerlose v Bakken Bears79-83 OT
10/10/10Bakken Bears v Vaerlose87-64
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/12AHorsens79-78
11/01/12AHorsholm64-78
14/12/11HTeam FOG Naestved86-75
07/12/11HAalborg76-67
30/11/11HSvendborg65-98
27/11/11AHorsens73-80
20/11/11ASisu52-83
12/11/11AHerlev Wolfpack74-62
09/11/11HAabyhoj72-74
02/11/11HHorsens92-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/12HAabyhoj68-56
08/01/12ASvendborg73-75
05/01/12HTeam FOG Naestved86-59
15/12/11HHorsens85-70
11/12/11HHorsholm67-67
08/12/11ASvendborg100-60
03/12/11AHorsholm79-66
01/12/11AHerlev Wolfpack73-66
24/11/11AAabyhoj80-57
22/11/11HHorsens77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW39%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game74.577.471.6
Allowed / game79.781.478.0
Point differential-5.2-4.0-6.4
Avg total154.2158.9149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %94%88%100%
Points / game78.574.681.9
Allowed / game61.859.064.2
Point differential+16.7+15.6+17.7
Avg total140.2133.6146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%88%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1716194%78.561.8+16.7
2 Svendborg1816289%83.471.6+11.8
3 Team FOG Naestved1811761%80.176.5+3.6
4 Sisu1981142%76.980.1-3.2
5 Aalborg1771041%76.680.8-4.2
6 Horsholm1871139%73.876.6-2.8
7 Vaerlose1871139%74.579.7-5.2
8 Aabyhoj1971237%73.379.8-6.6
9 Horsens1861233%80.784.4-3.7
10 Herlev Wolfpack1851328%75.780.9-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2414161266
Bakken Bears2118231779
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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