Vaerlose vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 87-92

19-27 20-27 21-21 27-17

Position#7

Record9-14

FormWWWLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game81.8

Vaerlose

Amager 🏆

Position#10

Record6-17

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game93.7

Basketligaen

Other2022-23

Meetings · Vaerlose v Amager

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Amager winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

71-85

-14

H20/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

75-83

-8

A29/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

87-90 OT

-3

H11/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

63-90

-27

A22/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

84-62

+22

A03/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

84-81

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

90-68

+22

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

69-58

+11

A05/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

79-91

-12

H07/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

84-62

+22

A11/03

Basketligaen

19-23

23-18

13-14

16-30

18-24

22-18

22-17

13-24

12-25

7-9

26-23

32-20

13-22

20-20

16-26

14-22

22-20

14-9

25-17

23-16

21-21

16-17

26-26

21-17

29-22

26-17

17-17

18-12

19-15

19-9

25-17

6-17

18-17

19-27

19-22

23-25

23-19

16-11

27-15

18-17

155.6Avg total

78.6Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.3	81.8	161.1	-2.5	39%
Season at home (11)	82.9	83.5	166.5	-0.6	45%
Season away (12)	76.0	80.2	156.2	-4.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	77.0	155.6	+1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	72.0	153.2	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.3	91.7	169.0	-14.3	17%
vs Similar (12)	78.7	82.0	160.7	-3.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	83.8	76.6	160.5	+7.2	73%

This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Amager

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

106-92

106

+14

H21/12

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

65-71

-6

A08/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

89-94

-5

H11/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

74-85

-11

A21/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

87-89

-2

H28/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

70-89

-19

A11/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

92-116

116

-24

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

89-73

+16

H07/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

86-94

-8

A11/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

82-78

H18/03

Basketligaen

15-29

30-26

21-21

40-16

15-18

19-17

18-22

13-14

19-22

25-13

25-29

20-30

15-14

18-26

21-19

20-26

23-29

20-23

22-21

22-16

26-19

14-25

16-22

14-23

24-26

21-33

27-32

20-25

27-19

21-15

24-19

17-20

21-25

22-20

25-28

18-21

20-19

29-25

15-18

18-16

172.1Avg total

84.0Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	81.3	93.7	175.0	-12.5	26%
Season at home (12)	86.1	89.4	175.5	-3.3	50%
Season away (11)	76.0	98.5	174.5	-22.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	88.1	172.1	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	90.0	173.8	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	84.0	94.8	178.8	-10.9	33%
vs Similar (2)	75.0	82.5	157.5	-7.5	0%
vs Weaker (3)	79.0	79.0	158.0	+0.0	67%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseAmager

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.7	37.5	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	21.3	38.6	-4.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.2	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	21.1	23.6	44.7	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.5	33.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	27.3	48.0	-6.7	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.3	14.7	35.0	+5.5	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	23.0	43.6	-2.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.9	43.2	-4.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.3	44.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	12.5	35.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.3	67%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

42-41

H20/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-42

-2

A29/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

19-34

-15

H11/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

33-42

-9

A22/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

36-29

A03/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

37-38

-1

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

55-39

+16

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-24

+14

A05/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

37-44

-7

H07/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

39-30

A11/03

Basketligaen

73.9Avg total

37.6Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	40.3	78.4	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	40.3	81.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	40.3	75.5	-5.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	36.3	73.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	35.0	76.2	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.5	49.5	87.0	-12.0	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.3	40.8	78.1	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.5	33.8	75.4	+7.7	82%	-

This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

45-55

-10

H21/12

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

34-35

-1

A08/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

44-35

H11/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

33-40

-7

A21/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

43-52

-9

H28/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

40-44

-4

A11/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

45-59

-14

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

48-34

+14

H07/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

43-45

-2

A11/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

49-44

H18/03

Basketligaen

86.7Avg total

42.4Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.0	45.7	86.7	-4.7	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	44.7	88.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	46.7	85.2	-8.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	44.3	86.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	45.2	90.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	41.0	47.6	88.7	-6.6	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.0	31.5	72.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	39.7	80.0	+0.7	33%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	20.7	38.8	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-1.9	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.8	45.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	22.1	23.9	46.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	26.5	45.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	20.3	38.6	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.3	20.4	41.6	+0.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	23.6	41.1	-6.2	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.8	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	24.5	39.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.3	16.3	30.7	-2.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	40.3	80.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	41.7	81.6	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.9	39.4	79.3	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.5	41.3	82.7	+0.2	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.8	45.9	86.7	-5.1	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	43.4	85.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	48.6	88.5	-8.8	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	43.8	85.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	44.8	83.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	42.2	46.8	89.0	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	34.0	51.0	85.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.0	35.3	69.3	-1.3	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Amager wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/22	Amager v Vaerlose	87-73
28/09/22	Vaerlose v Amager	98-72
09/04/22	Amager v Vaerlose	99-91 OT
27/03/22	Vaerlose v Amager	77-76
28/01/22	Vaerlose v Amager	98-88
28/10/21	Amager v Vaerlose	71-78
14/02/21	Amager v Vaerlose	72-82
06/02/21	Vaerlose v Amager	102-88
31/10/20	Amager v Vaerlose	83-76
16/02/20	Vaerlose v Amager	82-74

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	84-62
07/03/23	H	Copenhagen	79-91
05/03/23	A	Bears Academy	69-58
16/02/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	90-68
07/02/23	H	Bears Academy	84-81
03/02/23	A	Herlev Wolfpack	84-62
22/01/23	A	Horsens	63-90
11/01/23	H	Copenhagen	87-90 OT
29/12/22	A	Svendborg	75-83
20/12/22	H	Randers	71-85

Amagerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	82-78
11/03/23	A	Copenhagen	86-94
07/03/23	H	Bears Academy	89-73
16/02/23	H	Team FOG Naestved	92-116
11/02/23	A	Bakken Bears	70-89
28/01/23	H	Horsens	87-89
21/01/23	A	Bears Academy	74-85
11/01/23	H	Herlev Wolfpack	89-94
08/01/23	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	65-71
21/12/22	H	Copenhagen	106-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	39%
Home	LLWWL	45%
Away	LLWWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	39%	45%	33%
Points / game	79.3	82.9	76.0
Allowed / game	81.8	83.5	80.2
Point differential	-2.5	-0.6	-4.2
Avg total	161.1	166.5	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	18%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	9%	8%

Amager

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	26%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	26%	50%	0%
Points / game	81.3	86.1	76.0
Allowed / game	93.7	89.4	98.5
Point differential	-12.5	-3.3	-22.5
Avg total	175.0	175.5	174.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (4)	-
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Randers	26	22	4	85%	89.2	76.5	+12.7
2	Team FOG Naestved	25	20	5	80%	98.8	84.9	+14.0
3	Bakken Bears	24	19	5	79%	94.1	76.1	+18.0
4	Horsens	26	17	9	65%	86.2	81.7	+4.5
5	Svendborg	25	12	13	48%	88.5	86.1	+2.4
6	Herlev Wolfpack	26	11	15	42%	76.4	83.0	-6.6
7	Copenhagen	24	10	14	42%	83.3	89.5	-6.2
8	Vaerlose	23	9	14	39%	79.3	81.8	-2.5
9	Bears Academy	25	8	17	32%	73.8	79.3	-5.5
10	Amager	23	6	17	26%	81.3	93.7	-12.5
11	Holbaek-Stenhus	25	2	23	8%	69.6	89.1	-19.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	19	20	21	27	87
Amager	27	27	21	17	92

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Amager Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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