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Vaerlose vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-77
20-21 24-23 22-14 18-19
Position#10
Record4-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game89.8
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
vs
Amager
Denmark
Position#6
Record4-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game96.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Amager
12 Apr 2026
VAER96
AMAG90
04 Feb 2026
VAER100
AMAG93
22 Mar 2025
VAER79
AMAG93
30 Jan 2025
VAER84
AMAG77
28 Dec 2023
VAER91
AMAG89
30 Mar 2023
VAER87
AMAG92
28 Sep 2022
VAER98
AMAG72
27 Mar 2022
VAER77
AMAG76
28 Jan 2022
VAER98
AMAG88
06 Feb 2021
VAER102
AMAG88
22 Mar 2020
VAER v AMAG
upcoming
16 Feb 2020
VAER82
AMAG74
15 Jan 2011
VAER84
AMAG54
24 Oct 2010
VAER62
AMAG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 71
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 71
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 71
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 71
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 71
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 71
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 71
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
93-125
93
125
-32
82avg 71
A16/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
20-27
15-13
17-17
16-22
18-21
26-25
26-22
18-22
17-17
24-22
24-17
14-18
13-11
27-25
14-11
26-23
30-24
21-21
22-18
32-17
18-29
17-22
19-20
16-15
19-28
23-24
23-26
8-20
23-35
22-32
25-29
23-29
170.3Avg total
82.0Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.889.8167.6-12.125%
Season at home (8)76.185.9162.0-9.825%
Season away (8)79.493.8173.1-14.425%
Last 10 (10)82.088.3170.3-6.340%
Last 5 (5)84.291.8176.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.993.5170.4-16.614%
vs Similar (6)84.578.2162.7+6.367%
vs Weaker (1)99.080.0179.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
L
86-87
86
87
-1
77avg 76
A10/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 76
H14/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
93-103
93
103
-10
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
67avg 76
A05/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 76
A07/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
94-117
94
117
-23
89avg 76
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
58avg 76
A21/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
103-82
103
82
+21
101avg 76
H30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
99-121
99
121
-22
82avg 76
A05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
75-114
75
114
-39
44avg 76
H16/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
19-19
16-24
24-25
12-18
10-31
24-20
20-29
25-29
26-25
27-26
15-23
19-26
20-24
24-21
15-20
19-19
16-21
29-23
15-12
20-33
26-21
22-32
26-31
18-25
14-27
23-25
17-28
26-16
27-25
26-21
24-20
19-26
27-27
34-37
19-31
14-30
22-32
17-28
22-24
183.8Avg total
84.5Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.296.4182.6-10.225%
Season at home (8)89.495.5184.9-6.138%
Season away (8)83.097.4180.4-14.412%
Last 10 (10)84.599.3183.8-14.820%
Last 5 (5)88.6107.8196.4-19.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)82.5100.3182.8-17.815%
vs Similar (4)89.287.0176.2+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.688.0181.6+5.660%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -4.6-4.6
VaerloseAmager
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
87.0Avg total
41.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.383.8-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.985.8-1.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.781.9-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.887.0-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.650.292.8-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.845.183.9-6.323%-
vs Similar (6)42.338.781.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A10/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
H14/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A21/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H16/01
Basketligaen
89.9Avg total
40.6Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.548.389.7-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.250.291.4-9.024%-
Last 30 away (13)41.845.887.6-3.923%-
Last 10 (10)40.649.389.9-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.652.495.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.049.489.4-9.420%-
vs Similar (4)40.045.885.8-5.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.644.691.2+2.040%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.9
49.9%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.3
27.9%
32.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.617.2
69.9%
70.2%17.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.519.6
46.1%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.8
33.3%
32.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws25.516.0
62.7%
70.2%16.0
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLWWWLLLW
Amager
LLWLLWLLLL
#10
League position
#6
-11.6
Net rating
-14.5
98.5
Offensive rating
99.1
110.1
Defensive rating
113.6
46.4%
Effective FG%
47.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.9%
3-point %
33.3%
68.8%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 99.1Defence110.1 · 113.6Shooting46.4% · 47.7%3-point %27.9% · 33.3%Ball care20.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Amager
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vaerlose wins
5
Amager wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Amager v Vaerlose102-90
28/12/23Vaerlose v Amager91-89
28/09/23Amager v Vaerlose83-102
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
15/12/22Amager v Vaerlose87-73
28/09/22Vaerlose v Amager98-72
09/04/22Amager v Vaerlose99-91 OT
27/03/22Vaerlose v Amager77-76
28/01/22Vaerlose v Amager98-88
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-125
12/01/25HBakken Bears73-98
05/01/25HSvendborg70-86
27/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack105-80
21/12/24ABears Academy80-70
10/12/24HCopenhagen79-74
07/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus88-90
04/12/24HRanders68-79
01/12/24AHorsens64-95
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HRanders75-114
05/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved99-121
30/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus103-82
21/12/24ABakken Bears72-105
12/12/24HHorsens94-117
07/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack79-75
05/12/24ACopenhagen78-91
17/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack93-103
14/11/24HSvendborg66-98
10/11/24ABears Academy86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game77.876.179.4
Allowed / game89.885.993.8
Point differential-12.1-9.8-14.4
Avg total167.6162.0173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Amager
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game86.289.483.0
Allowed / game96.495.597.4
Point differential-10.2-6.1-14.4
Avg total182.6184.9180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1615194%89.272.6+16.6
2 Team FOG Naestved1816289%99.787.4+12.2
3 Bakken Bears1713476%95.680.5+15.2
4 Horsens1713476%89.379.8+9.5
5 Randers1812667%92.281.6+10.6
6 Copenhagen1651131%82.586.1-3.6
7 Amager1641225%86.296.4-10.2
8 Vaerlose1641225%77.889.8-12.1
9 Herlev Wolfpack1741324%78.589.2-10.8
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1741324%78.894.1-15.4
11 Bears Academy1831517%75.788.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2024221884
Amager2123141977
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